Official Barack Obama Re-Election Thread

[aesthetics]

he'll still win. the economy won't go into a depression in the next year, probably will continue to get worse but the media will keep placating it and wording it nicely so no one will pay attention as long as the stock market remains high enough, which it will.

he will get reelected.

[MM2K]

Even if what Obama supporters and Dems believe is true - that the economy was in such a mess that its taking them so long to get out - 4 years has always been enough time to show results. If the American people dont see results, they will throw you out. That is the way it has always been. To think they will treat Barack Obama any differently is the height of arrogance.

[Soul Crusher]

A Strong Candidate Isn't Needed to Beat a Weak Incumbent
A Strong Candidate Isn't Needed to Beat a Weak Incumbent
By Sean Trende - December 5, 2011



The conventional wisdom persists that President Obama remains a strong contender for re-election in 2012, in large part because the Republican field is so weak. If the Republicans don't nominate a moderate conservative like Mitt Romney or Jon Huntsman, the CW goes, they’ll find themselves shut out of the Oval Office for another four years.

There are two problems with this. The first is the sense that Mitt Romney is a particularly strong candidate (the same certainly goes for Huntsman). In fact, Romney's flip-flops, slickness, wooden personality (witness how flat his joke fell when he claimed his first name really is Mitt -- when it is in fact Willard) and Wall Street ties present real obstacles for a general election bid.

More importantly, the conventional wisdom overstates the importance of challenger quality in these races. David Axelrod insists that this election offers a choice, rather than a referendum, but all experience points to the contrary. This election will largely turn on how the electorate views Barack Obama’s term in office. If voters don’t think Obama is doing a good job, they will probably vote for someone else. Incidentally, Axelrod made similar comments about the 2010 elections; we all know how that turned out.

Part of the problem is that our chattering class hasn’t fully accepted how weak the president really is. His job approval in the RCP Average remains mired at 44 percent. It has ventured above 50 percent exactly twice in the past few years: Once in the wake of the tragic shooting of Rep. Gabby Giffords, and once when the United States killed Osama bin Laden. But even then, his ratings were at best tepid. His reward for killing America’s public enemy No. 1? An approval that peaked at 52.6 percent. Moreover, his approval ratings on individual issues remain horrific, suggesting more downside than upside once the campaign truly engages.

This suggests a ceiling for the Obama that is perilously close to the minimum a president needs in order to be re-elected. As Jay Cost has noted, presidents rarely receive the votes of more than a small percentage of voters who disapprove of the job they are doing.

In fact, oddly enough, incumbents have seldom been defeated by particularly strong candidates. We’re constantly reminded that defeating an incumbent president is a rare thing. Given this, we’d expect candidates who defeat incumbents to be pretty close to perfect. But instead, they’ve typically been very flawed.

Take Jimmy Carter. He was a one-term governor of Georgia who emerged as a dark horse candidate in the Democratic primaries, to the horror of his party’s establishment. He almost blew a near-perfect opportunity to defeat Gerald Ford, winning by only two points amid high unemployment and widespread voter revulsion with the Republican Party.

Or Bill Clinton. People remember him today as a strong Democratic president. But that was not how he was perceived as a candidate. There really was a time when an adulterer who smoked marijuana and avoided the draft could not conceivably be elected president. Combine these traits with Clinton’s “flexibility” on the issues, and many pundits wrote him off in early 1992, especially when he sank into the 20s in the polls against George H.W. Bush and H. Ross Perot.

Even Ronald Reagan was not perceived as a particularly strong candidate; he regularly polled about 15 points worse than Gerald Ford in hypothetical early matchups with Carter. Carter’s team truly hoped that they would face off against Reagan, who was universally viewed as too much of a radical to win.

There are other examples -- take John Kerry, an exceptionally weak candidate who very nearly defeated a wartime president -- but the bottom line is clear: Weak candidates defeat weak incumbents all the time.

Now, this begs the question of whether Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, or even Romney reaches the level of Reagan/Clinton/Carter in terms of candidate quality. This remains to be seen. Certainly Republicans should be cheered by the Public Policy Polling (D) poll of “voters” in the critical swing state of Florida showing Obama ahead by a 50-to-44 margin. This suggests that among the actual electorate (i.e., once a likely-voters screen is imposed), Obama and Gingrich are pretty close to tied.

But there’s another way to look at it. Given the enthusiasm gap between the parties, the 2012 electorate will probably be roughly split between Republicans and Democrats. Independent voters will therefore hold the key to the election.

Consider these three 2010 Senate challengers frequently cited as examples of candidates who are too extreme to win. It’s a little-known fact that Ken Buck won independents by 16 points in Colorado. In Nevada, Sharron Angle won them by four points. Even Christine O’Donnell, who is something of the ultimate warning sign against Tea Party excess, lost independents only by three points. They all lost their races in large part because they faced Democrat-heavy electorates. Had the electorates been evenly split between the parties, all three would have run very close races.

Whatever their faults, Romney, Gingrich, and Perry are not Christine O’Donnell-style candidates. They probably don’t rise to the level of Sharron Angle candidates. Now, whether they are strong enough to actually win a race against Obama is still an open question. But given the very real weakness of the current president, I would not be surprised if any of them were very much in the game come November 2012.

Sean Trende is Senior Elections Analyst for RealClearPolitics. He can be reached at strende@realclearpolitics.com.

[Soul Crusher]

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-57340576-503544/grim-economic-outlook-weighs-down-obama-approval-rating


Wow 54 percent say he does not deserve a second term.   

[Soul Crusher]

Resurgent Republicans close gap in key states
By Susan Page, USA TODAY


WASHINGTON – President Obama is moving to energize the Democratic base for his re-election campaign, but in the case of a dozen battleground states, he'll have to work harder than four years ago to find it.


http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2011-12-12/2012-election-swing-states-poll/51844930/1


Since the heady days of 2008, a new USA TODAY/Gallup Swing States Poll finds the number of voters who identify themselves as Democratic or Democratic-leaning in these key states has eroded, down by 4 percentage points, while the ranks of Republicans have climbed by 5 points.

Republican voters also are more attentive to the campaign, more enthusiastic about the election and more convinced that the outcome matters.

