You have deluded yourself so far into fantasy-land at this point. Seriously, you are looking desperate here. The Redskin Game, the Post from over a month ago that you thought was current, the weaseling about Dick Morris being DEAD WRONG in 2008 with the exact same prediction then as now.... I can only imagine whats coming next when Obama easily wins (according to all nonpartisan data, evidence and facts and aggregate data).
I can`t wait to hear your excuses. Its going to be HIGHLY amusing. You will probably be in shock for a few days (although you shouldn`t if you actually paid attention to all the hard data).
What's going to be your excuses, in the event Romney wins? What's going to happen on election day when the Dems aren't running +9 on the Republicans?
Are you going to curse and spew at Nate Silver? Are you going to take a match to your "aggregate data"?
As for Morris, I notice you didn't get his prediction after the crash, which changed the complexion of the entire race.
Yes, I goofed by claiming that one article was current. But, guess what, I posted the current numbers in Ohio and...SURPRISE SURPRISE....they back that article's assertion.
But, don't take my word for it:
From that article:
In 2008, there were 1,158,301 total absentee ballots requested, 33 percent registered Democrat and 19 percent registered Republican--a 14 point gap. So far in 2012, 638,997 ballots have been requested, 29 percent Democrat and 24 percent Republican--only a five point gap.From Politico (early voting from Ohio as of Nov. 4, 2:49 pm EST
Ohio
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 29 percent
Republicans: 23 percenthttp://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83176.html#ixzz2BKdD9rrwAnd, it's not just Ohio. He's barely ahead in Florida and LOSING in Colorado.
Colorado
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 35 percent
Republicans: 37 percent
___
Florida
Votes: 3.9 million
Democrats: 43 percent
Republicans: 40 percent
Obama's numbers are down. To the surprise of nobody, neither you nor ID Crisis Boy could refute them. You also ducked the issue about Romney's winning independents, white-working-class, males and nearly pulling even with women. How's THAT for hard data?
And as for the "Redskin Rule", that's almost as American as apple pie. Notwithstanding its jovial nature, at 94% accuracy, it's right up there with your so-called non-partisan data (as if polls oversampling Dems by 8 points or more is non-partisan
).
Guess what happens, if Romney gets Ohio, Colorado, and sweeps the Southeast (VA, NC, FL)......275 EC votes...BALL GAME!!!
