http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Approval-Center.aspxIf Obama is at 44% overall, he is so done. He has artificial support from Black approval at 90%, but black votes are usually concentrated in areas where he is going to win anyway.
Additionally, the youth vote is typically unreliable which is also bouying his support.
I would be amongst likely voters at this point - his approval is probably 35-42%