Obama is not even going to run at this rate.
You don't get it do you. The approval ratings may be down but it doesn't mean that people are going to vote for the other person. The RCP stats show Obama being
every GOP contender by a sizable margin without any campaigning or ads and it will widen once there's only one left since that will be the time were all the ads come out. And its all because the Tea Party has turned the GOP into a complete hard right joke.
In order to win, the GOP will need to distance themselves from the Tea Party Movement. People are getting sick and tired of their anarchist terrorism and disruption of the legislative system.
BTW, you comment about Obama not running is just plain stupid. Of course he's running