INTERACTIVE: Presidential Poll Tracker
PHOTOS: GOP presidential field
The contrasting conditions of the nation's two major political parties — discouraged Democrats and resurgent Republicans — underscore how different Obama's re-election campaign is from the contest four years ago.

Consider the math: In 2008, when Obama carried the swing states by 8 percentage points, Democrats there swamped Republicans in party identification by 11 points. Now, that partisan edge has tightened to a statistically insignificant 2 points.

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And the "enthusiasm gap" that helped fuel a Democratic victory last time has turned into a Republican asset. Sixty-one percent of Republicans say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for president next year, compared with 47% of Democrats.

Among the most enthusiastic are some of the GOP's core voters: conservatives, middle-aged men and those 50 to 64 years old. Those who are least enthused include core Democratic groups that were critical to Obama's election in 2008, including minorities and younger voters.

News from On Politics
 
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Read all On Politics posts "Enthusiasm is a tremendous benefit," Republican National Chairman Reince Priebus said in an interview. "We're going to be able to mobilize a grass-roots army. It helps us recruit volunteers and run absentee-ballot programs. We can fill rooms with people making phone calls and going door-to-door."

He says enthusiasm has shifted to the GOP because voters who were inclined to favor Obama in 2008 now see him as "a fraud."

Jim Messina, Obama's campaign manager, disputes the idea that Democrats are at a disadvantage. "It's not what we're seeing on the ground," he said in an interview. "We have built a really good ground operation. We've spent the last year building the infrastructure for a ground operation to turn out our votes, and the Republicans just haven't."

He notes that the president has attracted more than a million donors to his campaign this year, 40% of them first-time contributors, and has been able to deploy volunteers who have had more than 1 million "conversations" with other voters on his behalf.

This is the second in a series of surveys that USA TODAY and Gallup will be taking through the 2012 campaign focused on 12 swing states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Most other states and the District of Columbia are all but guaranteed to be won by one party or the other, giving Obama a likely base of 196 electoral votes and the Republican nominee a base of 191. A candidate needs 270 to win the White House.

But these battlegrounds — chosen based on their voting histories, the results of the 2010 midterms and demographic trends — are up for grabs. Obama carried all of them in 2008 and needs to claim half of their electoral votes this time to win a second term.

In swing states, Obama trails former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney among registered voters by 5 points, 43% vs. 48%, and former House speaker Newt Gingrich by 3, 45% vs. 48%.

That's a bit worse than the president fares nationwide, where he leads Gingrich 50%-44% and edges Romney 47%-46%.

Amy Rybarczyk, 37, a pharmacist from Uniontown, Ohio, who was among those surveyed, voted with élan for Obama in 2008, helping him carry what has been the nation's quintessential swing state for a generation.

This time, she wants to see which contender the GOP nominates before deciding.

"I'm still kind of waiting to see how things are going to turn out," Rybarczyk said in a follow-up interview. "I just feel that the system is so broken that anybody you put there is ineffective. It's hard to see actual change happen."

Tim Shedd, 32, a transportation consultant from Denver who voted for Republican John McCain in 2008, worries that the GOP has "a crazy collection of candidates" running. Even though he hasn't settled on one to support — he was intrigued by Herman Cain until the former corporate executive suspended his campaign amid scandal — Shedd already is looking forward to Election Day.

"I feel better about the Republican chances of winning this time," he says.

Can't wait? For what?

The USA TODAY/Gallup Poll asked Americans which better described their attitude: You can't wait for the campaign to begin? Or you can't wait for it to end? On this, there is more national unity than on any other question posed: Get it over with, already.

The sentiment is even stronger in swing states than the nation as a whole: 70% of registered voters across the country and 74% of those living in the battlegrounds say they can't wait for the campaign to be over. That's the overwhelming view in both political parties and every demographic group.

Despite that cantankerous attitude, voters are paying more attention to this campaign, and earlier, than in the past.

Two-thirds of registered voters nationwide say they have given quite a lot of thought to the election.

That's more than double the number paying close attention at this point before the 1992 and 2000 elections, and a jump of about 20 percentage points compared with 1980, 1984 and 2004.

In 2008, interest reached today's level just after the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary had been held, when both parties were in the throes of hard-fought nomination contests.

This time, Republicans are more likely to be paying a lot of attention than Democrats — 69% to 48% — and they are more likely to say the election's outcome will make a major difference to the course of the economy.

That doesn't necessarily mean they avidly support one of the GOP contenders. For many, it means they avidly oppose Obama.

The antipathy to the president will help Republicans unite behind their nominee whoever he or she is, says Doug Gross, who in 2002 was the GOP's gubernatorial nominee in Iowa, one of the swing states. Unaffiliated in this year's presidential contest, he led the Romney campaign in the state in 2008, and acknowledges that some Iowa Republicans are cool toward the former Bay State governor.

"If Republicans feel Romney is their best chance to beat Obama, they will turn out in force," Gross predicts. "Running against an incumbent is a negative intensity. It's not necessary to have a positive intensity."

Among Democrats, economic woes weigh on some who had hoped Obama would be able to bring about more of the change he promised.

The demographic groups who provided his highest levels of support in 2008 are the same ones who have been hit hardest by the nation's slow economic recovery.

While the nation's overall unemployment rate dropped to 8.6% in November, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that African-American unemployment actually rose from October to 15.5%. For those 20-24, it was up to 14.2%. The jobless rate for Hispanics was unchanged at 11.4%.

"I thought more would get done," says Andre Donaldson of Burgaw, N.C., a 51-year-old financial analyst who voted for Obama in 2008 and plans to vote for him again. "What worries me the most is people's ability to make a living. The job market is so bad. I think that it all stems from the housing market going bad, and then it just spirals."

Wooing independents

The decline in the number of voters who identify themselves as Democrats — and the rise in those who call themselves independents — complicates the president's re-election strategy.

In the swing states, the number of self-identified Democrats (not including those who lean Democratic) fell from 35% to 30% since 2008. The number of independents rose 7 points, 35% to 42%.

