Author Topic: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!  (Read 1771287 times)

gib

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10050 on: January 05, 2024, 06:00:38 AM »
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gib

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10051 on: January 05, 2024, 06:03:25 AM »
I love my paper/fiat money.  I use it to buy stocks, bonds, property, cars, pay bills, pay for food, vacations, and anything else I want to.

Love it so much that you will do anything with it other than actually hold it as a store of value. On the other hand, we can use BTC to buy whatever we want too, only BTC goes up in value over the long term, whereas paper/fiat declines...

affeman

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10052 on: January 05, 2024, 06:04:42 AM »
Love it so much that you will do anything with it other than actually hold it as a store of value. On the other hand, we can use BTC to buy whatever we want too, only BTC goes up in value over the long term, whereas paper/fiat declines...

If u say so.... :)

gib

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10053 on: January 05, 2024, 06:36:56 AM »
How is Bitcoin fixed in supply when people make more with computers?

Can you go in the supermarket and buy groceries with Bitcoin or do you have to convert your Bitcoin into fiat currency first?

Read this thread from the beginning. These questions have been answered many times.

This may also help...

https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf

affeman

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10054 on: January 05, 2024, 06:51:54 AM »
How is Bitcoin fixed in supply when people make more with computers?

Can you go in the supermarket and buy groceries with Bitcoin or do you have to convert your Bitcoin into fiat currency first?

This limited supply saga is fake anyway. Considering how many people I already know personally who own 1 or more BTC just in my small rural home area in Europe, there is no f*ing way there can be only 21 million of them worldwide :D

obsidian

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10055 on: January 05, 2024, 11:18:07 AM »
The main difference being is that BTC is fixed and limited in supply, whereas paper / fiat money is not.
Interesting that ZCASH never got the traction of Bitcoin. ZEC also has a finite supply of 21 million, like Bitcoin. In addition, it offers better privacy than Bitcoin, so your transactions are not exposed. In 2017/18 the price ran up to $700. Then it crashed, rebounded a little in 2021 and is now back at $25. I think the reason is governments don't like the opaqueness of Zcash or Monero, and miners / investors have therefore not really gotten involved with it on a larger scale for fear of a crack down perhaps. And institutions prefer more transparency.

I mined a little Zcash for a few weeks in 2018 but quickly switched al my rigs to Ethereum. Glad I did, that would have been a huge loss. And yes, I did pay taxes on the mined ZEC. If I cash out on that now I would probably get a little tax loss to offset any other profits.

Point is, the finite supply narrative is only part of the story. There are even less Monero XMR in circulation than BTC - 18.38 million. It has a very low inflation which is set to go to 0%. It was founded in 2014 and even with it's small inflation only grew to 18.38 million. And it's privacy features are way better than Bitcoin.

What is Zcash?
ZCash (ZEC) is a fully anonymous and decentralized blockchain and cryptocurrency. Transactions on its proof of work blockchain are untraceable because of zero-knowledge cryptography. It was created in response to, their words, bitcoin’s flaws. It uses the same algorithm as bitcoin but then in combination with semi-transparent processing, to avoid the transparency of bitcoin. The user transaction data is revealed selectively.

The goal of ZCash
Zcash is developed to overcome bitcoin’s privacy “flaws” and uses zero-knowledge proofs to verify and validate transactions. ZCash’s blockchain aims to provide practical utility for businesses and large organizations interested in systems that combine the benefits of blockchain technology with privacy.

Who started ZCash
In 2016, ZCash was founded by Zooko Wilcox-O’Hearn in response to demands for an open financial system with added privacy features. Zcash’s roots lie in Zerocoin, which was developed in the 1980s; ZCash was initially launched as Zerocash back in 2014.

What is Monero?
Monero (XMR) is a cryptocurrency which focuses on being untraceable and private. It differs from Bitcoin's in a few key ways, but is very similar to Bitcoin: it’s an anonymous version of Bitcoin. It can be used to buy and sell things, and be exchanged for other coins or tokens.

The goal of Monero
The privacy features of Monero gives it its most value. No one can link Monero cryptocurrency transactions to a person. Monero is also created for its fungibility, all Monero coins are identical and mutually interchangeable. Monero has dynamic scalability, which means it has no “pre-set” block size limit. Monero has ASIC resistance and multiple keys.

