Author Topic: Babe Ruth  (Read 15803 times)

King Shizzo

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #75 on: July 24, 2012, 01:58:19 PM »
Batting average is an overrated stat.

That said, your point stands - not many great powerhitters are masters of hitting themselves on base consistently.

Guys like Ruth, Foxx, Gehrig, Williams did it consistently and made the .300/500 club. Ok, Gehrig didn't technically make it, but anyone want to really point that out? He would have breeze in and came less than 10 HR's short before he got struck down.

I truly believe if circumstances had been a bit different, Hornsby would have hit more homeruns - arguably the greatest RH hitter of all time. Hank Greenberg would have done it easily were it not for injuries and military service in WW2.  

To play your stat up, the only guys to hit .300 while hitting over 500HRs

Ruth
Foxx
Aaron
Mays
Thomas
Ramirez (his numbers are scary, actually)
Ott

A case could have been made that had Foxx and Gehrig not been cut down in their prime, they would have approached the 600 HR mark with .300 avgs. Not Babe Ruth territory, but incredible. And Williams retired with a better lifetime BA, and would have been a legit 600 HR guy had he not cut his career short due to the military service.

A-Rod could squeak in, but not at the pace he's going. He'll pull a Bonds and just miss hitting .300 lifetime. Just like the Mick did.

Pujols can very likely do it, if this season is just a slump.

Chipper Jones and Vlad Guerro are outside shots. Age has caught up with them. Legit .300 lifetime hitters, but lost the power stroke.

If Piazza hadn't caught all those years, his body would have let him get into that club easily.

I don't put Stan the Man Musial in that group. He's an all-time great, but wasn't a great powerhitter. He was very, very good at power.

My dark horse would have been Dimaggio. Maybe he makes it if he gets more years out of that body. Cause he was great.


Lol, Awesome post.  Frank Thomas is one of my all-time Favorite players.   This just proves how good he really was.  He might have been the biggest player ever.

King Shizzo

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #76 on: July 24, 2012, 02:12:29 PM »
I think the more relevant stat is probably OPS for the lay stat follower.

Here it's easier to measure how successful a man got on base (ability to hit and walk) and how hard he drove the ball (slugging).

RK   Player   Pos   G   AB   R   H   2B   3B   HR   RBI   BB   SO   SB   CS   AVG   OBP   SLG   OPS▼
1   Ruth, B   OF   2503   8399   2174   2873   506   136   714   2213   2062   1330   123   117   .342   .474   .690   1.164
2   Williams, T   LF   2292   7706   1798   2654   525   71   521   1839   2019   709   24   17   .344   .482   .634   1.115
3   Gehrig, L   1B   2164   8001   1888   2721   534   163   493   1995   1508   790   102   101   .340   .447   .632   1.080
4   Bonds, B   LF   2986   9847   2227   2935   601   77   762   1996   2558   1539   514   141   .298   .444   .607   1.051
5   Foxx, J   1B   2317   8134   1751   2646   458   125   534   1922   1452   1311   87   72   .325   .428   .609   1.038
6   Pujols, A   1B   1801   6684   1343   2177   480   15   463   1390   1013   748   90   35   .326   .416   .610   1.026
7   Greenberg, H   1B   1394   5193   1051   1628   379   71   331   1276   852   844   58   26   .313   .412   .605   1.017
8   Hornsby, R   2B   2259   8173   1579   2930   541   169   301   1584   1038   679   135   64   .358   .434   .577   1.010
9   Ramirez, M   LF   2302   8244   1544   2574   547   20   555   1831   1329   1813   38   33   .312   .411   .585   .996
10   McGwire, M   1B   1874   6187   1167   1626   252   6   583   1414   1317   1596   12   8   .263   .394   .588   .982

Clearly, Ruth is a freak above all others.

And the top 12 OPS+ seasons of all time are all held by three men: Ruth, Bonds, and Williams. Of the 12 greatest seasons ever on offence, Ruth owns half of them. Not to diminish Bonds, who owns 4 himself including the two greatest of all-time. And Williams with 2.

Name    OPS    Year    Team    League    Rank
Barry Bonds    1.422 (1.42173)    2004    San Francisco Giants    NL    1
Barry Bonds    1.381 (1.38071)    2002    San Francisco Giants    NL    2
Babe Ruth             1.379 (1.37908)    1920    New York Yankees    AL    3
Barry Bonds    1.379 (1.37851)    2001    San Francisco Giants    NL    4
Babe Ruth            1.359 (1.35863)    1921    New York Yankees    AL    5
Babe Ruth            1.309 (1.30891)    1923    New York Yankees    AL    6
Ted Williams    1.287 (1.28745)    1941    Boston Red Sox            AL    7
Barry Bonds    1.278 (1.27781)    2003    San Francisco Giants    NL    8
Babe Ruth            1.258 (1.25819)    1927    New York Yankees    AL    9
Ted Williams    1.257 (1.25659)    1957    Boston Red Sox            AL    10
Babe Ruth            1.253 (1.25295)    1926    New York Yankees    AL    11
Babe Ruth            1.252 (1.25172)    1924    New York Yankees    AL    12
Agreed, but it was proven that Bonds was juiced.  That makes Ruth's stats stand out even more.