"It means that the votes that President Obama needs to cobble together are going to be made up more of independents than they were last time," says Lanae Erickson of Third Way. The centrist Democratic think tank last week released a study tracking trends in voter registration in battleground states. "This time, it's going to be much, much closer, and in a closer race those independents are going to put him over the top."

In three of the eight swing states that have party registration — Colorado, Iowa and New Hampshire — there are now more independents than either Republicans or Democrats.

Obama's problem: Independents by definition aren't loyal to a party's nominee. And the full-throated appeals that help energize the Democrats' most loyal partisans — African Americans, liberals, Hispanics and others — can put off independent voters.

Republicans face a similar problem. A nomination contest that pulls candidates to the right to appeal to the most conservative primary voters can create problems in the general election.

But the nation's ideological makeup creates more stress for Democrats than Republicans. In the 12 swing states identified by USA TODAY, 44% of those surveyed are conservatives, more than double the 21% who call themselves liberal.

To win a majority, the GOP needs to attract the lion's share of conservatives plus only a fraction of the 35% who call themselves moderates.

In contrast, the Democratic candidate has to claim the solid support not only of liberals but also most of the moderates.

In recent days, Obama clearly has been trying to thread that needle.

In decisions that delighted environmentalists and gay rights advocates, he has delayed approval for a oil pipeline that would stretch from Canada to Texas and announced foreign aid would be used to promote gay rights abroad.

At the same time, in decisions that pleased conservatives, his administration has blocked an FDA decision to allow unrestricted sale of the morning-after pill and scrapped clean-air regulations planned at the EPA.

He delivered what the White House billed as a major speech last week in Osawatomie, Kan. — an iconic site where Republican Teddy Roosevelt delivered a classic populist stemwinder.

"The breathtaking greed of a few … plunged our economy and the world into a crisis from which we're still fighting to recover," he declared in words that echoed the sentiments of Occupy Wall Street protesters. "It's claimed the jobs and the homes and the basic security of millions of people — innocent, hard-working Americans who had met their responsibilities but were still left holding the bag."

But he also distanced himself from the mantra of Occupy demonstrators against "the 1%" — that is, the richest Americans who have benefited from a widening income inequality and exercise outsized influence.

"I'm here in Kansas to reaffirm my deep conviction that we're greater together than we are on our own," he quickly added. "These aren't Democratic values or Republican values. These aren't 1% values or 99% values. They're American values."

[Soul Crusher]

Barack Obama Would Lose All 12 Swing States Today, Poll Says
Kenric Ward's blog | Posted: December 13, 2011 9:18 AM[/b]




A survey of 12 swing states that Barack Obama carried in 2008 now finds the president losing to both Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich there.

USA Today-Gallup -- polling registered voters in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin -- found Obama trailing Romney 43-48, and Gingrich 45-48.

Because Obama is expected to hold the big states of California, New York and Illinois, he maintains a popular-vote advantage nationwide, where he leads Gingrich 50-44, and edges Romney 47-46.

But the Electoral College math would deliver the White House to Republicans if they can carry the swing states, as the USA Today-Gallup poll shows.

Even more heartening for the GOP is the poll's methodology. Surveys of "registered" tend to artificially inflate Democratic numbers. Scientific samplings of "likely voters" tend to produce more conservative, and accurate, outcomes.

[Soul Crusher]

Obama and the politics of disappointment ("I believed in him 100%")
CNN ^ | 12/13/11 | Tom Foreman



Obama and the politics of disappointment
By Tom Foreman, CNN
updated 8:49 PM EST, Tue December 13, 2011


Washington (CNN) -- All politicians disappoint their supporters. It is a relentless truth in D.C.


They make pledges they can't keep, say things they don't mean, and encounter stiff headwinds in office that were just distant breezes on the campaign trail. The bigger their failed promises, the bigger the disappointment.


And just a few hours north of Washington, in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, it is easy to see that President Obama has a lot of disappointment standing between him and re-election.


"I believed in him 100%," says Andy Heller in Scranton. "I thought it was going to be a big turnaround from President Bush. But now you have to wonder."


Heller, 56, is a registered Democrat who runs Steamtown Blueprint and Copy Center, a small construction-related firm. In 2008, he placed yard signs for Obama, attended fundraisers and eagerly awaited a first term that he thought would bring more cooperation, more innovation, or at least a better economy. Since then, business has grown worse, the atmosphere in Washington has become more toxic and his faith in Barack Obama has steadily dwindled. "I'm not sure it was entirely his fault, but he made promises he couldn't keep."


**SNIP**


"When he spoke it was truly inspiring. I loved him in 2008, and right now if this were in a relationship, I'd be talking to a divorce attorney. When you mention Obama, there is a giant, collective sigh."


(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Soul Crusher]

Harvard Poll: Young Voters Say Obama Will Lose
More bad news for President Obama
By Paul Bedard

http://www.usnews.com/news/washington-whispers/articles/2011/12/15/harvard-poll-young-voters-say-obama-will-lose



December 15, 2011 RSS Feed Print More bad news for President Obama, this time from his alma mater, Harvard University. In a new poll, more younger voters, many of whom voted for him in 2008, think he will lose next year.

"This survey may well serve as an ominous sign for Barack Obama's 2012 chances and the political engagement of America's largest generation," said John Della Volpe, polling director at Harvard's Institute of Politics. [Check out our editorial cartoons on President Obama.]

The details: 36 percent of so-called millennial voters, age 18-29, think Obama will lose; 30 percent say he will win.

But it's not all bad. The same voters like Mitt Romney the best of the GOP candidates, and in a head-to-head vote would choose Obama over Romney 37 percent to 26 percent.

Here is what Harvard just sent Whispers:

 

MORE MILLENNIALS PREDICT OBAMA WILL LOSE BID FOR RE-ELECTION THAN WIN, HARVARD POLL FINDS

Cambridge, MA—A new national poll of America's 18- to 29- year olds by Harvard's Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds more Millennials predict President Barack Obama will lose his bid for re-election (36%) than win (30%). The new survey also shows former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney fairing best among potential Republican challengers in a general election match-up against President Obama, trailing the president by eleven percentage points (Obama: 37%, Romney: 26%).

