Question I have is - why would the Fed would allow another currency to run parallel to the dollar? There has to be a reason. The Fed is buying all asset classes to maintain the paper markets that are no longer tied to reality and earnings. Maybe it will be a sponge for all the printed money or something to blame a crash on. In the atmosphere where those in power just disappear dissent at will I find it hard to believe that BTC is still here at this value without a larger reason.
I pondered this as well and my conclusion was i think I may have looked at this all wrong.
To set the state of play:
2017 and on many large countries banned crypto due to it’s threat to sovereign currency. The US and a handful allowed it to continue and then increased it’s regulation and legitimacy.
Fast forward to 2021 and We have an utterly fucked global financial system. Record debt for households and govts in general. Zero or negatives rates. No wage growth. High unemployment. Pandemic.
We see loads of QE and a fight against deflation. We see handout stimulus for trickle up economics and working subsidies.
We know the global financial system will be transformed -
Countries will create their own digital coins is confirmed. This is going to be used for those trickle up economic policies and works alongside existing currency. These will be controlled by central banks and can be created instantly and deposited into bank accounts. The impact on the bond market could be massive as not only will huge amounts of spending Bono linger require bonds but the rates are zero or negative.
Move onto Libre which will be a basket of global currencies. Created by an American company and now everybody can do business around the globe. What does this do to the Forex market? Does it even need to exist anymore?
So that puts us looking at a possible massive bond market decline followed by a possible forex market decline. Where does the money go?
Move to crypto where the Americans allowed it to flourish and all the American companies are first on the boat......
Meanwhile all the countries that banned it will be left with a tiny bond market and a tiny forex market and nowhere to make money for their banks.
Enter crypto..... now owned by the Americans and everybody else has to buy from them.......
I don’t want to sound like the tin foil man but what do you guys think?