I certainly wasn't thinking about it as a false flag, CT event. (Even though there's a lot of indicators we fed ISIS just like we built al-quida in its early days).
An october surprise doesn't have to be an inside job. it can be ANY event late in october which pushes things for one party or another.
IMO, an ISIS attack "over here", on our friendly canadian neighbors, is a huge deal. Suddenly, Boehnner's decision to "hold off on ISIS until after campaign (oct), after election (nov), after holiday (dec) and after inaugurations (jan) seem like a really bad idea. I don't think anyone here will disagree.
Obama, will he benefit? He certainly hasn't been awesome in dealing with them, but dropping a shitload of bombs on their heads was better than "nothing" that Congress proposed. Perhaps the biggest criticism on obama will be "you didn't drop enough bombs" or even "suddenly people support boots on the ground" - Which may have been obama's wet dream all along, but he didn't want to upset his own base with that idea.
Either way, it's still unfolding, and it could be any idiots starting the battles up there. But *IF* it ends up that ISIS can get their hands on guns, in canada, and pull off 3 deadly attacks simultaneously, that WILL scare some Americans. And suddenly all the congressmen that were silent on ISIS for weeks now will be up in arms that we're not doing enough. "Just waiting until Feb or March" just might not fly anymore.