Thirty-two percent of Millennials say they are following the 'Occupy Wall Street' demonstrations either very (6%) or somewhat closely (26%), with 66% not following the demonstrations closely. Only twenty-one percent (21%) said they supported the movement. A detailed report on the poll's findings is available on the Institute's homepage at www.iop.harvard.edu.

'Our new polling data clearly shows Millennials are growing more concerned over the direction of the country and effectiveness of Washington, D.C. to solve problems,' said Trey Grayson, Director of Harvard's Institute of Politics. 'The opportunity exists for all political parties and campaigns to re-engage this generation—those who do can maximize results in 2012.'

'While we are more than a year away—it's important to note that with enthusiasm about politics and Washington down, nearly three-quarters of Millennials seriously concerned about jobs and the economy—and more believing that the President that they helped elect will lose, rather than win re-election—this survey may well serve as an ominous sign for Barack Obama's 2012 chances and the political engagement of America's largest generation," said John Della Volpe, Polling Director at Harvard's Institute of Politics.

The web-enabled survey of 2,028 18-29 year-old U.S. citizens with a margin of error of +/– 2.2 percentage points (95% confidence level) conducted with research partner Knowledge Networks for the IOP between Nov. 23 and Dec. 3, 2011 finds:

• Plurality of Millennials predict Obama will lose bid for re-election. Among all 18-29 year-olds, more believe that Barack Obama will lose re-election (36%) than win (30%), with almost a third (32%) not sure—the margin is nearly identical among students enrolled in four-year colleges (37%: lose, 31%: win, 31%: not sure). Among survey respondents who voted for Barack Obama in 2008, less than half (48%) believe he will win re-election at this time (19% say Obama will lose, with 33% undecided).

• Mitt Romney leads among young Republican primary and caucus goers. Among young Republican and Independents indicating they are at least somewhat likely (definitely, probably or 50-50) to vote in their state's primary or caucus (n=637), Mitt Romney leads the field with 23 percent, followed by Ron Paul (16%), Herman Cain (15%) and Newt Gingrich (13%). Examination and allocation of Cain supporters' second-choice selections for president shows Romney would continue to lead (25%) among Millennials with Cain out of the race, with Ron Paul (18%) and Newt Gingrich (17%) in a statistical tie for second place (Herman Cain suspended his campaign on

Dec. 3, the final day of the interviewing period for the IOP's fall poll).

• Approximately one-third of younger voters following 'Occupy' movement; less than one-in-four supportive. Thirty-two percent of 18-29 year-olds say they followed the 'Occupy Wall Street' demonstrations either very (6%) or somewhat closely (26%), with 66% saying they were not following the demonstrations closely. Twenty-one percent (21%) of Millennials say they supported the 'Occupy' movement with one-third (33%) not supportive and 46% either unsure or refused to answer.

[Soul Crusher]

http://www.usnews.com/news/washington-whispers/articles/2011/12/15/harvard-poll-young-voters-say-obama-will-lose/comments?PageNr=6


LMAO at the comments.   If this is any indication of anything - this communist traitor and thug pofs is going home in 2012 - hopefully to thug up the joint in kenya.

[Soul Crusher]

Crucial voters' Obama ardor cools
By Salena Zito, PITTSBURGH TRIBUNE-REVIEW
Sunday, January 8, 2012


About the writer
 
Salena Zito is a Pittsburgh Tribune-Review staff writer and can be reached at 412-320-7879, via e-mail or on Twitter.

MANCHESTER, N.H.

The Granite State shares more than the early-voting spotlight with caucus-cousin Iowa.

Its love affair with Barack Obama is in the same funk as is the Hawkeye State's.

And it all has to do with how New Hampshire voters feel about Obama's handling of the economy, according to David Paleologos, pollster and director of Suffolk University's political department.

Paleologos said data point to Obama being vulnerable here -- and that matters, he added.

"You wouldn't think that four measly electoral votes would turn an election," he said. "But in the current electoral map that Obama is counting on, New Hampshire is everything."

A University of New Hampshire poll in October showed Obama hitting a new low in his handling of the economy, with a staggering 58 percent disapproval rating; 52 percent disapproved of his health-care bill. His overall favorability among all-important independent voters was at 35 percent.

That's a sharp drop in a state that Obama carried by almost 10 percentage points in 2008.

Ray Buckley, who chairs the state's Democrats, watched the political pendulum swing seismically to Republicans in the last election's state, congressional and U.S. Senate races. He believes Obama will win here tactically, relying on massive voter contact, door-knocking, media hits and friend-to-friend persuasion.

"We have more Obama campaign offices in the state than all of the six candidates running for the Republican nomination combined," he boasted.

Asked what message Obama will use to win back voters, Buckley was less direct: "We plan on increasing our ground troops."

The Democrats' national co-chairman, Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak, is more forthcoming on that question. Obama's message, he said, "will be that he passed the health-care law, single-handedly saved the car industry, ended the wars and has had 22 months of job growth."

"Jobs -- where are those jobs?" asked small businessman Charlie Logiotatos. He admitted he supported Obama in 2008, mainly out of Republican fatigue.

"He was a smooth talker, what can I tell you?" Logiotatos said in between serving customers in his diner. "His entire campaign was based on hype."

Now he is saddened by the number of older, college-educated people who walk through his diner's door, looking to work as dishwashers after a lifetime of white-collar jobs.

"I have to admit, it is scary," he said. "Here you have people who are used to making $50,000, who are reduced to washing dishes or sweeping floors. They are the people who have given up, whose unemployment checks have stopped coming in."

Logiotatos said the sour economy also has produced an uptick in crime: "The bank next door? Robbed three times in the past few months. Drugs are a problem, too.

"I say people have lost hope since 2008. I don't think that was what the slogan was meant to portray," he said of the president's original "hope and change" platform.

In the three-block walk between Logiotatos' diner and a local stationery shop, four older panhandlers step from the doorways of shuttered stores to ask for spare change.

Mabel Amar, a hardcore liberal to the left of Obama, is very disappointed in him.

"He extended the Bush tax cuts, and he compromised with the Republicans," she blurted, "and I say, how dare he?"

In a perfect world, she would vote for someone else, she said. "He has disappointed so much of his base."

