Author Topic: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote  (Read 635 times)

blacken700

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Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« on: October 30, 2012, 01:46:51 PM »
Both candidates have been urging supporters not just to vote but to do it early as Republicans and Democrats campaign vigorously - particularly in key battleground states - to lock up as many votes as possible before Election Day on November 6.

Polls of people who say they already have voted show Obama with a lead in many of the states. The Obama campaign, which benefited from early voting in 2008, has focused heavily on urging supporters to vote early in this election as well.

Obama leads Romney 54 percent to 39 percent among voters who already have cast ballots, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling data compiled in recent weeks. The sample size of early voters is 960 people with a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

About 18 percent of registered voters already have cast ballots, the Reuters/Ipsos polling data showed. Around a quarter of minority voters - who tend to support Obama - and almost a fifth of white voters have cast ballots, the data showed.

Allison Gilmore voted during her lunch break at a community center in Arlington, Virginia. Like many who vote early, Gilmore was not sure she could make it on Election Day.

"I don't know how busy I'll be at work, (with) childcare - and I want to make sure I get my vote in," said Gilmore, 35, who declined to say for whom she voted.

Another voter, Myrna Levey of Cleveland, Ohio, said she voted early for Obama, by mail through an absentee ballot.

"It's more convenient," said Levey, 74. "They moved our voting place several blocks away and it is no longer in walking distance."

RECORD NUMBERS

Early voting, which began in some states in September, is now underway in nearly all 50 states, either by mail-in or in-person voting. Political scientists who specialize in early voting predict that a record 35 to 40 percent of all U.S. voters will cast their ballots before the November 6 election.

"In some of the battleground states, rates are even above that," said Michael McDonald, a political science professor at George Mason University in Virginia who runs the U.S. Elections Project and tracks all early votes (U.S. Elections Project: here).

"There's a lot of activity out there with both the Romney and the Obama campaigns organizing and mobilizing their supporters to vote early," McDonald said.

According to McDonald's data, states such as Iowa and Ohio - both of which are considered pivotal in the election - show a faster pace of early voting than in 2008.

A main reason for the increase in numbers of people voting early is that Republicans, who were caught flat-footed by Obama's strong performance in early voting in 2008, have put more emphasis on it this time around, experts said.

The parties have been sending out dueling memos in the past few days with each side claiming to have the upper hand in early voting.

As a sign of the importance the Democrats place on early voting, Obama became the first sitting president to vote early when he cast his ballot in Chicago on Thursday.

The two parties spent a lot of time in court this year battling over early voting laws in states such as Florida and Ohio as Democrats accused Republicans of trying to limit early voting to suppress the turnout of working-class and minority voters.

In the end, Ohio was ordered by the courts to allow early voting to all until the eve of the election. And while Florida cut the number of days of early voting, it agreed to extend the number of hours on each day to satisfy critics.


240 is Back

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2012, 04:16:16 PM »
oh screw your numbers, i count romney signs on sanibel, FL... that's all the'data' i need.

Soul Crusher

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2012, 04:59:19 PM »
oh screw your numbers, i count romney signs on sanibel, FL... that's all the'data' i need.



Gallup has Romney up 7 in early voting.  You messiah is done.

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2012, 05:07:37 PM »
Obama leads Romney 54 percent to 39 percent among voters who already have cast ballots, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling data compiled in recent weeks. The sample size of early voters is 960 people with a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

I thought many more repubs - and far fewer dems - were voting early in 2012?

More repub voters - and way more Obama votes.  How does this make sense?

Soul Crusher

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2012, 05:14:04 PM »
I thought many more repubs - and far fewer dems - were voting early in 2012?

More repub voters - and way more Obama votes.  How does this make sense?


Reuters has a horrible record.   The raw data is horrifying for thugbama

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2012, 05:18:03 PM »

Reuters has a horrible record.

What is horrible about their record?  What were their 2004 and 2008 numbers?