Nails

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #77 on: July 24, 2012, 02:16:04 PM »
SF giant stadium is only  309 feet the right field foul pole 


yankee stadium during ruth era was about 350


King Shizzo

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #78 on: July 24, 2012, 02:23:15 PM »
Let's look at it in terms of OPS adjusted then, which takes into account the fields being played on, the level of competition played against...essentially a stat that tries to normalize the variance you might see when trying to compare a juiced guy against a guy from the non-juice era. Put another way, a stat that allows one to compensate for the Coors Field effect on Larry Walker's hitting!

1. Babe Ruth, 206
  2. Ted Williams, 190
  3. Barry Bonds, 181
  4. Lou Gehrig, 178
  5. Rogers Hornsby, 175
  6. Mickey Mantle, 172
  7. Dan Brouthers, 170
  8. Joe Jackson, 169
  9. Ty Cobb, 168
  9. Albert Pujols, 168
11. Pete Browning, 163
12. Jimmie Foxx, 163

There are some serious movers and shakers, aren't there? Foxx drops way down. And what's Ty Cobb and Shoeless Joe and Dan Brouthers doing there? And Mickey Mantle shows up all of a sudden. Pretty neat. Of course, the clincher is that no matter how you cut it, Ruth/Bonds/Gehrig/Williams are the greatest hitters of all-time. It's hard to pick anybody better.

I guess that's why every kid in America is taught to hit left!
I'm impressed.  You definately know your baseball.  I think Griffey juiced in my opinion.  He was also the most gifted player I have ever seen personally.

The Ugly

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #79 on: July 24, 2012, 02:23:15 PM »
What is OPS?

King Shizzo

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #80 on: July 24, 2012, 02:34:34 PM »
Onbase plus slugging.

Pretty easy: add your on-base average to your slugging average.
I think Bond's OPS is skewed though.  It's not Babe's fault that modern day pitchers were too pussy to pitch to Bonds.  How many "intentional walks" were used in the old days?

Mr Nobody

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #81 on: July 24, 2012, 05:24:42 PM »
Does anyone know what the Babe's policy was on eating the pussies of whores?
Check with Bid Dicked Bob he may know.

Grape Ape

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #82 on: July 24, 2012, 06:27:30 PM »
Batting average is an overrated stat.

This.

The problem with batting average is that it assigns the same value for a single that it does for a double, triple and HR, all of which are more valuable.  It also ignores walks, which are valuable as well.

I also like how you pointed toward OPS as the next step.

It's funny, I see a lot of progression in terms of understanding stats that goes from show stats like BA, RBI, to OPS, to OPS+ to WAR, wOBA, BABIP, etc......  But it's funny, somewhere in the middle, they start misusing the stat, and become dumber as they try to get smarter.
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Hulkotron

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #83 on: July 24, 2012, 06:30:20 PM »
I think Bond's OPS is skewed though.  It's not Babe's fault that modern day pitchers were too pussy to pitch to Bonds.  How many "intentional walks" were used in the old days?

Had they pitched to him it probably would have just balanced out with higher slugging.  Bonds was ridiculous, he did not miss pitches to hit.

Grape Ape

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #84 on: July 24, 2012, 06:33:56 PM »
Had they pitched to him it probably would have just balanced out with higher slugging.  Bonds was ridiculous, he did not miss pitches to hit.

Yup, that season was probably the best single season ever.   He got one pitch to hit per game, and usually hit it.
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Hulkotron

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #85 on: July 24, 2012, 06:35:41 PM »
The year he hit all those homers was incredible.  It was before most teams realized "holy shit this guy's a robot" and kept pitching to him and he just kept jacking them out of the park.

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #86 on: July 24, 2012, 09:31:36 PM »
The year he hit all those homers was incredible.  It was before most teams realized "holy shit this guy's a robot" and kept pitching to him and he just kept jacking them out of the park.

i went to a dodgers game that year, two homeruns in a row and they walked him intentionally the next 4 at bats. Never seen anyone so dominating,  maybe Arod at times....bonds was a man among boys.
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flipper5470

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #87 on: July 25, 2012, 06:06:44 AM »
Miguel Cabrera has an outside shot at 600/.300.  He just became the 14th guy to get to 300 HR's before his 30th BDay.  He's an incredible talent....won the batting title as a RH hitter with zero speed.