Who started Monero
Bytecoin, launched in 2012, was the precursor of Monero. It was the first digital currency that was written using a technology called CryptoNote. CryptoNote is the spine of most of the privacy-based cryptocurrencies that exist, including Monero. However, there were a few issues with Bytecoin, which lead to a group of seven developers to fork the Bytecoin blockchain. The new currency would be known as Bitmonero, later named Monero. Five of the seven developers decided to stay anonymous. Only two of these Monero developers are known: Riccardo Spagni and David Latapie.

obsidian

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10056 on: January 05, 2024, 11:21:28 AM »
This limited supply saga is fake anyway. Considering how many people I already know personally who own 1 or more BTC just in my small rural home area in Europe, there is no f*ing way there can be only 21 million of them worldwide :D
The blockchain is transparent. Just because you know a few people who own 1 or more BTC does not mean the supply is more than 21 million. You're speculating.

obsidian

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10057 on: January 05, 2024, 11:24:44 AM »
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Youtube really needs to crack down on the Michael Saylor Deep Fake scams that are being advertised all over the place. You'd think someone will sue the fuck out of them. Those are paid advertisements that's designed to lure people and steal their fucking money. Where is the SEC when they are really needed?! Imagine if these ads appeared on CNN. I've seen these ads many times the past few weeks.


IroNat

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10058 on: January 05, 2024, 11:27:00 AM »
I can understand the attraction of Bitcoin for privacy.

On crime TV shows they use it to be anonymous in paying and receiving payments from illicit activities.


obsidian

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10059 on: January 05, 2024, 11:28:19 AM »

That was not a debate. It was an edited piece. I don't think they have ever debated. I would love to see Vitalik Buterin debate Schiff! Buterin has the uncanny way of not ever talking about the value of the assets or how much money is at stake. He talks about the tech, the social effect, censorship issues, shit like that - lol! He did once mention that gold was lame and the kids of today don't want to own stocks either.  ;D

obsidian

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10060 on: January 05, 2024, 11:30:21 AM »
I can understand the attraction of Bitcoin for privacy.

On crime TV shows they use it to be anonymous in paying and receiving payments from illicit activities.
Bitcoin does not have privacy. The privacy coins are Zcash and Monero. Both those were designed off the Bitcoin model, and both have been around for many years now. They also both have supplies comparable to Bitcoin. But the privacy feature is actually hampering their adoption. Governments want to be able to track crypto transactions. That's why they prefer the non-privacy coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Cardano, etc.

IroNat

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10061 on: January 05, 2024, 11:32:26 AM »
Bitcoin does not have privacy. The privacy coins are Zcash and Monero. Both those were designed off the Bitcoin model, and both have been around for many years now. They also both have supplies comparable to Bitcoin. But the privacy feature is actually hampering their adoption. Governments want to be able to track crypto transactions. That's why they prefer the non-privacy coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Cardano, etc.

Well, whatever they use on the TV shows to pay the hitman.

Makes for a good plot device. ;)

obsidian

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10062 on: January 05, 2024, 11:44:14 AM »
Once Peter Schiff and Jim Cramer turn bullish on BTC, sell! Oh wait........

loco

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10063 on: January 05, 2024, 11:59:04 AM »
we can use BTC to buy whatever we want too

only BTC goes up in value over the long term


IroNat

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10064 on: January 05, 2024, 12:25:54 PM »

Mayday

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10065 on: January 05, 2024, 04:55:14 PM »
@Mayday - bro, you are a smart guy, but you are confusing concepts (and you are not the first do to so).

I'll and explain it simply by using a very simple imaginary hypothetical to explain the concept. Please read below carefully, (and be sure to watch the Jeff Booth video I posted above).

Lets say we have 100 identical people, living in a country, who all annually produce 1 apple each. And lets say the total amount of money in supply is $100, and they only thing they spend money on is apples. The cost of each apple would be 1$ (being 100 apples divided by a total of $100 in circulation).

Now, imagine that the supply of money is fixed. Does that mean that people would all be content just with one apple? No, of course not. They would still be incentivized to be productive, and to get more apples from others, or to grow more. The human desire to be efficient, productive, and maximize returns does not diminish just because the supply of money is fixed.

So, now imagine a scenario where with fixed money supply, everyone has become more productive. Imagine that due to better farming, more hard work, or just the luck of better weather, that they now produce 10 apples each. What happens to the cost of apples as a result of this increased productivity? Prices of apples fall! That's right  - each apple, now only costs 10 cents. Increased productivity resulted in DEFLATION.

Similarly, lets now take a scenario where they are just still producing 1 apple (ie no increase in productivity), but the Government increases money supply by 10x. So now we have $1000 in supply, but the same number of apples being produced. Now each apple will cost $10. Now we have INFLATION in the price, yet there has been zero improvement in productivity.

