Election 2016

[Dos Equis]

Good choice.  Both Hillary and Trump did a good job with their VP picks.

Clinton names Virginia Sen. Kaine as running mate
Published July 22, 2016 
FoxNews.com

Hillary Clinton on Friday announced Virginia Sen. Timothy Kaine as her running mate, going with an experienced politician seen as a strong centrist who could attract independents and possibly disenchanted Republicans – and most certainly the safe pick.

 “I'm thrilled to announce my running mate, @TimKaine, a man who's devoted his life to fighting for others,” Clinton tweeted ahead of the Democratic National Convention set to kick off Monday in Philadelphia.

In the final deliberations, Clinton was said to be weighing Kaine, Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, having whittled down her short-list over the past several weeks.

In Kaine, who also is a former Virginia governor and former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, her campaign is going not with a bulldog or political firestarter but a measured, moderate nice guy with swing-state appeal, including in his home battleground state of Virginia.

The pick comes as the Clinton campaign tries to paint newly anointed Republican nominee Donald Trump as divisive and dangerous, a theme they hit hard coming out of the Republican National Convention in Cleveland. Trump closed his convention Thursday night with a wide-ranging 75-minute acceptance speech heavy on law-and-order themes and promises to put “America first.”

“He offered a lot of fear and anger and resentment, but no solutions about anything that he even talked about,” Clinton countered during a speech to supporters Friday in Tampa, Fla., before the VP announcement.

Kaine isn’t as liberal as some other VP prospects, notably class warrior Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass. – and is unlikely to whip up the base like Clinton’s dogged primary rival Bernie Sanders. But Kaine is an ally, having endorsed Clinton early on in the campaign. He also speaks fluent Spanish, which could be useful in increasing the campaign’s reach among Hispanic voters.

Clinton’s announcement and move to seize the spotlight from Cleveland follows four days of steady attacks by Republicans against the presumptive Democratic nominee – over her email scandal, her reputation for poll-tested politics and her record in public office.

In his nomination acceptance speech, Trump blasted Clinton’s foreign policy record as secretary of state – citing the bloody tumult in Iraq, Syria, Egypt and Libya – saying her legacy is “death, destruction, terrorism and weakness” and a “change in leadership” is needed.

“Hillary Clinton’s legacy does not have to be America’s legacy,” he said.

Clinton, over the course of the Democratic veepstakes, also met with several other prospects, including Warren, Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper, Labor Secretary Tom Perez and Housing Secretary Julian Castro.

Problems surfaced in recent days for a couple of them, notably Castro who was cited by a government watchdog for allegedly violating federal law by touting Clinton’s candidacy in his official capacity during a media interview.

Kaine's selection by Clinton leaves his Senate seat open.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/07/22/clinton-names-virginia-sen-kaine-as-running-mate.html

[Primemuscle]

THE GREAT TRUMP TAX MYSTERIES: IS HE HIDING LOOPHOLES, ERRORS, OR SOMETHING MORE SERIOUS?

Why won’t Donald Trump release his taxes? An investigation into the G.O.P. candidate’s finances—the extensive deductions he could claim, the F.E.C. filings from his Scottish and Irish golf resorts, and his declarations to the British government—reveals a disturbing pattern of mistakes, hype, and contradictions.

http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/06/the-great-trump-tax-mysteries

Will the real crooked presidential candidate please stand up.....yes, this means you, Donald Trump! 

[Gregzs]

Bloomberg will endorse Clinton at DNC

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/dismayed-by-trump-bloomberg-will-endorse-clinton/ar-BBuKThI?li=BBmkt5R&ocid=spartandhp

[240 is Back]

Bloomberg will endorse Clinton at DNC

NYers loved Bloomberg, many wanted him to run for prez.  Now they'll hate him. 

