Author Topic: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.  (Read 1145 times)

blacken700

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 11873
  • Getbig!
this was a guy who just a couple days ago was saying Romney would win in a landslide.  :D :D :D :D


In The Last Few Hours…Sudden Danger Signs In Polling
 
By Dick Morris on November 2, 2012
 


As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.
 
With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48. That is troublesome.
              ^^^^^^^^^^ for mchannity ^^^^^^^^^

And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday night’s polling, he was tied.We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan.
 
More troubling, Rasmussen shows a two point gain for Obama in job approval rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll.
 
All of these changes are, no doubt, related to hurricane Sandy.
 
Nobody really knows what the impact of hurricane Sandy will be on the election. Until its waves crashed into the New Jersey shore, the election was well in hand for the Romney campaign.
 
Coming off strong debate performances in which he debunked Obama’s negative attacks on him, the former Massachusetts governor was doing very well. Obama was reeling, unable to regain his footing, in search of a message, and bedeviled by questions about his increasingly obvious coverup of the Libyan attacks.
 
But after the storm? Who knows? We have never had a storm so close to a national election, much less one as close as this is.
 
Many a governor or mayor has recovered from political oblivion by actively running around his state seeming to coordinate storm relief. And just as many have fallen apart because of a failure to clean up promptly.
 
It may be that Obama’s visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.

Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.
 
This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the president’s recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it.
 
We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.
 

 

garebear

  • Time Out
  • Getbig V
  • *
  • Posts: 6491
  • Never question my instincts.
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2012, 08:43:45 PM »
Still got the link?
G

headhuntersix

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 17271
  • Our forefathers would be shooting by now
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2012, 10:21:22 PM »
The article sort of explains his thinking does it not........Barry had his photo op and things picked up to a tie...everything is still in the margin or error.
L

blacken700

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 11873
  • Getbig!
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2012, 05:12:46 AM »
The article sort of explains his thinking does it not........Barry had his photo op and things picked up to a tie...everything is still in the margin or error.

if thinking that makes you fill better  ;)

headhuntersix

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 17271
  • Our forefathers would be shooting by now
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2012, 05:26:13 AM »
Sure does as all the supposed early voting advantage has evaporated for Uncle Barry.....as has any lead with independents. You cherry pick polls...when almost everybody has the race tied except national Journal with barry up 5 and Gallup with Romney up 5.
L

blacken700

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 11873
  • Getbig!
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2012, 05:29:04 AM »
Sure does as all the supposed early voting advantage has evaporated for Uncle Barry.....as has any lead with independents. You cherry pick polls...when almost everybody has the race tied except national Journal with barry up 5 and Gallup with Romney up 5.

gallup hahaha oookkk  ;D ;D

headhuntersix

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 17271
  • Our forefathers would be shooting by now
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2012, 05:33:31 AM »
Yeah dumbass...both polls are outliers...and not indicative of where the election is at.
L

blacken700

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 11873
  • Getbig!
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2012, 05:39:17 AM »
Yeah dumbass...both polls are outliers...and not indicative of where the election is at.

hey if dick is worried then i can tell you there's a problem  ;D

headhuntersix

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 17271
  • Our forefathers would be shooting by now
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2012, 05:42:20 AM »
Dick said Mccain would win....
L

blacken700

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 11873
  • Getbig!
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2012, 05:50:06 AM »
hey if dick is worried then i can tell you there's a problem  ;D

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 39450
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2012, 06:59:36 AM »
The article sort of explains his thinking does it not........Barry had his photo op and things picked up to a tie...everything is still in the margin or error.

That bump is gone.  He came here for a photo op and took off and people realize he abnd Christie Creme were just kneepadding each other for personal gain. 


People here are pissed off and HATE obama. 

Straw Man

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41015
  • one dwells in nirvana
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2012, 07:38:58 AM »
Dick said Mccain would win....

Romney said McCain would win too
I saw a clip of Romney from November 2nd 2008 where he is talking
about internal poll info and rattled off a bunch of states they were confident would go to McCain
Of course McCain lost every one of them

240 is Back

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 102396
  • Complete website for only $300- www.300website.com
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2012, 10:05:36 AM »
In 2008, DRUDGE had this HUGE headline, "Obama 50, Mccain 49 in Secret Internal Polls" to give hope to repub voters.

it wasn't true, of course, and I completely expect to see similar headlines this time as well. 

