The best part of Cruz running will be watching it end in tears for all of his disciples
at the very least, Cruz will get out the 20% that didn't vote for Mccain, that did vote Bush in 2008.
Now, at absolute worst, he would have to lose 20% of the vote in the MIDDLE that did vote Mccain.
You really think 1 in 5 mccain voters will 1) accept Mccain/Palin is competent and ready 2) outright reject Cruz?
See, that's what people cannot answer. The utter shit that was the man being attacked by applesauce and rambling idiot vp choice - an entire 20% that punched the ballot for Bush didn't think they were conservative enough. They will vote cruz. You would HAVE to see ANOTHER 1/5 from the middle stay home - and I can't envision any scenario where that happens. They vote anti-obama, they'll vote anti-hilary too.
We can all agree that a repub win won't come easy - patricularly becase poor/dependent/illegal voters are up thanks to amnesty.
We can also all agree that ANY candidate able to win the repub base will do at least a little better than mccain - and maybe a lot. Base voters held their nose and stayed home to make a point - they'd rather a lib win, then a lib dressed as a republican. Will middle voters stay home? I dont think they will, they like to vote.