[Soul Crusher]

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3273404/Democratic-National-Committeewoman-says-party-clearing-path-Hillary-women-charge-want-way.html


LOL - look how ugly those liberal hags are

[Soul Crusher]

Trump bounces into the lead
KCCI (CNN) ^ | 5:01 AM CDT Jul 25, 2016 | KCCI (CNN)
Posted on 7/25/2016, 6:25:51 AM by Eurotwit

The bounce is back.

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.

The new findings mark Trump's best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against Clinton since September 2015. Trump's new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump's convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.

Trump's newfound lead is also boosted by a sharp increase in support from whites without college degrees. In the new poll they break 62% for Trump to 23% for Clinton, while whites who hold at least a bachelor's degree have actually tilted more pro-Clinton since the convention (from a 40% to 40% split pre-convention to a 44% Clinton to 39% Trump divide now).

The poll also reflects a sharpening of the education divide among whites that has been prevalent throughout the campaign. Among white voters with college degrees, Clinton actually gained ground compared with pre-convention results, going from an even 40% to 40% split to a 44% to 39% edge over Trump. That while Trump expanded his lead with white voters who do not hold a college degree from a 51% to 31% lead before the convention to a 62% to 23% lead now.

Beyond boosting his overall support, Trump's favorability rating is also on the rise (46% of registered voters say they have a positive view, up from 39% pre-convention), while his advantage over Clinton on handling top issues climbs. He now holds double-digit margins over Clinton as more trusted on the economy and terrorism. Trump also cut into Clinton's edge on managing foreign policy (50% said they trusted her more, down from 57% pre-convention).

The convention also helped Trump make strides in his personal image. A majority (52%) now say Trump is running for president for the good of the country rather than personal gain, just 44% say the same about Clinton. He's increased the share who call him honest and trustworthy (from 38% to 43%), and who would be proud to have him as president (from 32% to 39%). And nearly half now say he's in touch with the problems ordinary Americans face in their daily lives (46% say so, 37% did before the convention).

Despite Democratic criticism of the Republican convention's message as divisive, the percentage who say Trump will unite the country rather than divide it has increased to 42%, compared with 34% pre-convention.

Clinton's ratings on these same measures took a hit, though in most cases her drop-off was not quite as large as Trump's gain. Perhaps most troubling for the Clinton supporters gathering in Philadelphia this week: 68% now say Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, her worst rating on that measure in CNN/ORC polling.

Those positives for Trump come despite some sharply negative reviews for the convention itself. Almost 6 in 10 (58%) said the Republican convention spent too much time attacking Democrats, and 18% called Trump's speech "terrible," the highest by far since CNN started began the question in 1996. Still, 40% called the speech excellent or good and about half of voters (45%) said Trump's speech reflected the way they feel about things in the U.S. today; 48% said it did not reflect their views.

The public rendered a split decision on whether the convention made them more or less likely to back Trump, 42% said more likely while 44% said less so, but the shift in voter preferences suggests the "more likely" side carried more weight. And most came away feeling ready to decide about Trump's fitness for the job: 78% say they already know enough to know whether he'd be a good president. Another 20% think they need more information.

Two prominent convention speakers saw their stock rise post-convention as well. Favorability ratings for Trump's wife, Melania, climbed from 27% pre-convention to 43% post-convention, despite news that her Monday night speech contained passages lifted from Michelle Obama's 2008 Democratic convention speech. Vice Presidential nominee Mike Pence, whose Wednesday speaking slot was largely overshadowed following Ted Cruz's defiant stand on the convention stage, also bolstered the electorate's impression of him, landing at a 39% favorable rating overall, up from 26% pre-convention.

Cruz's move, however, appears to have backfired. While 60% of Republican voters had a positive impression of the former presidential candidate before the convention, just 33% have one now.

The Trump campaign has claimed the visceral negative reaction to Cruz reflected the unity the party feels behind Trump himself. But the poll suggests a large share of Republican voters still need to be won over. The share of Republicans who say their party is "united now" climbed from 16% pre-convention to 24% post-convention, but about half (49%) say it's not united now, but will be by November, and there are still about a quarter who say the party won't unite at all. Further, 45% continue to say they'd prefer someone other than Trump as the nominee.

