Author Topic: Republican Delegate Count  (Read 4339 times)

James

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Republican Delegate Count
« on: March 02, 2016, 07:13:59 AM »
D. Trump  316

T. Cruz     226

M. Rubio   106

J. Kasich    25

B. Carson    8

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/delegate-count-tracker
  

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2016, 07:16:40 AM »
Rubio HAS to get out of the race.  We're now entering the non-Evangelical states where Winner Takes All.

The Trump avalanche starts now.  UNLESS Rubio gets out of the race.  Carson & Kasich should get out too, but they're footnotes at this point.  RUBIO is the establishment choice and he takes half of the anti-trump vote.

At this point, Trump would probably put Rubio on payroll, just to stay in the race and keep Cruz from moving up.

James

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2016, 07:26:24 AM »
Rubio HAS to get out of the race. 

He should but he wont.

absfabs

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2016, 09:17:22 PM »
winner take all states will widen Trump gap, esp FL

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2016, 10:44:52 PM »
winner take all states will widen Trump gap, esp FL

this.   The former democrat Trump will win FL and OH, and it's over at that point.

He'll make a DEAL with #2 cruz and seal it up officially?

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2016, 08:11:29 AM »
this.   The former democrat Trump will win FL and OH, and it's over at that point.

He'll make a DEAL with #2 cruz and seal it up officially?

New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, California...you would think all these states favor Trump over Cruz

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #7 on: March 06, 2016, 06:33:15 PM »
Cruz will be lucky if that deal is struck, as will be the Repub party.

When Bush dropped they tried to boost Rubio but that failed so hard. Kasich stays in until Ohio and then maybe there is your deal for VP. I don't see Cruz getting an olive branch at all after he piled on with Rubio. Also it doesn't fit into what Cruz sells himself on, so my guess he survives to run again later down the line.

Ask yourself who did not attack each other? Trump and Kasich. Who is left for establishment GOPers after Rubio is blasted out? Kasich.

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #8 on: March 06, 2016, 10:02:34 PM »

Ask yourself who did not attack each other? Trump and Kasich.

they completely avoided each other.  trump even said "except for the governor" in the last debate to make sure he didn't accidentally insult kasich.

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #9 on: March 06, 2016, 10:11:50 PM »
It may not end up that way but Kasich is much more skillful than anyone knows when it comes to politics. I did not think he had the juice to win the governorship after being out of office for 10 years either. He's really an effective governor and does the fiscally correct things for the most part.

polychronopolous

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #10 on: March 06, 2016, 10:26:54 PM »
Cruz will be lucky if that deal is struck, as will be the Repub party.

When Bush dropped they tried to boost Rubio but that failed so hard. Kasich stays in until Ohio and then maybe there is your deal for VP. I don't see Cruz getting an olive branch at all after he piled on with Rubio. Also it doesn't fit into what Cruz sells himself on, so my guess he survives to run again later down the line.

Ask yourself who did not attack each other? Trump and Kasich. Who is left for establishment GOPers after Rubio is blasted out? Kasich.

Trump names Kasich as VP and then extends olive branch to the conservative wing by hammering home in the general election that he will appoint Cruz as Supreme Court Justice as one of his first tasks in office.

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #11 on: March 06, 2016, 10:34:14 PM »
Trump names Kasich as VP and then extends olive branch to the conservative wing by hammering home in the general election that he will appoint Cruz as Supreme Court Justice as one of his first tasks in office.

and christie as the attorney general.

maybe offer rubio something too.

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #12 on: March 06, 2016, 10:41:25 PM »
and christie as the attorney general.

maybe offer rubio something too.

Ted Cruz would make a fantastic president but he is also such a law wonk by nature.

I wonder what he would choose between 4 to 8 years as president versus 40+ behind the bench.

James

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #13 on: March 07, 2016, 06:31:20 AM »
D. Trump  384

T. Cruz     300

M. Rubio   151

J. Kasich    25

B. Carson    8

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/delegate-count-tracker

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #14 on: March 07, 2016, 07:26:08 AM »
D. Trump  384

T. Cruz     300

M. Rubio   151

J. Kasich    25

B. Carson    8

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/delegate-count-tracker

I think NBC had it Trump 392 Cruz 305

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #15 on: March 07, 2016, 09:12:16 AM »
Ted Cruz would make a fantastic president but he is also such a law wonk by nature.