No matter which side of the political aisle you occupy, a deep distrust of government and a fear of it encroaching upon people's lives have always existed in New Hampshire.

To win this state again, the president needs to explain his record and have some sort of accomplishment to tout. Yet none of his accomplishments sit well with voters here in the "Live Free or Die" state.

Independent voters such as Logiotatos, who helped push Obama to victory in 2008, have hardened against him and will not turn back. Liberals such as Amar, who make up his critical base, are not motivated to turn out and vote; to them, Obama has been very disappointing.

And "the president has to have this state to win," reminded pollster Paleologos. "It is as important as either an Ohio or a Pennsylvania."



Read more: Crucial voters' Obama ardor cools - Pittsburgh Tribune-Review http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/opinion/s_775418.html#ixzz1iu4Rd06Y












These idiots who voted for him have no one to blame but themselves. 

[Soul Crusher]

Obama's support faltering in Iowa
By Salena Zito
PITTSBURGH TRIBUNE-REVIEW
Sunday, January 1, 2012


NORTH LIBERTY, Iowa — Bobby Burns has had a dramatic change of heart.

Burns, 23, was one of those young people swept up in Barack Obama's 2008 presidential campaign. Three years and one college degree later, he cannot imagine a scenario in which he would consider voting for the president's re-election.

"I guess you could say I have seen the light," he said.

On Tuesday he will caucus in a precinct right down the road from where he grew up. His vote will go for Mitt Romney.

Davenport is 60 miles east of here along Interstate 80, past two closed service-station interchanges and a relatively new but shuttered chain hotel. In the center of the city, overlooking the Mississippi River, is the majestic Blackhawk Hotel.

The century-old hotel is where presidents -- or guys who want to be president -- come to speak. Richard Nixon campaigned there; Obama stayed there just a few weeks ago.

Last week, Romney packed an enthusiastic crowd into the Blackhawk's Gold Room. Garrison Gardner, the hotel's on-duty manager, watched the former Massachusetts governor make his pitch for caucus voters.

Gardner, who leans Democrat, said he is ripe to be persuaded to vote for Romney. "Anything is better than what he have going on now at the White House," the former Obama supporter said.

While everyone focuses on the Republicans' shifting nomination process, they overlook Obama's Iowa problem.

The Hawkeye State began Obama's string of caucus victories that gave him a majority of the Democrats' "super-delegates" over Hillary Clinton in 2008, followed by a comfortable victory over Republican John McCain in the fall. It is not electrified by his presidential record, however.

Iowa does not share the country's high unemployment rate -- but it does share the Midwest's disapproval of the president's performance. A Public Policy poll late last summer showed just 45 percent of voters approved of Obama while 48 percent disapproved; independents split against him, 43 to 47; only 79 percent of Democrats thought he was doing a good job, while 87 percent of Republicans disagreed.

On Earth Day, just a handful of months after being sworn into office, Obama visited Newton, Iowa, located farther south along I-80. Standing at the TCI Composites wind-turbine plant, he praised the state's efforts in "green" alternative energy.

"The nation that leads the world in creating new energy sources will be the nation that leads the 21st century global economy. America can be that nation," he proclaimed.

He stressed the significance of wind energy as part of the green economy and he said TCI's new plant was critically important to Newton, which was devastated by the closure of Maytag's plant and corporate headquarters.

Late last week, TCI Composites, recipient of city and state tax credits and federal stimulus funds, laid off almost 200 workers. The company said it hoped to rehire them next spring.

Allen Anthony, 51, one of the furloughed workers, is not optimistic. "I really have no idea if they really will hire me or any of the other guys back," he said.

Leaning against a chain-link fence outside of the Iowa Speedway in Newton, Anthony looked exhausted. "Twenty-three years ago I made more than I did today," he said. "My future, my town's future, is all heading in the wrong direction."

His family spent a combined 85 years working at the Maytag plant. "Three generations in Newton," he said. "Now it is Maytag made in Mexico."

He will not support Obama again, he added.

Economic anxiety will play a larger-than-normal role in this year's presidential election. Less than a year out, the president lacks a message (although he has shopped a few of them, such as "We can't wait") or a policy that he can run on.

It's not going to be health care -- and definitely not bailouts. If the economy starts to recover, perhaps he can point to that.

All that he has right now, despite Washington media reports predicting his resurrection in the polls, is a political machine that can turn out just enough voters for him to win electorally.

Yet with guys like Allen Anthony, Barack Obama still lacks a persuasive reason for them to turn out and vote for him.

Salena Zito can be reached at szito@tribweb.com or 412-320-7879.




Images and text copyright © 2012 by Trib Total Media, Inc.
Reproduction or reuse prohibited without written consent.



Read more: Obama's support faltering in Iowa - Pittsburgh Tribune-Review http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/opinion/columnists/zito/print_774495.html#ixzz1iu5Ifo1t

[Soul Crusher]

Obama writing off Pennsylvania?
By Salena Zito
PITTSBURGH TRIBUNE-REVIEW
Sunday, December 4, 2011

NEW BRIGHTON

The Brighton Hot Dog Shoppe on Third Avenue is one of those places where politicians who want to be president stop to look decidedly un-presidential.

Al Gore visited; so did John Kerry. President Barack Obama opted instead for ice cream at the Windmill, 8 miles up the road.

"It is where you take them to make candidates look authentic," explained a Democrat strategist who routinely works on presidential campaigns in the Keystone State.

After orchestrating three statewide presidential wins, he is sitting out this cycle. He doesn't see Obama winning Pennsylvania in 2012.

Life is different here in Beaver County: Three chili dogs with "the works," large fries and a large vanilla milkshake cost just over $8. Outside, a steady stream of hunters, families and other locals lingered after Thanksgiving, enjoying unseasonable warmth.

Beaver County has long been a Democrat stronghold. Traditionally, everything along the rivers where industry used to boom is more Democrat; the farther from the rivers, the more conservative the voters -- yet even conservatives are registered as Democrats.

Their preferences changed dramatically in 2008 when Republican John McCain beat Obama here. Until then, the last GOP presidential candidate to win the county was Richard Nixon.

That trend solidified when the much more conservative Pat Toomey, a Republican, beat former congressman Joe Sestak, a Democrat, for a U.S. Senate seat.