Its really a very basic concept.

You do not need money printing to produce economic growth. Try playing monopoly without money being added into the system. You will see the same incentives still apply. Property owners still want to maximize their profits, and the best allocators of capital over time will still thrive over others. All money is, is a ledger. The problem with fiat currencies of course, is that they are all corrupt ledgers (some more corrupt than others), whereas Bitcoin is not. And this is why Bitcoin, over time, succeeds against all fiat currencies. All fiat currencies devalue over time (resulting in inflation, as the same amount of currency purchases less over time), and just because some devalue more than others, it does not mean that the slowest devaluing currency is actually gaining in real terms. Just like if you had 10 horses all running backwards, it does not mean that the least worst running horse is actually running forwards (although in relative terms, compared to the other horses, it may be appearing to do so - which is actually an illusion as over time, none are actually getting any closer to the finish line).

Similarly you do not need inflation or money printing to create productivity. For example, this is why in the US between 1880 and 1914, there was a surge in productivity, yet inflation averaged 0.1% per annum during this period Why? Because they money supply was fixed (ie on the Gold Standard). So its really absolutely absurd to suggest that "if you have a fixed money supply you fail". Give it some thought - you will eventually get it.

You are really confusing real value and productivity with nominal prices when you say that "the largest/fastest property gains come during the money printing inflationary cycles." I'll give you another very basic example. Lets say the average home in a country is worth 100K. How to we make everyone millionaires? We just debase the currency and print 10x the amount of money, and boom, each houses now worth 1 million! If only it were that simple :) So yes, everyone is now 10x richer, but that money now can only purchase 1/10 as much. Its like having a perpetual motion machine which defies the laws of physics. Many politicians fall into this trap, and they all realize eventually learn the hard way.

So its really absolutely absurd to suggest that "if you have a fixed money supply you fail".

You had me at ‘you are a smart guy’ :D   

If I don’t understand the concept here are some softball questions:

First softball question:
Why would anyone invest in production when your output devalues meaning your capital is the thing of increasing value/incentive? What is the incentive to trigger investment?

Second softball question:
From the consumer demand view, why would you want to consume more if your currency increases in value faster than falling prices of goods you want to purchase?

Third softball question:
If it’s supposed to be fixed supply and fixed wages, money flows to the top and peasants go broke (eg Monopoly). How do you prevent this?

Lastly, if Jeff Booth believes in a fixed supply where the capital becomes more valuable, and today BTC capital is becoming more valuable, why does he promote HoDLing today but then believes nobody will HoDL when his fixed supply model promotes the exact same Behaviour?


If you can answer the above without tripping over I will be impressed as I have had some very smart dudes give up because their answers always came back to a model that worked the same as today which is rising prices & rising wages or falling prices & falling wages.

Imagine walking into the office and celebrating a -5% wage decrease lol 😂  don’t people see how retarded that is and yet this would happen to prevent a fixed supply from failing. Falling prices = falling wages.




Mayday

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10066 on: January 05, 2024, 05:31:27 PM »
I’ll give the answer to everyone about WHY we use inflationary monetary systems.

When you make your currency the depreciating capital, people want to get rid of it and invest into production to earn value greater than the currency.

Currency is supposed to depreciate and rates are there to incentivise/disincentivise. We raise rates to incentivise holding currency/bonds which sucks liquidity out of productivity and causes collapse of poor investment. Only the best survives.

During the rate hike cycle, shortages occur as investment liquidity is sucked out which causes prices to rise in property and rents. At peak rate cycle we have cleansed poor investment and had all money flow back into currency and property of which mortgage LVR is very low.

We then begin the investment cycle all over again where rates are lowered which means less incentive to hold currency and investment into productivity is encourages.

This is why property has the largest growth during the hike rise phase and why the S&P has its greatest growth during the rate decline phase.

Humble Narcissist

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10067 on: January 06, 2024, 01:16:40 AM »
I’ll give the answer to everyone about WHY we use inflationary monetary systems.

When you make your currency the depreciating capital, people want to get rid of it and invest into production to earn value greater than the currency.

Currency is supposed to depreciate and rates are there to incentivise/disincentivise. We raise rates to incentivise holding currency/bonds which sucks liquidity out of productivity and causes collapse of poor investment. Only the best survives.

During the rate hike cycle, shortages occur as investment liquidity is sucked out which causes prices to rise in property and rents. At peak rate cycle we have cleansed poor investment and had all money flow back into currency and property of which mortgage LVR is very low.