The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone July 22-24 among a random national sample of 1,001 adults. Results for the sample of 882 registered voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.


________________________ ____________________


Many liberal NY'rs and hillcvnts are going to need crisis treatment if trump beats her. 

[Soul Crusher]

NATE SILVER: Donald Trump would most likely win the election if it were held today
Business Insider ^ | 07/25/2016 | Allan Smith
Posted on 7/25/2016, 10:46:45 AM by MaxistheBest

If the election were held Monday, Donald Trump would likely win.

That's what renowned statistician Nate Silver projected on Monday for his data journalism outlet FiveThirtyEight.

In his "Now-cast" election model for who would win if ballots were cast Monday, Silver gave the Republican nominee a 57.5% chance of winning the presidency.

Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton had a 42.5% chance of securing the nation's highest office if voters were to take to the polls Monday.

Silver's model had Trump winning in the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. He would win 285 electoral votes in Silver's model.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...

[Soul Crusher]

Donald Trump bounces into the lead
CNN ^ | July 25th, 2016 | By Jennifer Agiesta
Posted on 7/25/2016, 9:09:10 AM by Mariner

(CNN)The bounce is back.

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...

[Las Vegas]

Donald Trump bounces into the lead
CNN ^ | July 25th, 2016 | By Jennifer Agiesta
Posted on 7/25/2016, 9:09:10 AM by Mariner

(CNN)The bounce is back.

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...

Let's pray Trump doesn't see this as a sign to up the stupid.

[Soul Crusher]

Let's pray Trump doesn't see this as a sign to up the stupid.

The thing too is that Trump has spent no money at all thus far. 

[Soul Crusher]

Cleveland Bounce: Donald Trump Surges to 44 Percent, With Hillary Clinton at 40 Percent
Breitbart.com ^ | 25 Jul 2016 | Neil W. McCabe
Posted on 7/25/2016, 8:25:04 AM by Rockitz

Donald Trump, the GOP nominee for president, vaulted to a four point lead over Hillary Clinton just prior to the Democratic National Convention this week in Philadelphia, according to a Morning Consult poll of 2,502 registered voters.

Trump now leads Clinton 44 percent to 40 percent, says the poll, which was conducted from July 22 through July 24. It has an error margin of 2 percent.

The New York City developer’s lead is a sizable swing from the past week, when Clinton was clinging to a 2-point lead, wrote Kyle Dropp, Morning Consult’s executive director of polling, and Cameron Easley, the firm’s managing editor.

“Trump has been on a positive trend since the Department of Justice determined that there wasn’t enough evidence to prosecute Clinton for her use of a private email server for official business while serving in the Obama administration,” Dopp and Easley said. “The Republican National Convention came in for criticism from much of the major media outlets … [but the] new Morning Consult survey indicates the typical post-convention bump that a party tends to receive following their gathering.”

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...

[Las Vegas]

The thing too is that Trump has spent no money at all thus far. 

I know, but that's one of the things which concerns me about his possible intent.  And the anti-Trump ads playing his own words are brutal.

[Soul Crusher]

I know, but that's one of the things which concerns me about his possible intent.  And the anti-Trump ads playing his own words are brutal.

The one w the kids are watching is brutal. 

But - it has had no effect at all 

[andreisdaman]

The one w the kids are watching is brutal. 

But - it has had no effect at all 

I think it has....people will remember that

[Dos Equis]

 

NATE SILVER: Donald Trump would most likely win the election if it were held today
Allan Smith


Donald Trump. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

If the election were held Monday, Donald Trump would likely win.

That's what renowned statistician Nate Silver projected on Monday for his data journalism outlet FiveThirtyEight.