I wonder what he would choose between 4 to 8 years as president versus 40+ behind the bench.

the repub is still the odds-favorite to lose to hilary, right?  


A job as SCOTUS would be guaranteed, a job as president is 50-50 at best.


 

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #16 on: March 07, 2016, 09:57:36 AM »
Ted Cruz would make a fantastic president but he is also such a law wonk by nature.

I wonder what he would choose between 4 to 8 years as president versus 40+ behind the bench.

I'm not sure he could survive a Senate vote. 

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #17 on: March 07, 2016, 03:09:08 PM »
Ted Cruz would make a fantastic president but he is also such a law wonk by nature.

I'm not convinced. I wouldn't mind a President who would do some of the things Cruz promises and espouse some of the values that Cruz purports to espouse. But let's take a deeper look.

Cruz claims he'll abolish the IRS. The line gets a lot of applause, and Cruz seems particularly happy with himself when he speaks it. But does anyone really believe that Cruz will actually abolish the IRS? What's more, does he, as President, have the authority to abolish the IRS? The answer is no, which brings us to our next point:

Cruz claims to love the Constitution and asserts that it should be strictly interpreted. He talks about how he defended the Constitution, but he openly and proudly mocks it when he casually dismisses Supreme Court decisions for no reason other than they don't agree with his political views.

I have no doubt that Cruz is more conservative that any of the other candidates, and I am certain that Cruz's beliefs are deeply held. But I just don't think what he actually believes what he claims to believe.


I wonder what he would choose between 4 to 8 years as president versus 40+ behind the bench.

It's not like the two are mutually exclusively.... assume that he gets elected; he's 45 now, so let's say 46 when he is sworn. If all goes according to plan, he'll be 54 when he gets out. If he's nominated and confirmed, he could begin a life tenure starting at age 55. The average life expectancy for a 45-year old today would be 87... let's say 85 to keep the numbers round. That's 30 years of service on the Court.

It's an unlikely scenario, but it is possible.

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #18 on: March 07, 2016, 04:53:53 PM »
I saw Kasich interviewed in the last week and he said he wouldn't want the VP gig. That could be balderdash but that's what he said.

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #19 on: March 07, 2016, 05:07:00 PM »
I saw Kasich interviewed in the last week and he said he wouldn't want the VP gig. That could be balderdash but that's what he said.

Yeah right.  That's the only reason he's still in the race.  He has a shot to be VP if there is a brokered convention. 

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #20 on: March 07, 2016, 05:34:30 PM »
Carson's got this.

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #21 on: March 10, 2016, 08:41:47 PM »
Carson's got this.


Carson's endorsement of Trump today....maybe as VP he is the Robyn Quivers to Trump's Howard Stern act.

James

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #22 on: March 11, 2016, 06:40:46 AM »
D. Trump  459

T. Cruz     360

M. Rubio   152

J. Kasich    54



http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/delegate-count-tracker

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #23 on: March 11, 2016, 07:23:31 AM »
Cruz had a bonanza win with 150 from Texas.  Otherwise this race would be done.  Not sure why the fuck Kasich is still around.  The crazy thing is Trump can lead right until the end but if doesn't get the required amount to secure the nomination the party can screw him over.

Strange stat though on cnn.  Although Trump has the most delegates they said Cruz has an easier street and just needs 51% of the upcoming delegates whereas Trump needs 54%.  I don't get how that works unless they misspoke and reversed the names by accident but the guy was going on at how the road is easier for Cruz.

James

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Re: Republican Delegate Count
« Reply #24 on: March 11, 2016, 07:56:04 AM »
Cruz had a bonanza win with 150 from Texas.  Otherwise this race would be done.  Not sure why the fuck Kasich is still around.  The crazy thing is Trump can lead right until the end but if doesn't get the required amount to secure the nomination the party can screw him over.

Strange stat though on cnn.  Although Trump has the most delegates they said Cruz has an easier street and just needs 51% of the upcoming delegates whereas Trump needs 54%.  I don't get how that works unless they misspoke and reversed the names by accident but the guy was going on at how the road is easier for Cruz.

Cruz did not win 150 from Texas.

Cruz got 99, trump got 38, and rubio got 4

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/texas