Hard to imagine a Democrat could lose Pennsylvania in a presidential election, especially one who won it just three years ago by nearly 10 percentage points.

Never mind that Republicans swept the state in last year's midterm elections, taking a majority of U.S. House seats, a U.S. Senate seat, both chambers of the state Legislature and the governor's mansion -- Pennsylvania is still 4 percent more "Democrat" than her Midwestern counterparts.

The latest survey from liberal-leaning Public Policy Polling showed 59 percent of white Pennsylvania voters disapprove of Obama's job performance, a rate usually found among Southern voters.

Sean Trende, a RealClearPolitics numbers analyst, said that while the president could write off Pennsylvania and win, it would be difficult. "The key would be holding the Bush states he won in the Mountain West -- Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico, plus Virginia and North Carolina."

That path gives him 280 electoral votes and assumes he will lose Indiana and Ohio, which he almost certainly will if he loses Pennsylvania.

Obama's main problem in Pennsylvania is downscale whites, said Trende: "The white working class has never been crazy about this president, and really only came on board with the collapse of the stock market in September of 2008."

It has nothing to do with race. "He called them 'bitter,'" Trende said -- and they have never forgotten that.

If Obama writes off Pennsylvania, he's basically conceding he can't win the Pittsburgh area outside Allegheny County and is running poorly in the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre area.

"In the long run, the Philly suburbs can conceivably provide enough votes to overcome this," Trende said, though he hasn't seen evidence of that yet.

Without a collapsing economy to remind these voters why they're still Democrats, they will vote Republican. Indeed, a just-stagnant economy on a Democrat's watch doesn't help.

Six weeks ago, Obama visited Pittsburgh. The union crowd was thin. Enthusiasm was nonexistent; so were local elected Democrats, who opted to shake his hand at the airport rather than stand on stage with him while he talked about jobs.

Last week he went to Scranton, home to Vice President Joe Biden and U.S. Sen. Bob Casey. A no-show in Pittsburgh, Casey again declined to appear with Obama.

Like Pittsburgh's congressional Democrats, the freshman senator faces a tough re-election campaign next year.

In off-year elections last month, Republicans increased Pennsylvania counties they control by 12, to 52 of 67. Most gains were in Northeastern or Western Pennsylvania, home to Scranton and Pittsburgh, respectively.

Heading north along state Route 51 into Allegheny County, a faded Hillary-for-president sign straddles a closed business and a yard. Duct tape appears to be still holding it in place.

Salena Zito can be reached at szito@tribweb.com or 412-320-7879.






Read more: Obama writing off Pennsylvania? - Pittsburgh Tribune-Review http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/opinion/columnists/zito/print_770153.html#ixzz1iu5tVLW9

[Soul Crusher]

The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Print   |  Text In Florida, Obama Trails Mitt By 3, Leads Rick By 2

By Jim Geraghty
January 11, 2012 7:39 A.M. Comments


0If the GOP race comes down to Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, is Romney still the most electable or most competitive against President Obama? This morning, Quinnipiac says that Romney still holds that advantage… but there’s not a huge difference.

The top Republican presidential challenger, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, has 46 percent of registered voters to President Barack Obama’s 43 percent.  If former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum gets the GOP nomination, he scores 43 percent to President Obama’s 45 percent, the independent Quinnipiac University poll finds.

In Florida’s U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson has 41 percent, with 40 percent for his leading Republican challenger, U.S. Rep. Connie Mack.

The president has a solidly negative 42 – 54 percent job approval rating and Florida voters say 52 – 44 percent that he does not deserve a second term in the Oval Office.

“Florida is among the most important swing states in the country and if the election was today President Barack Obama would have difficulty winning its electoral votes,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

 







Not if 240 has anything to do with it.   

[Soul Crusher]

Belafonte on Obama: He Doesn’t Deserve a Second Term, Lacks ‘Moral Compass’

by Hollywoodland



http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/hollywoodland/2012/01/10/belafonte-on-obama-he-doesnt-deserve-a-second-term-lacks-moral-compass



If Matt Damon is disillusioned with The One, Harry Belafonte is downright dismayed with President Barack Obama’s first term.

The Calypso crooner didn’t hold back during a recent radio chat on “Smiley & West,” co-hosted by Tavis Smiley and Cornel West, even if a rebroadcast of the program snipped out Belafonte’s most punishing comments, according to The Radio Equalizer.



“My question is, what legacy will he leave, having the opportunity to serve under such hugely dramatic circumstances and had such a huge impact on the universal state of things … how could he have had such a splendid opportunity to do more than most presidents would have ever been able to do, and he let that opportunity slip away from him.

I’m very cautious of the fact that those who think he has some second agenda and only if he could be given a second term for us to see the new light, new things will be revealed, new efforts will be made to take us to a place other than where we’ve been and where we languish. I just don’t trust that. I don’t believe that’s a safe way and accurate way to look at this scenario. If there was the kind of moral compass serving Barack Obama the way we hoped, the moral force would have helped him make choices, the absence of that force in his equations, that barometer to guide him when he has to make these decisions that are hugely complicated, he should have come to the table with the things that would have helped us in this moment of crisis.”


Sounds like someone took that whole Messiah shtick a tad too seriously.

[Soul Crusher]

Obama's Florida Freefall
By Josh Kraushaar
January 11, 2012 | 8:58 AM |  3 Comments

http://decoded.nationaljournal.com/2012/01/obamas-florida-freefall.php




There's nothing particularly new about Quinnipiac's new Florida numbers showing President Obama struggling, but they do underscore how badly the president has slipped - both with white voters and Hispanic voters in the demographically-diverse Sunshine State.

The poll shows Obama's job approval rating among white voters at just 33 percent, and his approval with Hispanic voters at 46 percent.  Obama trails Romney by 21 points among white voters, 55 percent to 34 percent, and only holds a one-point lead among Hispanics, 46 to 45 percent.

Back in 2008, Obama won 42 percent of the white vote against John McCain in Florida; his level of support has dropped eight points since then.  Even more stark is the president's 11-point slippage with Hispanics (he won 57 percent of the state's Latino vote against John McCain).

