Author Topic: 14th quarter  (Read 686 times)

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14th quarter
« on: July 23, 2012, 08:49:42 PM »
Jimmy Carter averaged a 35.8 percent approval rating in the 14th quarter of his presidency.
George H.W. Bush averaged a 39.2 percent approval rating.


Obama's numbers most similarly reflect those of George W. Bush at a similar time in his presidency.   Obama averaged a 46.8 percent approval rating in Gallup's tracking poll over the 14th quarter of his presidency.

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/239421-gallup-obamas-approval-rating-rises-for-third-straight-quarter

Dos Equis

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2012, 05:25:08 PM »
Oh brother.   ::)  The entire article:

Gallup finds Obama approval rating rising for third straight quarter
By Justin Sink - 07/23/12

President Obama's job approval has steadily edged up in recent months and now significantly outpaces that of Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush — the two most recent incumbents to be denied a second term — although the president remains below the crucial 50 percent threshold.

The president averaged a 46.8 percent approval rating in Gallup's tracking poll over the 14th quarter of his presidency — the third straight quarter that the president's approval numbers have increased, and his highest in a year.

"The recent and continuing improvement in his approval rating, though, is a positive sign for his reelection prospects, but it remains below the 50 percent level that virtually assures a president of a second term in office," said Gallup's Jeffrey M. Jones in a release. "Obama appears in much better shape now than the two recently elected presidents who were denied a second term — Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush — both of whom averaged below 40 percent approval their 14th quarters in office."

Jimmy Carter averaged a 35.8 percent approval rating in the 14th quarter of his presidency, while George H.W. Bush averaged a 39.2 percent approval rating. Obama's numbers most similarly reflect those of George W. Bush at a similar time in his presidency.

It could be tough for Obama to dramatically change perceptions before Election Day, with no president adding more than 2 points or losing more than 4 in job approval over the months immediately preceding the election.

But the president will need to keep his numbers at least steady to have a good shot at reelection.

"If Obama's standing among the public, as measured by his job approval rating, improves in the coming months, he will be in a stronger position for reelection. But if his approval rating declines, a second Obama term would be very much in doubt," said Jones.

Dos Equis

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2012, 05:25:36 PM »
And if he's under 50 percent, which it looks like he will be, he loses. 

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2012, 05:55:14 PM »
I dont think we've had a challenger as weak or impotent as Romney in decades.

Dos Equis

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2012, 06:10:31 PM »
Bwahahahahaaha! 

Dos Equis

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #5 on: July 24, 2012, 06:11:01 PM »
Funny what happens when you actually read the link. 

Straw Man

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #6 on: July 24, 2012, 06:41:39 PM »
Funny what happens when you actually read the link

did you actually read it?

It says Obama's rating have been going up for 3 quarters in a row and even though he is at 46.8 it  "remains below the 50 percent level that virtually assures a president of a second term in office"

you've chosen to interpret that as if it means he is assured to lose if not at 50% which is, of course, not at all what it says

And if he's under 50 percent, which it looks like he will be, he loses. 

Fury

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #7 on: July 24, 2012, 06:54:01 PM »
I dont think we've had a challenger as weak or impotent as Romney in decades.

I think you keep regurgitating this as a means of reassuring yourself that the greatest orator in the history of the world isn't in for the fight of his life over the next 4 months. Your cult-like devotion to him is fucking sad.


Grape Ape

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #8 on: July 24, 2012, 06:58:56 PM »
I dont think we've had a challenger as weak or impotent as Romney in decades.

John Kerry says hi.
Y

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #9 on: July 24, 2012, 07:34:51 PM »
did you actually read it?

It says Obama's rating have been going up for 3 quarters in a row and even though he is at 46.8 it  "remains below the 50 percent level that virtually assures a president of a second term in office"

you've chosen to interpret that as if it means he is assured to lose if not at 50% which is, of course, not at all what it says


you make a great point

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Re: 14th quarter
« Reply #10 on: July 24, 2012, 07:38:04 PM »
John Kerry says hi.

good point there.   Mitt is about as much like john kerry as one can get.

and just as (I celebrated when) Bush Ohio'd his way back into office for another term... There isn't a doubt in my mind thta obama will cheat to the win if it is close at all.

There is still time for repubs to demand he release tax records, resign in disgrace, and let Jeb lead the party to a crushing win.  But ROmney ain't having that.