Romney Rising. Why? It’s The Economy, Stupid (The Note)
June 07, 2011 8:45 AM
By MICHAEL FALCONE (@michaelpfalcone) and AMY WALTER (@amyewalter)
Less than a week after officially kicking off his presidential campaign, Mitt Romney is starting to earn his front-runner label.
A new ABC News-Washington Post poll out this morning not only puts the former Massachusetts governor on top of the field of Republican presidential contenders, it also shows him pulling ahead of Obama among registered voters in a general election matchup.
http://abcn.ws/lwjRwoRomney is leading Obama, 49 percent to 46 percent in the trial heat among registered voters. (Among a larger pool -- all Americans -- Romney and the president are running even). Still, no other Republican even gets Obama under 50 percent. Moreover, Romney and Obama run evenly among women -- a group Obama won by 13 points in 2008.
While that’s great boost for Romney, today’s poll also reveals more evidence that a Sarah Palin candidacy would be a disaster for the GOP. Although she is in second place (17 percent) behind Romney (21 percent) in the GOP field, 64 percent of Americans say they would “definitely not” vote for her, including 41 percent of Republicans.
Though Romney and Palin are still ahead of the rest of the Republican pack, as ABC News pollster Gary Langer points out, “the flipside is that each is not supported by eight in 10 potential GOP voters, indicating plenty of room to move as the field coalesces and voters tune in. Today just 22 percent of Americans (and 24 percent of leaned Republicans) are following the 2012 presidential election very closely.”
http://abcn.ws/lwjRwoAnd, of course, the new numbers from the ABC News-Washington Post survey carry lots of bad news for the president, especially on voters’ views of his handling of the economy and their overall pessimism about the state of the American economy. On the same day that a high-profile member of Obama’s economic team, Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers Austan Goolsbee, announced he is leaving his post, the poll finds that 59 percent of Americans disapprove of Obama's handling of the economy.
Who would do a better job handling it? Respondents picked “Republicans in Congress” over the president by 3 percentage points. Sixty-six percent of Americans believe the country is on the wrong track.
Heading into the 2012 cycle, Obama is facing a 68 percent “Frustration Index” (based on ratings of the economy, presidential approval, anti-incumbency and dissatisfaction with the federal government). That’s lower than it was when Obama won in 2008 but at about the same place it was in 1992 when George H.W. Bush lost re-election.
These are scary numbers for the President and they confirm a central tenant of GOP case against Obama: it's the economy stupid.
More from Jake Tapper’s “Good Morning America” report on Obama’s flagging poll numbers (with an assist from the ABC Smart Screen):
http://abcn.ws/kCLShahttp://blogs.abcnews.com/thenote/2011/06/romney-rising-why-its-the-economy-stupid-the-note.htmlIn other news, 240, Blacken and a host of other liberals are currently on suicide watch.