In his "Now-cast" election model for who would win if ballots were cast Monday, Silver gave the Republican nominee a 57.5% chance of winning the presidency.

Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton had a 42.5% chance of securing the nation's highest office if voters were to take to the polls Monday.

Silver's model had Trump winning in the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. He would win 285 electoral votes in Silver's model.

It's the first time in Silver's "Now-cast" forecast that Trump has been projected to win.

However, in Silver's polls-only forecast and in his polls-plus forecast, Clinton was still favored to come out on top. In the polls-only model, Clinton had a 53.7% chance of winning, while in the polls-plus model, Silver gave Clinton a 58.2% chance of winning in November. But those numbers are a drastic drop-off from where they recently were — hovering around 80%.

Silver raised eyebrows Friday on Twitter when he pointed out "how plausible it is that Trump could become president."

Nate Silver  ✔@NateSilver538
Don't think people are really grasping how plausible it is that Trump could become president. It's a close election right now.
4:46 PM - 22 Jul 2016
12,572 12,572 Retweets   9,821 9,821 likes

Trump has received a bump in the polls since the Republican National Convention in Cleveland wrapped up last week. He jumped ahead of Clinton in a set of new surveys released Monday.

In the RealClearPolitics average of several polls, Trump pulled ahead of Clinton by 0.2 points on the back of four consecutive polls showing him ahead of the former secretary of state. It's the second time in the entire election cycle that Trump has led Clinton in the coveted polling average.

http://www.businessinsider.com/nate-silver-donald-trump-polls-2016-7

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

[Las Vegas]

Shows how awful Hillary is as a candidate.  And how fed up we are with the course we're on, w these professional liars.

Madame H thought she could keep the lie going, but maybe she underestimated us.

[Soul Crusher]

DNC DISASTER: Hillary Now Trails Trump. Here Are 5 Reasons Why.
AP Photo/J. Scott ApplewhiteAP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite
BY: BEN SHAPIRO JULY 25, 2016



If Donald Trump becomes president, Hillary Clinton will have only herself to blame. The latest CNN/ORC poll shows Trump jumping to a five-point lead against her in a four-way race, with Trump at 44 percent and Hillary at 39 percent. Trump is now ahead among independents, 46 percent to 28 percent; before the convention, he was behind 34 percent to 31 percent. Hillary has a 44 percent to 39 percent advantage against Trump among college voters, but he’s ahead among non-college educated white voters by a stunning 62 percent to 23 percent margin. 46 percent of Americans now have a positive view of Trump, an increase of seven points; 52 percent say Trump is running for the good of the country rather than personal gain, as opposed to 44 percent for Hillary; 43 percent say that Trump is honest and trustworthy, and most importantly, 46 percent of Americans say that Trump understands the problems they face in their daily lives.

Meanwhile, a whopping 68 percent of voters say Hillary isn’t honest or trustworthy.

VIDEO: HILLARY CLINTON AND TIM KAINE'S FIRST JOINT INTERVIEW


Her wild political incompetence is now on full display for the entire American public to see. In the last week, she’s made five crucial errors that demonstrate just how terrible she is at the game of politics.

Portraying Trump As “Dark.” Last week, Donald Trump gave an RNC speech in which he focused on America’s problems in unsparing detail. And Hillary and her campaign – accompanied by the media – promptly brushed off those problems as exaggerated. The media universally labeled Trump’s speech “dark” and Hillary’s team began suggesting that America isn’t in particularly dire trouble. That’s incredible incompetence. People obviously feel that America has problems – the polls show that nearly 7 in 10 Americans believe we’re moving in the wrong direction. Hillary’s out of touch – she hasn’t driven a car since the mid-1990s – so naturally, she thinks things are hunky dory.

