Author Topic: Election 2016  (Read 118371 times)

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1050 on: November 08, 2016, 10:57:38 AM »
NH Dem Primary: 86/14 for Bernie.

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1051 on: November 08, 2016, 10:58:33 AM »
Nate Silver hedging his predictions now saying that there are too many independent voters and that may throw things off. My guess is a lot of people voting Trump but not admitting it.

Soul Crusher

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1052 on: November 08, 2016, 11:41:11 AM »
Drain the swamp !

TheGrinch

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1053 on: November 08, 2016, 01:57:45 PM »
Trump has a HUGE uphill battle..

Electoral College + Majority of Americans are brain dead sheep = Easy Hildog victory


Not even taking into account illegals or rigged voting

Dos Equis

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1054 on: November 08, 2016, 02:03:29 PM »
I don't think anyone (including Nate Silver) really has a good handle on how this will play out. 

TheGrinch

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1055 on: November 08, 2016, 02:08:16 PM »
No, it's an absolute hysterical joke. You need 270 votes to win, California alone can provide 55 of those. Add Texas, NY, Illinois and Pennsylvania and you get 191. That's 5 out of 50 states that can bring a candidate close to victory.

Open borders, bring in illegals (who always vote [illegally] democrat), fill the big voting states and simultaneously push out the whites, change the vote of their representatives, and so forth.

The states in this country that are still heavily white i.e. Montana (90% white) only have 3 electors.

It's a pretty obvious scam. Just the fact that Trump even stands a chance shows you something.

It does NOT work when there is no nation, California is practically it's own Mexican 'republic' now who has the biggest say in what happens to the rest of the country.

Dos Equis

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1056 on: November 08, 2016, 02:12:43 PM »
No, it's an absolute hysterical joke. You need 270 votes to win, California alone can provide 55 of those. Add Texas, NY, Illinois and Pennsylvania and you get 191. That's 5 out of 50 states that can bring a candidate close to victory.

Open borders, bring in illegals (who always vote [illegally] democrat), fill the big voting states and simultaneously push out the whites, change the vote of their representatives, and so forth.

The states in this country that are still heavily white i.e. Montana (90% white) only have 3 electors.

It's a pretty obvious scam. Just the fact that Trump even stands a chance shows you something.

It does NOT work when there is no nation, California is practically it's own Mexican 'republic' now who has the biggest say in what happens to the rest of the country.

California has about 39 million people, so having 55 electoral votes isn't crazy.  Doesn't surprise me that the places where a significant portion of the population lives have a greater impact on the election. 

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1057 on: November 08, 2016, 02:29:11 PM »

Dos Equis

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1059 on: November 08, 2016, 02:31:39 PM »

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1060 on: November 08, 2016, 04:03:23 PM »
Polls had Trump winning Indiana by 11. He's up by 35 and the state has already been called for Trump. Good start.

Trump up by 11 in NH

Dos Equis

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1061 on: November 08, 2016, 04:06:49 PM »
Nate Silver 6:53 PM

How important is Florida? (Polls in the eastern part of the state close in a few minutes.) If Clinton wins it, her probability of winning the Electoral College would shoot up to 93 percent from 71 percent, according to our election night model. And if Trump were to win it, his chances would increase to 59 percent from 29 percent.

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1062 on: November 08, 2016, 04:09:39 PM »
Nate Silver 6:53 PM

How important is Florida? (Polls in the eastern part of the state close in a few minutes.) If Clinton wins it, her probability of winning the Electoral College would shoot up to 93 percent from 71 percent, according to our election night model. And if Trump were to win it, his chances would increase to 59 percent from 29 percent.


They just showed him up by 30 in Florida.

Holy Shit!!!

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1063 on: November 08, 2016, 04:13:39 PM »
Rubio winning by 40 in Florida.

Dos Equis

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1064 on: November 08, 2016, 04:14:04 PM »
They just showed him up by 30 in Florida.

Holy Shit!!!

Up by 30 percent?  That can't be right.  

Las Vegas

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1065 on: November 08, 2016, 04:22:28 PM »
I don't think anyone (including Nate Silver) really has a good handle on how this will play out. 

I agree.  IMO he knows if he gets it, it'll have been a somewhat lucky shot.

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1066 on: November 08, 2016, 04:25:08 PM »
Up by 30 percent?  That can't be right.  

It was only 1%, but he's still winning.

Trump winning in VA, too.

It's definitely a good start.


Las Vegas

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1067 on: November 08, 2016, 04:30:00 PM »
I wonder if Silver was doing probability percentages during the last election, or if he started that just to hedge himself or what.

TheGrinch

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1068 on: November 08, 2016, 04:44:18 PM »
Read all about it tomorrow....


Today!!




Dos Equis

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1069 on: November 08, 2016, 04:47:37 PM »
Nate Silver 7:42 PM

Democrat Evan Bayh, whose position tumbled in the polls of the U.S. Senate campaign in Indiana, is trailing Republican Todd Young by 15 points based on returns so far. The Democratic-leaning parts of Indiana havenít reported much vote yet, so his position will improve. Still, Republican chances of winning the Senate will shoot up to 68 percent if Indiana is called for Young in our election night model.

timfogarty

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1070 on: November 08, 2016, 05:25:32 PM »
prediction: she will be offically reffered to as President Rodham-Clinton

JackScribber

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1071 on: November 08, 2016, 05:27:41 PM »
Trump getting his ass kicked in NC.

One of True Anus' '100% guaranteed Trump' states.

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1072 on: November 08, 2016, 05:47:03 PM »
Read all about it tomorrow....


Today!!





That's a common practice to prepare in advance.  Meaning they'll have already created something for any outcome.

gmflex

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1073 on: November 08, 2016, 05:59:22 PM »
Trump getting his ass kicked in NC.

One of True Anus' '100% guaranteed Trump' states.


Adonis..
Will back pedal with a copy paste thread... ;D
Saying how his numbers were accurate...

MCWAY

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Re: Election 2016
« Reply #1074 on: November 08, 2016, 06:01:18 PM »
Trump getting his ass kicked in NC.

One of True Anus' '100% guaranteed Trump' states.

At last check, Clinton was up 49-48 with 66% reporting.

That doesn't sound like an @$$-kicking to me.