Hulkotron

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #88 on: July 25, 2012, 06:08:25 AM »
In the tradition of Mickey Mantle he also likes to get deep in his cups.

ARod broke a bone in his hand yesterday.  I remember when him, Griffey, and a little later Pujols were all shoe-ins to supposedly break the home run record.

Grape Ape

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #89 on: July 25, 2012, 07:10:34 AM »

That said, the game is progressing. In 100 years, I wonder what stat they'll revere? I wonder if OPS won't be viewed as "incomplete" the way BA is.

OPS is viewed as incomplete by some, who cite it doesn't account for park factors, opposing defense, etc.   I think it's a pretty good indicator to start with, but sometimes you have to look further.  Dustin Pedroia is a good example - the disparity between his home/road splits shows his numbers are inflated by playing in Fenway park.  He's almost a competely different player on the road.
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ChristopherA

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #90 on: July 25, 2012, 07:45:10 AM »
I don't think Gridfey juiced. His body didn't change and he prob wouldn't have broken down so much if he had juiced. Just a flawless swing

Hulkotron

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #91 on: July 25, 2012, 08:15:49 AM »
I don't think Griffey even worked out much, much less bothered with P.E.D.

Grape Ape

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #92 on: July 25, 2012, 09:27:29 AM »
I think the OPS+ mark helps to account for that. It's like Larry Walker. Would he have been one of his generation's greatest hitters without Coors Field? Maybe, but then maybe his teammates wouldn't have been. And we all know Walker saw a lot of pitches he shouldn't have because he was surrounded by Bichette, et al, who were crushing it all around him. Who do you pitch to on that 90's Rockies lineup, in that field? Crazy.
OPS+ tries to account for it, though doesn't account for everything.
And then to get even deeper, we can always just go with WAR scores. I mean, I think a lot of HOF balloters lean a bit too hard on WAR scores. But then others do not. They fall prey to the simplicites of baseball, like the "wow factor" stuff such as personality, homeruns, average, media skills...the bullshit.
I also like the Base Runs metric, which gets down to the core issue of baseball - scoring runs, and who puts themselves in the best position to do so.
I would like it if you posted  in the Sports Forum.  This is good stuff.

Yeah, the problem with OPS+  is that, while probably directionally correct, people  try to use it as an absolute.   i.e.   Player A  at 95 is a slightly below average player, while Player B at 105 is a slightly above average.  The reality is the could be almost the same player.   .

I always take adjusted metrics with a grain of salt.

Case in point, Hideki Matsui:  2009 OPS:  .876,  OPS+ 123     2010  OPS: .826  OPS+ 126.  I get that it’s trying to adjust for Yankee Stadium, but to say he’s better in 2010 slugging a full .50 pts less is tough for me.

I only look at WAR in  terms of direction, and even then, ignore the defensive part of it.   Defensive  metrics like Zone Rating,  are pretty inaccuarate until the sample reaches three years (even the creators of the stat admit this).   Since WAR is cumulative, using the defensive metrics with an SS of a few months, half year, or even a full season don’t mean much to me.



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polychronopolous

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #93 on: July 25, 2012, 09:45:06 AM »
I remember one year someone came up with a system similar to the one listed above which included all these statistical variables and it concluded that Brent Barry was by far the best player in the league. :)

dr.chimps

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #94 on: July 25, 2012, 10:01:05 AM »
Love baseball, but the accounting side of it just makes my head swim.    ;D

Grape Ape

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #95 on: July 25, 2012, 10:07:32 AM »
Love baseball, but the accounting side of it just makes my head swim.    ;D

There has to be balance.  So many Sabr types misuse the stat because they don't understand the context of it.

The best teams use a mix of scouting and high level stat analysis.
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Grape Ape

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #96 on: July 25, 2012, 10:09:44 AM »
I remember one year someone came up with a system similar to the one listed above which included all these statistical variables and it concluded that Brent Barry was by far the best player in the league. :)

lol!

I've never heard of Brent Barry.  :-[
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funk51

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #97 on: July 25, 2012, 04:16:12 PM »
Babe Ruth was a lifetime .342 hitter.  Name another power hitter who even comes close to that career avg.  Name any hitter that averaged above .342  :P
see above ted williams and lou gehrig. gehrig was mr rbi.
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funk51

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #98 on: July 25, 2012, 04:17:17 PM »
Awesome, must-read book. He also starred in Altman's 'The Long Goodbye.'  Arnold had a bit part as a henchman, too. Solid flick.
bouton had his own tv show for awhile a sitcom about baseball
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Hulkotron

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Re: Babe Ruth
« Reply #99 on: July 25, 2012, 04:18:00 PM »
lol!

I've never heard of Brent Barry.  :-[

He's a basketball player, unless there's some baseball player with the same name who I've never heard of.