Summary:
-"Athletes" on official Olympia advertising posters have an 88% chance of landing in the top 6 come competition day.*
-1st place is on the poster 100% of the time
-2nd place is on the poster 100% of the time
-3rd place is on the poster 66% of the time
-4th place is on the poster 66% of the time
-5th place is on the poster 50% of the time
-6th place is on the poster 66% of the time
-This isn't just the previous years' top competitors being put on the poster; the guys who are new to the Olympia and on the poster (e.g., Phil, Kai) always place in the top 6 as well
*Of 32 athletes appearing on official Olympia advertising posters the last six years, 26 ended up in the top six in the actual competition. 2 of the 6 out of the top six didn't compete at all due to injury, but almost certainly would be top 6 if they did compete (who thinks an injury-free Jay would be out of the top six in 2012?). Assuming that's right, from the data we can conclude anybody appearing on an official Olympia poster has something like a
90% chance of being in the top 6, assuming they compete.
2007
Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th
2008
Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, NP (didn't compete)
2009
Actual placings: 1st, 4th, 5th, 16th
2010
Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 7th
2011
Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th, 6th
2012
Actual placings: 1st, 2nd, 5th, 6th, 8th, NP (didn't compete)
2013