Soul Crusher

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2012, 05:21:13 PM »
What is horrible about their record?  What were their 2004 and 2008 numbers?



Look it up yourself.    How you can still kneepad Obama even now is telling.

Straw Man

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2012, 05:56:13 PM »
I thought many more repubs - and far fewer dems - were voting early in 2012?

More repub voters - and way more Obama votes.  How does this make sense?

McWay can explain it to you

Here's a quick summary

If Dems are ahead in early voting it's irrelevent yet also somehow crucial as he's decided that it is a requisite for them to win

If Repubs are ahead in early voting it's simply game over for Obama

get it ?

Hugo Chavez

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2012, 06:10:37 PM »
McWay can explain it to you

Here's a quick summary

If Dems are ahead it early voting it's irrelevent yet also somehow crucial as he's decided that it is a requisite for them to win

If Repubs are ahead it early voting it's simply game over for Obama

get it ?
lol

MCWAY

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2012, 06:43:24 PM »
McWay can explain it to you

Here's a quick summary

If Dems are ahead in early voting it's irrelevent yet also somehow crucial as he's decided that it is a requisite for them to win

If Repubs are ahead in early voting it's simply game over for Obama

get it ?

Try again, Straw.

Dems had strong early voting in 2010 and 2012 (Wisconsin recall)....Yet, they got the taste out their mouths both times.

Now, despite the First Lady and David Axelrod proclaiming that early voting is their trump card to victory, multiple polls shows that the GOP is BEATING THEM at their own game.

If that keeps up, the First Lady and the President will be drinking (as they were planning to do on their anniversary) for much different reasons.

Of course, Straw has been asked FOUR TIMES how the Dems plan on winning, without this major cog to their operation. To the surprise of.....well....NO ONE, he has yet to answer.

Straw Man

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2012, 06:48:12 PM »
Try again, Straw.

Dems have strong early voting in 2010 and 2012 (Wisconsin recall)....Yet, they got the taste out their mouths both times.

Now, despite the First Lady and David Axelrod proclaiming that early voting is their trump card to victory, multiple polls shows that the GOP is BEATING THEM at their own game.

If that keeps up, the First Lady and the President will be drinking (as they were planning to do on their anniversary) for much different reasons.

I summarized your exact position

According to you Dems can't win unless they are ahead in early voting yet being ahead in early voting is also irrelevent (according to you) because they were ahead in two circumstances that you've provided yet still lost

on the other hand when it was pointed out that Repubs were ahead in early voting (according to Gallup) you wrote
the following

IF this is true, stick the fork in Obama; he's done!

MCWAY

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2012, 06:49:59 PM »
I summarized your exact position

According to you Dems can't win unless they are ahead in early voting yet being ahead in early voting is also irrelevent (according to you) because they were ahead in two circumstances that you've provided yet still lost

on the other hand when it was pointed out that Repubs were ahead in early voting (according to Gallup) you wrote
the following


I know I wrote that.

And, I stand by what I said.

So, try answering the question for once: How do the Dems win, if they're banking on early voting to be the difference maker, yet that edge for them is GONE?


POB

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2012, 07:45:07 PM »
I summarized your exact position

According to you Dems can't win unless they are ahead in early voting yet being ahead in early voting is also irrelevent (according to you) because they were ahead in two circumstances that you've provided yet still lost

on the other hand when it was pointed out that Repubs were ahead in early voting (according to Gallup) you wrote
the following


He's flip flopping like Romney

MCWAY

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Re: Reuters polling showed Obama winning the early vote
« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2012, 07:51:43 PM »
He's flip flopping like Romney

Flip-flopping? I stand by what I said, on BOTH posts. No retractions, whatosever.

Let me put this in language you can understand:

How many times in the last 30 or so years have the Dems received at least 90% of the black vote in a presidential election?

How many times have they won, having at least 90% of the black vote?