Obama's carefully-tailored message focused on fighting for the working class seems to have fallen on deaf ears in the Sunshine State, at least so far.  Florida has been particularly hard-hit by the recession, with the state's unemployment rate and foreclosure rate ranking as one of the highest in the country.

Among all voters without a college degree, Obama trails Romney by four points, 47 to 43 percent. Among whites without a college degree, he trails Romney by a whopping 25-point margin, 56 to 31 percent. 

If these numbers hold up - and Quinnipiac hasn't found encouraging numbers in Florida for the president since May - it may be wise to start looking at Florida as a lean-Republican state more than its traditional position as a toss-up.  Pundits have begun to classify New Hampshire in that category, and there's been enough polling in Florida to indicate a similar trend in the Sunshine State.

[Soul Crusher]

Obama: ‘Everything that we fought for is now at stake in this election’
BY ABDON M. PALLASCH Political Reporter apallasch@suntimes.com January 11, 2012 5:12PM


http://beaconnews.suntimes.com/9954638-417/obama-everything-that-we-fought-for-is-now-at-stake-in-this-election.html


Obama campaign, Democrats raise $68 million in final 3 months of 2011 Updated: January 12, 2012 5:08AM


Trying to jump-start his re-election with hometown fund-raisers and rallies, President Barack Obama told 500 cheering fans Wednesday, “Everything that we fought for is now at stake in this election.”

He repeated the message at more intimate gatherings in private homes in Lake View and Kenwood. He fired up the troops in his very first visit to his national headquarters in the Prudential Building. And he even stopped in to his own home for 20 minutes at the end of the night before flying back to Washington, D.C.

He hopes the fund-raisers bring in more than $2 million for what he told donors would be a “close race.”

“If you’re willing to work even harder in this election than you did in the last election, I promise you, change will come. God bless you Chicago, I love you!” he told the 500 fans at the UIC Forum after R&B singer Janelle Monae warmed them up. So did Obama’s Harvard Law School classmate CSI NY Star Hill Harper, while about 100 protesters shouted outside.

Talking to 140 of his neighbors and old friends just a few blocks from his home in Kenwood, he joked, “Is somebody mowing the grass in front of my house? I’m going to go over there and check.”

His neighbor, Bear Stearns Executive Stuart Taylor told him, “Our message to you on behalf of everyone gathered here is very simple and that is: We’ve got your back, despite what you might hear or read.”

His friends cheered.

“If you look around the room, these are people who were there for you going way back,” Taylor said. “We’re here for you. We’re no less enthusiastic this time around than we were the last time.”

Obama flew to Chicago on Air Force One with senior advisor Valerie Jarrett and outgoing chief of staff Bill Daley, who left after a rough year on the job this week.

“I want to say a special word about a friend of ours, a man who has done extraordinary work for me and performed extraordinary service for our country over the past year, Bill Daley,” Obama said at the first event of the night at UIC. “As much as I will miss him in the White House, he will be an extraordinary asset to our campaign. He’s going to be helping us win in 2012.”

Obama listed all the promises he said his administration had delivered on – health care; gays able to serve in the military; bringing the troops home. He also listed the issues he said his Republican opponents were wrong on: education funding, environmental protection and worker rights. Obama slammed his GOP opponents without mentioning their names:

“When you’ve got the top Republican saying his No. 1 priority isn’t creating more jobs, solving the health care problems; it isn’t making sure were competitive in the 21st century, but it’s to beat me — then you know things aren’t on the level,” Obama said. “They’ll fight with their last breath to protect tax cuts for the most fortunate in America, but they’ll play political games with tax cuts for the middle class.”

Playing to the crowd, Obama said, “I’ll be honest with ya: I wouldn’t mind popping over to the United Center — I think the Bulls are playing tonight. They are off to a fine start. You might have heard the Dallas Mavericks came to the White House on Monday to celebrate their championship. I told them to ‘Enjoy it — because the Bulls will be here next year.’”

About 100 protesters organized by Occupy Chicago gathered across from the Forum, where some students got in for as little as $44. VIPs paid $1,000. Some protestors criticized the large number of deportations. A few protestors stood among Obama fans across the street from his second stop at Newsweb Founder Fred Eychaner’s Lake View home.

One held a sign calling the exclusive gathering of 60 Obama fans paying $35,800 a couple a “Solyndra Board Meeting.”

Against the eclectic collection of artwork and sculptures adorning the concrete walls of Eychaner’s home, Obama identified in the room: Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan, whom he recognized as his seatmate in the state legislature; Gov. Pat Quinn; and Sen. Dick Durbin. Obama jokingly recognized “carpet-bagger” Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.), former Senate candidate Blair Hull, whose loss helped send Obama to the U.S. Senate.

Obama joked about having to return to these donors so often to ask for money.

“This will be my last campaign,” Obama assured them. He quoted former federal appellate justice and Clinton White House Counsel Abner Mikva: “Being friends with a politician is like permanently having a child in college: Every year another tuition check. But I’m finally graduating.”

Even though this is his first visit to his campaign headquarters, Illinois Republicans charge that most of his administration’s key decisions are made at the Prudential Building — and not the White House.

“There hasn’t been a decision out of the White House in three weeks that’s not political,” said Illinois Republican party Chairman Pat Brady.




________________________ ________________________ ____


Unbelievable on so many levels.   


A B O       

[Soul Crusher]

Why Obama's Florida Numbers Should Worry Him
By Sean Trende - January 12, 2012
 
 

If there's one indicator of the difficulties bedeviling President Obama's re-election effort, it's Florida. To say the state is key to Obama winning another four years is something of an understatement. If you assume he loses the McCain states along with Indiana, New Hampshire and Florida this time around, he begins with a ceiling of 314 electoral votes. This gives Obama a very narrow window for his re-election bid, forcing him to come close to sweeping the remaining swing states.

So the president’s polling in the Sunshine State has to concern his campaign team. Consider the latest entry from Quinnipiac. The poll of registered voters shows him trailing likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney by three points, 46 to 43. That 43 percent number is especially troubling for the president because it matches up with his “solidly negative” job approval number of 42 percent, as well as with the 44 percent of Floridians who believe that he deserves a second term in office. In other words, his job approval among those voters who are undecided is probably very, very low.

