He very well might... Although, you have to admit a lot of those Tea Party types are not going to get the votes of the moderates... They just won't.
Also, if he does get mauled now... Does he get mauled in 2012? So far, no real republican front runner and when Clinton got creamed in 94, it only solidified him in 96.
Let's do 333386 math.
Obama won by 6 points in a year tailor made for dems after the bush mess. He did not win vby ten points, he won by 6 points in a year where you had record levels of college morons voting for the first time, "moderates" pissed off about the war, a horrible mccain campaign, a msm in 24/7 kneepad mode for the first black for pres.
By 2012 - obama wont have any of that going for him and still will have a horrible economy as a result of his policies. Is that worth 6 points/ of course it is. the only way I see him winning is if he goes Clinton on us, which he wont. after the election - he is going to meltdown and get even worse.
as for the tea party people - WTF r you talking about?
rubio, Rand Paul, Angle, miller, Buck, etc are all likely to win, not to mention the house races. Have you even looked at RCP lately?
Obama is heading for DISASTEr and its all his own fault.