REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Going To Trounce Mitt Romney In A Landslide

[blacken700]

http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-romney-electoral-college-map-reuters-poll-ipsos-2012-10?utm

[Soul Crusher]

http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-romney-electoral-college-map-reuters-poll-ipsos-2012-10?utm

LOL.  So laughable its not even funny.  Just look at that chart. 

[blacken700]

if romney loses ohio he loses the election,sorry it's that simple

[Soul Crusher]

if romney loses ohio he loses the election,sorry it's that simple

LOL. 

Early In Person Voting #s for Bellweather OH County (disaster for Ds)
 OH early voting statistics | 10/24/2012 | LS

Posted on Wednesday, October 24, 2012 9:30:22 AM by LS

Just had this reported to me by GOP activist for early voting in first four weeks in Montgomery County.

CONTEXT: Montgomery is D heavy, usually goes D by 4000-5000 votes. In general, OH went HEAVY for Obama in early voting last year. McCain actually won the "election day" vote, but lost in early voting.

Here we go:

Week 1: (2008) 3427 (2012) 680

Week 2: (2008) 1918 (2012) 275

Week 3: (2008) 1508 (2012) 469

Week 4: (2008) 3794 (2012) 800

TOTALS: (2008) 10,467 (2012) 2224



Not only are the early votes down almost 80% from 08, but a higher number of Rs are voting early (though not huge). Still, in 08 early voting was close to 95% D, so even these numbers don't represent all D voters.

If other counties are anywhere close to this, it's over.

[flipper5470]

If Romney takes PA...he can lose OH.  But he's not going to lose OH.....

[MCWAY]

If Romney takes PA...he can lose OH.  But he's not going to lose OH.....

That's been discussed on both RCP and Fox News. If Romney gets Colorado/Wisconsin and New Hampshire, he can win without Ohio.

With that said, the latest Rasmussen poll has it TIED in Ohio.

Dr. Larry Sabato, from the University of Virginia, said that Ohioans shouldn't get a big head and broke down how both men can with without the Buckeye state.

[blacken700]

That's been discussed on both RCP and Fox News. If Romney gets Colorado/Wisconsin and New Hampshire, he can win without Ohio.

With that said, the latest Rasmussen poll has it TIED in Ohio.

Dr. Larry Sabato, from the University of Virginia, said that Ohioans shouldn't get a big head and broke down how both men can with without the Buckeye state.

what's the rcp average for ohio    you like them alot

[MCWAY]

what's the rcp average for ohio    you like them alot

I mentioned that yesterday. Obama up by less than two (1.7 to be exact).

An incumbent with that small of a lead, less than two weeks out, spells MAJOR TROUBLE.

Plus, as has been spelled out (multiple times in multiple threads), Romney can with WITHOUT OHIO; for that matter, so can Obama.

[blacken700]

sure romney can but the roads alot harder and when was the last time a repub has done it

[MCWAY]

sure romney can but the roads alot harder and when was the last time a repub has done it

Not as hard as you think. New Hampshire and Wisconsin are both within striking range for Romney has Obama's lead in both states has PLUNGED in last three weeks.

Those are states Obama could have and should have locked up months ago.

[Soul Crusher]

http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-romney-electoral-college-map-reuters-poll-ipsos-2012-10?utm

romney is going to win FL, VA, and CO moron 

[blacken700]

mcway, you said obama was ahead on the rcp average yesterday,can you post it, i must have missed it

[MCWAY]

mcway, you said obama was ahead on the rcp average yesterday,can you post it, i must have missed it

It was in my discussion on another thread with Vince. And it was with regards to specific states (I believe Ohio was one of them).

[MCWAY]

romney is going to win FL, VA, and CO moron 

Florida staying blue? It's not looking that way on RCP. Romney's up there by a bit less than two. Of the five polls that make up the current RCP average there, Obama leads in just one...by one.

[GigantorX]

It was in my discussion on another thread with Vince. And it was with regards to specific states (I believe Ohio was one of them).