Picking Tim Kaine. Picking Tim Kaine didn’t change the narrative one iota. It looked like a safe pick for a candidate who thinks she’s ahead. Contrary to conventional wisdom, vice presidential picks don’t in any way guarantee their home states to their running mates. And Tim Kaine is perhaps the most boring pick Hillary could make – at a time when even her old boss, Barack Obama, is saying on national television that Hillary Clinton isn’t the most rousing speaker. Ouch.


Playing The Victim. On Sunday, the following words exited Hillary Clinton’s mouth: “I often feel like there’s the Hillary standard and then there’s the standard for everybody else.” Yes, yes there is. Americans know it. And Hillary doesn’t. She thinks she’s been treated unfairly by life. Americans will never stop laughing at her arrogance.

Brushing Off The DNC Scandal. Hillary’s main job at this convention is to unify her party after a brutal primary with Bernie Sanders. So she led off the convention by completely ignoring the DNC WikiLeaks scandal – she went on 60 Minutes and said she hadn’t seen any of the emails, and then Kaine said that lots of people at the DNC have opinions about the candidates. This is absolutely tone deaf. Even more tone deaf: her statement about the resignation of Debbie Wasserman Schultz as the head of the DNC – she simply praised Wasserman Schultz and said she looked forward to continuing to work with her on her campaign. Naturally, this has not quieted the Bernie Bros.

Blaming The Russians. The Hillary campaign has essentially blamed the Russians for leaking the DNC emails – and they’ve said that the Russians did it on behalf of Donald Trump. That may very well be true. But it looks paranoid, and it looks like blame-shifting for a scandal that’s entirely internal to the DNC. At a time when Hillary wants to project stability, she’s failing utterly to do that.

And so Hillary’s in trouble. She may recover with a small bump from the convention this week, but events outside her control keep throwing her incompetence and corruption into sharp relief. And that’s a serious problem for a candidate nobody wants to see in the light of day.

[Las Vegas]

She may recover with a small bump from the convention this week

Maybe.  Or maybe it will be the beginning of the end for all the lies and deceit.

[240 is Back]

Let's pray Trump doesn't see this as a sign to up the stupid.

post convention bounce.

mccain led obama in the days after his convention.  Two weeks later, he gave up that lead and never had it again.

[Las Vegas]

post convention bounce.

mccain led obama in the days after his convention.  Two weeks later, he gave up that lead and never had it again.

Maybe, I know.  Yeah, I know what you're saying.

[Primemuscle]

The thing too is that Trump has spent no money at all thus far.  

That's 'cause he doesn't have much to spend.  He only pays taxes on $500,000 or less. He may be under investigation by the FEC for potentially lying to them about his income by hugely over inflating it. It's a federal offense should he be charged and found guilty, punishable by a big fine and up to 12 years in prison. He's known as the "king of Welfare" in some circles because he culls so many deductions and favors from the U.S. government.

[Dos Equis]

That's 'cause he doesn't have much to spend.  He only pays taxes on $500,000 or less. He may be under investigation by the FEC for potentially lying to them about his income by hugely over inflating it. It's a federal offense should he be charged and found guilty, punishable by a big fine and up to 12 years in prison. He's known as the "king of Welfare" in some circles because he culls so many deductions and favors from the U.S. government.

I was just talking to someone about a guy who was inflating his business income on his tax returns and using it as a basis to obtain loans.  Don't know if Trump did anything similar, but apparently that kind of thing happens. 

[Dos Equis]

Donald Trump bounces into the lead
By Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director
Mon July 25, 2016

http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/25/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-poll/index.html

[Primemuscle]

I was just talking to someone about a guy who was inflating his business income on his tax returns and using it as a basis to obtain loans.  Don't know if Trump did anything similar, but apparently that kind of thing happens. 

Lenders won't write a loan for Trump.  He's proven to be a poor credit risk. Private investors are the source on whichTrump relies.

[Dos Equis]

Lenders won't write a loan for Trump.  He's proven to be a poor credit risk. Private investors are the source on whichTrump relies.

He doesn't really need to borrow money.