MCWAY

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 19253
  • Getbig!
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2012, 01:32:51 PM »
The article sort of explains his thinking does it not........Barry had his photo op and things picked up to a tie...everything is still in the margin or error.

Well, it appears that Morris' worry was short-lived:



Obama Hit By Storm Backlash
By Dick Morris on November 3, 2012

Natural disasters usually follow the same political trajectory: First the incumbent experiences a bounce as he tours the impacted area, shows his concern, and pledges help to his beleaguered constituents. But then reality sets in and the shortages, delays, mishaps, deaths, and devastation becomes apparent and people turn against the incumbent.

George W. Bush had his Katrina.

And now Barack Obama has his Sandy.

Last week, Obama asserted a kind of ownership of the storm by touring New Jersey in the now infamous embrace of Republican stalwart Governor Chris Christie. Now that we are all appalled by the lack of food, gas, water, heat, and the basic essentials of life throughout the storm zone, Obama’s government doesn’t look so good anymore.

Why didn’t FEMA stockpile food, water, and gasoline? We had a week’s notice to prepare for Sandy. There was no shortage of time. Did the government not realize that people needed to eat, drink, and drive?

All throughout America, we are asking these questions of our television sets as we watch the evolving story of human misery.

Meanwhile, Obama has resumed the campaign trail, pounding the opposition in the same relentless and partisan style which he used before the storm. When Obama said that voting was “the best revenge,” he threw away whatever presidentiality he displayed in touring storm damage earlier in the week.

As he entered the last week before the Congressional election of 1994, President Clinton returned to the U.S. after having presided over the signing of a peace treaty between Israel and Jordan. He called me on his return and asked where he should campaign? Which incumbent Democrats should he try to help get re-elected?

I told him he should not campaign for any of them.

“No, you don’t understand,” he explained. I just came back from the Middle East and my ratings are up ten points. Before, I would have hurt the candidates I campaigned for, but not now. Now I can help them.”

“Your ratings are up because your trip hyped your presidentiality. Now, if you start campaigning, you’ll look like a politician and your ratings will come down again. You’ll end up doing more harm than good to those you are trying to help.”

He disregarded the advice and lost both houses of Congress in the elections.

Now Obama is making the same mistake. By campaigning, particularly by using the same harsh partisan rhetoric which has characterized his campaign, Obama is dragging down his ratings and with it his chances of victory.

Particularly when we see the juxtaposition of the mounting disaster in New York and New Jersey and the President out on the campaign trail attacking his opponents, we realize that Obama is a candidate before he is president, more worried about his second term than the welfare of his constituents.

In yesterday’s polling numbers, I saw a rise in Obama’s ratings and warned that the race was far from over. Now, we see him throwing it all away and resuming his crash into a single term presidency.


http://www.dickmorris.com/obama-hit-by-storm-backlash/#more-10113

tonymctones

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 26520
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2012, 04:52:04 PM »
In 2008, DRUDGE had this HUGE headline, "Obama 50, Mccain 49 in Secret Internal Polls" to give hope to repub voters.

it wasn't true, of course, and I completely expect to see similar headlines this time as well. 
sure it did champ

garebear

  • Time Out
  • Getbig V
  • *
  • Posts: 6491
  • Never question my instincts.
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2012, 05:40:10 PM »
Between Romney and Morris, who would win in a flip flop contest?

G

240 is Back

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 102396
  • Complete website for only $300- www.300website.com
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2012, 04:22:45 AM »
sure it did champ

no it really did have this headline.  Drudge.  If you go back to oct 30 or oct 31, 2008, it'll be on getbig as well.  we talked about it here.

it was a huge huge confidence boost for many.

whork

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 6587
  • Getbig!
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2012, 05:07:49 AM »
Between Romney and Morris, who would win in a flip flop contest?



You mean a lie contest?

Dont know but its the GOP who wins it for sure

tonymctones

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 26520
Re: From landslide to troubling signs, Dick Morris suggests Obama can now win.
« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2012, 05:56:39 AM »
no it really did have this headline.  Drudge.  If you go back to oct 30 or oct 31, 2008, it'll be on getbig as well.  we talked about it here.

it was a huge huge confidence boost for many.
I believe you, you have a sterling record of telling the truth