ROMNEY'S CHANCES OF WINNING

[blacken700]

TELLING A ROMNEY VOTER THE CHANCES OF WINNING

[240 is Back]

If we know anything, it's that america LOVES an underdog, a comeback story, a good "oh, you got BURNED!"

Any state that would have a clueless, bumbling sneaky dude like herman cain up by 28 points over qualified republicans, then down to something dismal like 5% a month later... can turn on a dime for obama too.

it's not over yet.  What matters now?  2 things.  1) Money - has it dried up?  We found out soon.   2) Debates.

[Soul Crusher]

If we know anything, it's that america LOVES an underdog, a comeback story, a good "oh, you got BURNED!"

Any state that would have a clueless, bumbling sneaky dude like herman cain up by 28 points over qualified republicans, then down to something dismal like 5% a month later... can turn on a dime for obama too.

it's not over yet.  What matters now?  2 things.  1) Money - has it dried up?  We found out soon.   2) Debates.

Obama might have peaked too early.  The kneepadders might be in for a rude awakening. 

[240 is Back]

Obama might have peaked too early.  The kneepadders might be in for a rude awakening. 

the prez race is way less volatile than the primary race, since there's only 2.  But you're right, he may have.

The MONEY is what decides the presidential race.  It was HUGE was Romney was wrecking him money-wise.  Their Sept donor numbers will be huge.

[Hugo Chavez]

Obama might have peaked too early.  The kneepadders might be in for a rude awakening. 

If Romney wins I'm guessing it will happen because of Obama supporters who think he has the win in the bag.  The media has been all over for weeks now almost saying Romney can't win.  This will bring every Romney voter to the voting booth and could result a percent of Obama supporters not voting.

[240 is Back]

obama has a lead of 2-4 nationally.  But he has much bigger leads in the 11 battleground states that will determine the race.

national numbers don't mean much, other than a slight indicator.

[LurkerNoMore]

THIS JUST IN : Romney loses practice debate to Siri.

[240 is Back]

If Romney wins I'm guessing it will happen because of Obama supporters who think he has the win in the bag.  The media has been all over for weeks now almost saying Romney can't win.  This will bring every Romney voter to the voting booth and could result a percent of Obama supporters not voting.

IF IF IF the donor dollars drop a lot... will the voters still come out?  Why would they lack enthusiasm to donate, but possess motivation to vote?

[Hugo Chavez]

IF IF IF the donor dollars drop a lot... will the voters still come out?  Why would they lack enthusiasm to donate, but possess motivation to vote?

well I'm just guessing.  If I gave a shit about Obama winning the election, I sure in the hell would not want the media sending the message that it's almost impossible for him to lose.  And that's what they've been saying.  Even Maddow has been saying that.  That could put a little lazy into Obama voters where as we know full well Romney supporters are motivated and will be there to vote.  If just 3 or 4 percent don't show up becuase they think he has it won anyway, that could be a disaster for Obama.

[Soul Crusher]

well I'm just guessing.  If I gave a shit about Obama winning the election, I sure in the hell would not want the media sending the message that it's almost impossible for him to lose.  And that's what they've been saying.  Even Maddow has been saying that.  That could put a little lazy into Obama voters where as we know full well Romney supporters are motivated and will be there to vote.

35 days is a lifetime in politics and i will tell you there is ZERO enthusiasm in NYC for obama.  No signs, no stickers, no yard signs, ZILCH 

[Hugo Chavez]

35 days is a lifetime in politics and i will tell you there is ZERO enthusiasm in NYC for obama.  No signs, no stickers, no yard signs, ZILCH  

that's because of this:

People are losing faith in their candidates and elections. I see it here as well. They're so disheartened with their choices that its almost sad.

Republicans might not like Romney much either, but they want Obama gone a lot more than they dislike Romeny so they will be there on election day.  I'm right that the media tellling people Obama has the election won could very well backfire on Obama "bigtime."

[Hugo Chavez]

It's the same in Wyoming.  Last time there were signs all over the place for both McCain and Obama.  A lot more for McCain but you still saw plenty of signs.  As I drive around now it looks like the bulk of signs are for local races.  Not nearly as many for Obama or Romney.  Shockwave's response is right.

[Soul Crusher]

that's because of this:

Republicans might not like Romney much either, but they want Obama gone a lot more than they dislike Romeny so they will be there on election day.  I'm right that the media tellling people Obama has the election won could very well backfire on Obama "bigtime."

I agree - I'm just harkening back to 2008 and the difference is striking.  

Remember Obama giving speeches to tens of thousands of people all over the place in huge outdoor venues?

Remember all the cars w all the "Hope " stickers etc?  

The college kids were all wee weed up.  

Now - there is nothing at all.  Obama phone lady?   Yeah good luck with that.  

I think these polls are going to be wwaaayyy off as its going to come down to turnout in what i think will be a very low overall turnout election.  

Romney voters - "yeah Romney sucks but ABO!!!"  

Obama voters - "yeah obama disappointed on so many promises - but look at Romney"  


I guess it comes down to which groups hates the other worse.  
 

[240 is Back]

dems aren't as energized because obama didn't come thru as they had hoped.

repubs aren't energized because most of them love the tea party and anti-gun, romneycare dude like author doesn't exactly give them tingles.

Neither party has a rock star in 2012.  Even Paul Ryan has been kind of goofy.  Palin was lighting shit up last time.  Ryan's honeymoon is kinda over in comparison.

[Emmortal]

It's the same in Wyoming.  Last time there were signs all over the place for both McCain and Obama.  A lot more for McCain but you still saw plenty of signs.  As I drive around now it looks like the bulk of signs are for local races.  Not nearly as many for Obama or Romney.  Shockwave's response is right.

Same in LA, haven't seen shit for Obama or Romney, well the later being obvious.

[Soul Crusher]

Same in LA, haven't seen shit for Obama or Romney, well the later being obvious.

Its strange! 

I remember every election back to 1996 and even Dole had more stuff out there. 

Shit - I saw Kerry Edwards stickers on cars till 2008! 

2000 / 2004 saw tons and tons of cars and pick ups with "W" on the back. 

2008 - NYC and Westchestr was PLASTERED w obama stuff.  NOW - ZILCH NOTHING ZERO! 

Yonkers/Mt. Vernon/New rochelle/Bronx?  Nothing but a few stickers here or there at best.