We then begin the investment cycle all over again where rates are lowered which means less incentive to hold currency and investment into productivity is encourages.

This is why property has the largest growth during the hike rise phase and why the S&P has its greatest growth during the rate decline phase.
Thanks for this explanation.

IroNat

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10068 on: January 06, 2024, 03:59:16 AM »
I heard that you should keep your cash in mattresses so I invest in them.

So far, I think it's going well.


affeman

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10069 on: January 06, 2024, 04:17:39 AM »
I heard that you should keep your cash in mattresses so I invest in them.

So far, I think it's going well.



Great choice, as they will go up in value over the long term, whereas paper/fiat declines... :D

gib

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10070 on: January 08, 2024, 01:39:22 AM »
Great choice, as they will go up in value over the long term, whereas paper/fiat declines... :D

Now if only they were mathematically fixed in supply, infinitely divisible into any amount, instantly portable to anywhere in the world, at almost zero cost, were accepted globally as a medium of exchange, were becoming increasingly integrated into our financial system, were being adopted by nation states, decentralized from any Government control, had a pending US ETF application possibly due to be approved by the SEC, and had an obvious adoption curve as becoming a major asset class just in its infancy. Then, you might just be on to something... :). Until then, if you like something physical, stick with gold. If you like something superior to gold on all monetary metrics, then Bitcoin is your #1 choice.

Flexacon

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10071 on: January 08, 2024, 02:18:57 AM »
You can relax now Gib, no point trying to explain it to the village idiot.

Wall St and all the media they have in their back pockets will do the BTC pimping now. Not to mention all the account managers who will be trying to pimp the ETF to clients so they can collect their commission.

gib

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10072 on: January 08, 2024, 03:18:28 AM »
You can relax now Gib, no point trying to explain it to the village idiot.

Wall St and all the media they have in their back pockets will do the BTC pimping now. Not to mention all the account managers who will be trying to pimp the ETF to clients so they can collect their commission.

Ha ha - yes indeed. Well you can lead a Getbigger to water, but sometimes you just can't make them drink. Still, I try...

IroNat

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10073 on: January 08, 2024, 04:51:54 AM »
There are different sides to the Bitcoin saga.

One is that Bitcoin will one day be a popular medium of exchange like fiat currency.  Someday you will go to Walmart and buy stuff at the checkout with Bitcoin.

Another is that Bitcoin has intrinsic value itself, like gold or silver or company stock, and the value will rise and fall. 

The most popular viewpoint and the one that generates excitement is that Bitcoin has intrinsic value.

https://buybitcoinworldwide.com/price/


gib

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Re: Bitcoins - about to hit $5,000 per coin today!
« Reply #10074 on: January 08, 2024, 08:58:52 AM »
There are different sides to the Bitcoin saga.

One is that Bitcoin will one day be a popular medium of exchange like fiat currency.  Someday you will go to Walmart and buy stuff at the checkout with Bitcoin.

Another is that Bitcoin has intrinsic value itself, like gold or silver or company stock, and the value will rise and fall. 

The most popular viewpoint and the one that generates excitement is that Bitcoin has intrinsic value.

https://buybitcoinworldwide.com/price/

Bitcoin has no intrinsic value. But that is its strength, and not any weakness, as its various other qualities, including its absolute scarcity, make it the ultimate store of value, noting that whilst BTC as an asset does not produce anything, it does as an asset, take considerable amount of effort to create, with a pre-defined cap on supply. (Fiat currency also has no intrinsic value by the way, with its only value derived from the value others are willing to attribute to it, only unlike BTC it can be infinitely printed - hence the increasing an unstoppable trend of converting fiat to BTC over time).

As for being a medium of exchange, it most definitely is one - that should be obvious. Indeed, globally, Bitcoin is already the most accepted universally accepted currency other than the USD). However, just like other stores of value (real estate, art, gold, etc), we don't typically use it for "day to day transactions", one reason being that it is still in an adoption phase and thus rapidly increasing in value over time (although unlike real estate, art, gold, etc it is easily usable in any amount, if wishing to do so.) Most people would use it to store value, given it is still rapidly appreciating, and then if needed, convert small amounts of the BTC into fiat to use at a country level. However over time, and especially as its rate of global adoption growth eventually slows, we may we see a lot more transactions on the 2nd layer Lightening Network. For those who now want to use it consistently for day to day to transactions, they just have a BTC backed Visa card which can then be used globally, anywhere where Visa cards are used for fiat transactions (which is what a number of my BTC global nomad friends do, or they can of course also use it anywhere Lightening payment are accepted).