The OH lead is down to 1.7

[blacken700]

so it's gone from i mentioned that yestertday to i believe i did     uumumumumumummmmm ok

[GigantorX]

Florida staying blue? It's not looking that way on RCP. Romney's up there by a bit less than two. Of the five polls that make up the current RCP average there, Obama leads in just one...by one.

Florida will be red.

[Vince G, CSN MFT]

The OH lead is down to 1.7

They are just removing old statistics.....there's not been any change overall.  Ohio is going to be longshot for Romney and a must win for him to get to 270 because he's not going to do with with Wisconsin or New Hampshire.  


That 3rd debate was his last opportunity to push the polls and he didn't do it....so now he's going to have to run and gun for the last few weeks and spend a lot of money on late ads.

[Vince G, CSN MFT]

Florida will be red.

Prob....but there's a ton of Latinos in Florida and AARP is still running attack ads against Romney.  He'll need to keep the pressure on there

[Soul Crusher]

They are just removing old statistics.....there's not been any change overall.  Ohio is going to be longshot for Romney and a must win for him to get to 270 because he's not going to do with with Wisconsin or New Hampshire.  


That 3rd debate was his last opportunity to push the polls and he didn't do it....so now he's going to have to run and gun for the last few weeks and spend a lot of money on late ads.

Obama has not hit 50% in even one poll that has been D+3-8.  Do you realize how bad that is? 

[GigantorX]

They are just removing old statistics.....there's not been any change overall.  Ohio is going to be longshot for Romney and a must win for him to get to 270 because he's not going to do with with Wisconsin or New Hampshire.  


That 3rd debate was his last opportunity to push the polls and he didn't do it....so now he's going to have to run and gun for the last few weeks and spend a lot of money on late ads.

Ohio is definitely not a longshot, sorry.

Michigan is a longshot, not Ohio.

[MCWAY]

They are just removing old statistics.....there's not been any change overall.  Ohio is going to be longshot for Romney and a must win for him to get to 270 because he's not going to do with with Wisconsin or New Hampshire.  


That 3rd debate was his last opportunity to push the polls and he didn't do it....so now he's going to have to run and gun for the last few weeks and spend a lot of money on late ads.

There has been a change overall. Two polls recently released have the race TIED (Suffolk) and Obama up 1 (Rasmussen).

[Vince G, CSN MFT]

Ohio is definitely not a longshot, sorry.

Michigan is a longshot, not Ohio.

Ohio is a longshot...Michigan is out of play, Pennsylvania is out of play, North Carolina is out of play....anything above 2 points is out of play at this point.  Early voting has already started and there's less than 3 weeks left.  

Romney can win still....but he's going to have to fight very hard...especially since he didn't do well in the final debate.  He might need a bayonet....

[MCWAY]

Ohio is a longshot...Michigan is out of play, Pennsylvania is out of play, North Carolina is out of play....anything above 2 points is out of play at this point.  Early voting has already started and there's less than 3 weeks left.  

Romney can win still....but he's going to have to fight very hard...especially since he didn't do well in the final debate.  He might need a bayonet....

Are you on the same planet?

Rasmussen and Suffolk have it TIED in Ohio (48-48 and 47-47, respectively); that ain't a long shot.

North Carolina? PLEASE!! RCP moved that from "Toss up" to Lean Romney weeks ago (the average is over FIVE POINTS); Rasmussen has done the same. Suffolk polling has pulled out of NC (along with Florida and Virginia), because it feels Romney has that all but locked, barring some strange happening within the next 13 days.

The final debate didn't mean JACK. It was foreign policy, nowhere NEAR the top priority of the American people. Even those in the focus groups and polls, who said Obama won that debate, GAVE ROMNEY THE NOD on the economy.

And, don't even bother with the early voting stuff. The Dems had the edge there two years ago....a lot of good it did them.

[Vince G, CSN MFT]

One thing I need to mention....Florida isn't going to be an easy win for Romney because 22% of the population is Latino and 16% is blacks.....even though you have a large elderly population, AARP has unleashed a lot of attacks in the area which could undermine a normally Republican stronghold.  McCain lost last go around because he ignored the state.  

The majority of these people are not polled at all as they really don't care.....so Romney needs to pound out the cracker vote for everything that its worth because if he loses that state....it won't make a difference