Author Topic: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47  (Read 890 times)

blacken700

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UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« on: October 24, 2012, 07:14:48 AM »
It was Romney 49 Obama 46 in the same poll released last week and apparently tied before the third debate
 
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2012/10/24/UPI-Poll-Obama-has-slim-lead-over-Romney/UPI-69121351080241/?spt=hs&or=tn

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2012, 07:16:07 AM »
did romney peak too soon?  obama sure did.

Soul Crusher

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2012, 07:18:19 AM »
did romney peak too soon?  obama sure did.


Incumbent under 50% and demo oversampling.    LOL!!!!


Ras has Romney still at 50%

Gallup has Romney over 50%

Undecides break 3-1 challenger. 

This is terrible for obama.  You clowns grasp for anything to support the messiah.

Romney peaking?  LOL - did you see the massive crowd in CO last night?

MCWAY

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2012, 07:20:00 AM »
It was Romney 49 Obama 46 in the same poll released last week and apparently tied before the third debate
 
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2012/10/24/UPI-Poll-Obama-has-slim-lead-over-Romney/UPI-69121351080241/?spt=hs&or=tn

Late to the party again. That poll has it essentially tied; the undecideds will break for Romney.

The 3rd debate has done basically nothing to help Obama's fortunes (much as his winning the second debate had no effect).

Not to mention ABC/WP has Romney up 1.

blacken700

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2012, 07:22:16 AM »
 :D :D :D :D :D :D :D  if the poll has obama up it's no good but if romney is ahead it's spot on :D :D :D :D :D    anyone else see this pattern :D :D

MCWAY

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2012, 07:27:55 AM »
:D :D :D :D :D :D :D  if the poll has obama up it's no good but if romney is ahead it's spot on :D :D :D :D :D    anyone else see this pattern :D :D


The poll is WITHIN THE MARGIN OF ERROR. Even the very link you provided says that.

When polls are in the margin of error, the race in that poll is essentially a TIE.

Since it's tied but the total doesn't add to 100% that means the remaining voters are UNDECIDEDS.

And, guess how undecideds usually break in a close race, genius.

The pattern people notice is that you'll scrounge up anything to feed your delusion that Obama has this in the bag, when he clearly does not.

Need I remind you, YOU were the one that was all on the Rasmussen bandwagon when it had Obama up in the swing state poll....FOR ONE WHOLE DAY.

Once, the lead went back to Romney, you dropped Rasmussen's SS poll like a overheated brick (and haven't touched it, since then).

blacken700

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2012, 07:32:47 AM »
hey genius most of the swing state polls are to close to call that's why they're swing states

MCWAY

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2012, 08:11:52 AM »
hey genius most of the swing state polls are to close to call that's why they're swing states

EXACTLY!! And if it's close the undecideds make the difference. Guess where those undecideds normally go, Einstein.

MCWAY

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2012, 08:17:38 AM »

Incumbent under 50% and demo oversampling.    LOL!!!!


Ras has Romney still at 50%

Gallup has Romney over 50%

Undecides break 3-1 challenger. 

This is terrible for obama.  You clowns grasp for anything to support the messiah.

Romney peaking?  LOL - did you see the massive crowd in CO last night?

Rasmussen now has Romney up 50-46 in Colorado.

blacken700

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2012, 08:17:50 AM »
did you say that yesterday tooooooooo    :D :D :D :D   and so if were going to go by what normally happens then romney doesn't win without ohio, right  einstein  :D :D :D :D :D

GigantorX

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2012, 08:21:41 AM »
did you say that yesterday tooooooooo    :D :D :D :D   and so if were going to go by what normally happens then romney doesn't win without ohio, right  einstein  :D :D :D :D :D

PUT THE CRACK PIPE DOWN, SIR.