Additionally, this is a poll of registered voters. Later on, we’ll get a better sense of how Obama stands among the actual electorate when pollsters begin to screen for likely voters. Right now, 56 percent of Republicans say that they’re more likely to vote than usual, compared with 29 percent of Democrats. This yawning “enthusiasm gap” suggests that the president’s deficit among actual participants in the general election is probably more substantial.

In the RCP Average, he clings to a 0.2 percent lead in Florida. He has to hope that Quinnipiac is the outlier in the average, and not NBC/Marist (which showed him with a substantial lead).

Sean Trende is Senior Elections Analyst for RealClearPolitics. He can be reached at strende@realclearpolitics.com.

[Soul Crusher]

Obama hurting with swing voters, poll shows (Americans figuring out Obama really does hate America)
Politico ^ | 1/19/2012 | By MJ LEE
Posted on January 19, 2012 7:01:21 AM EST by tobyhill

President Barack Obama is poorly positioned with key independents less than a year away from Election Day, with less than a third of swing voters expressing a favorable opinion of the president in a new poll.

Just 31 percent of independent voters indicated a favorable opinion of the president in a New York Times/CBS News poll out Thursday, compared to a 38 percent favorability rating among all voters.

Asked about how Obama is handling his job, the majority of swing voters, 52 percent, said they disapprove while 37 percent said they approve.

Meanwhile, two-thirds of swing voters said the president hasn’t made significant progress in fixing the country’s economy, while six in ten of them said Obama doesn’t share their priorities for the country.

The poll also revealed that more than five in ten independent voters, 54 percent, do not have a clear idea of what the president wants to accomplish during a second term of presidency.

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...

[Dos Equis]

Obama hurting with swing voters, poll shows (Americans figuring out Obama really does hate America)
Politico ^ | 1/19/2012 | By MJ LEE
Posted on January 19, 2012 7:01:21 AM EST by tobyhill

President Barack Obama is poorly positioned with key independents less than a year away from Election Day, with less than a third of swing voters expressing a favorable opinion of the president in a new poll.

Just 31 percent of independent voters indicated a favorable opinion of the president in a New York Times/CBS News poll out Thursday, compared to a 38 percent favorability rating among all voters.

Asked about how Obama is handling his job, the majority of swing voters, 52 percent, said they disapprove while 37 percent said they approve.

Meanwhile, two-thirds of swing voters said the president hasn’t made significant progress in fixing the country’s economy, while six in ten of them said Obama doesn’t share their priorities for the country.

The poll also revealed that more than five in ten independent voters, 54 percent, do not have a clear idea of what the president wants to accomplish during a second term of presidency.

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...

This is the main reason why Obama is going to lose in November.

[Soul Crusher]

[ Invalid YouTube link ]


 

Politifact: “We Rate Obama's ‘Revolving Door’ Policy For Former Lobbyists His Biggest Broken Promise.” (Angie Drobnic Holan, “Not So Fast On Obama Revolving Door Policy,” Politifact, 1/23/09)

Solyndra, Obama’s Poster-Child For “American Ingenuity And Dynamism,” Declared Bankruptcy. “The California-based Solyndra, which employed more than 1,000 people, declared bankruptcy earlier this month. President Obama visited the company in May of 2010, saying it was a prime example of ‘American ingenuity and dynamism.’” (Alexander Mooney, “White House Beats Back Claim It Pressured Loan To Now-Bankrupt Company.” CNN,9/14/11)

Obama did not create 2.7 million green jobs: “The clean economy, which employs some 2.7 million workers, encompasses a significant number of jobs in establishments spread across a diverse group of industries. Though modest in size, the clean economy employs more workers than the fossil fuel industry and bulks larger than bioscience but remains smaller than the IT-producing sectors. Most clean economy jobs reside in mature segments that cover a wide swath of activities including manufacturing and the provision of public services such as wastewater and mass transit.” (Mark Muro, “Sizing The Clean Economy: A National And Regional Jobs Assessment,” The Brookings Institution, 7/13/11)

“While Bush was in office from 2001 to 2009, the oil and gas industry saw many new leases and other expanded drilling opportunities. In March 2010, Obama announced plans to expand offshore drilling, but he retreated in the aftermath of the BP oil spill. According to EIA’s short-term 2011 outlook, released last week, oil production was significantly higher in 2009 than in the years prior. Obama may have been in office for most of that year, but the oil production numbers are due to action taken before he became president. In 2010, most if not all of the production increase recorded is likely due to action that predates Obama, since Obama didn’t take any major action expanding offshore drilling his first year in office.”(Amy Harder, “Obama’s Fuzzy Oil Production Math,” National Journal, 3/17/11)




________________________ ___________


Obama = a lying sack of garbage. 

[Dos Equis]

Unreal. 

[Soul Crusher]

President Obama serenades supporters with Al Green classic at Harlem's Apollo Theater
New York Daily News ^ | January 19, 2011 | Celeste Katz
Posted on January 20, 2012 1:16:57 AM EST by OddLane

President Obama was the crooner-in-chief Thursday night, taking the stage at Harlem’s famed Apollo Theater and serenading supporters with an Al Green classic.

Capping three fund-raisers in the city, Obama softly sang the opening to “Let’s Stay Together,” with Green himself giving the Prez props for his chops.

“We’re so honored. It’s the first time we’ve ever had a sitting President at the Apollo,” the venue’s CEO, Jonelle Procope, said of the event where tickets went for $100 to $25,000.

Earlier, Obama met Jewish leaders at upper East Side restaurant Daniel and said the election is “going to be a tough race, regardless of who they nominate.”

(Excerpt) Read more at nydailynews.com ...







What a clown.

[MindSpin]

Is this wackjob 333386 still posting here?  Has he killed himself since Obama got reelected or is he holed up in some doomsday bunker clinging to his guns?

[garebear]

Is this wackjob 333386 still posting here?  Has he killed himself since Obama got reelected or is he holed up in some doomsday bunker clinging to his guns?

He's still here.

Thanks for bumping the thread.

I just had a good laugh at how many things a single person can get wrong.

[garebear]

More bang for your buck.