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2012, 08:36:57 AM »
did you say that yesterday tooooooooo    :D :D :D :D   and so if were going to go by what normally happens then romney doesn't win without ohio, right  einstein  :D :D :D :D :D

Obama's lead is less than two points (RCP average) in Ohio, with the latest polls having them tied. The undecideds go for the challenger. What part of that fails to enter that thick skull of yours?

But, if you want to get into what normally happens, Romney's over 50% in Gallup. Guess what normally happens when a challenger is in that area.

The way the race is going, neither man needs Ohio to win; though winning the Buckeye state definitely helps the cause.

blacken700

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2012, 08:43:38 AM »
i say your putting to much hope that the undecideds go to romney,do you know that 60% of theundecideds are women and women have been breaking for obama    i guess will have to wait and see  :)

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2012, 08:45:02 AM »
Daily Swing State Tracking Poll Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 45%
 Rasmussen ^ | 10/24 | Rasmussen

Posted on Wednesday, October 24, 2012 11:43:09 AM by tatown

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account, subscribe now.

Platinum Members have access to detailed demographic information.

In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

This is now the fourth time Romney has hit the 50% mark in the combined swing states in the past five days. This survey is conducted on a rolling seven-day basis, and most of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of Monday night’s presidential debate. Romney has now held a modest lead for 13 of the last 16 days; Obama was ahead twice, and the candidates ran even once.


(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...

blacken700

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2012, 08:50:36 AM »
is this the poll with the only accurate numbers :D :D :D you guys always seem to fall back to this on :D

MCWAY

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2012, 09:03:28 AM »
is this the poll with the only accurate numbers :D :D :D you guys always seem to fall back to this on :D

This is the poll YOU USED last week.....for a whole day.....when it had Obama leading. You made an entire thread about it, remember?

http://www.getbig.com/boards/index.php?topic=444438.0

blacken700

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2012, 09:18:02 AM »
This is the poll YOU USED last week.....for a whole day.....when it had Obama leading. You made an entire thread about it, remember?

http://www.getbig.com/boards/index.php?topic=444438.0

since your good at looking up shit can you find where you posted about rcp average for ohio yesterday :D :D :D   and your missing the point i post alot of different polls,the repubs on this board always seem to come back to this one

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2012, 09:18:44 AM »
since your good at looking up shit can you find where you posted about rcp average for ohio yesterday

how many points is ROmney up by in RCP?

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2012, 09:24:09 AM »
how many points is ROmney up by in RCP?

Overall, by 0.9.


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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2012, 09:27:05 AM »
Overall, by 0.9.



damn, this election be close.

MCWAY

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2012, 09:30:22 AM »
since your good at looking up shit can you find where you posted about rcp average for ohio yesterday :D :D :D   and your missing the point i post alot of different polls,the repubs on this board always seem to come back to this one


Rasumssen is consistent and doesn't oversample, unlike a number of other polls do. That's the reason I reference it, as do others.


I didn't miss the point. To the contrary, I made the point that, in your desperation to feed your delusion that Obama has the race in the bag, you resorted (for one day, at least) to reference a poll you normally wouldn't touch, because of alleged conservative bias.

As for my statement about Obama's RCP lead in Ohio, it's on the G&O board, the thread about the 3rd debate, reply #218.

http://www.getbig.com/boards/index.php?topic=445047.200

Hardly!! Suffolk polling has it tied at 47; Rasmussen has Obama up just one....a significant DROP from where it was just a few weeks back. Obama's RCP average lead is less than 2 points. And you know that, in a essentially tied race, the undecideds go for the challenger, not the incumbent.

If that tradition holds true, Romney wins that state 51-48, at least.

MCWAY

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Re: UPI POLL: Obamato 49, Romney down to 47
« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2012, 09:53:46 AM »
i say your putting to much hope that the undecideds go to romney,do you know that 60% of theundecideds are women and women have been breaking for obama    i guess will have to wait and see  :)

Romney has closed the gap with women. Add to that, the 40% of undecideds who are MEN....they have DROPPED Obama big time.

As one pundit put, men are beyond buyers' remorse; they're for full product recall.