I like Cerrone over Story. Cowboy looked real good in his last fight. With his length, he should be able to keep Story at bay and get a decision or KO.
I'm gonna pick Tex over Johnson. This one is shaky because of Johnson's power, but if Tex can escape the early barrage he could get a sub or even the KO.
Diaz / Macgregor? I've been going back and forth on this one. Conor has had more motivation to improve and according to his trainer has been doing a shitload of aerobic conditioning work. I'll give him the benefit of the doubt and assume he can box for five rounds and not gas. Conor by decision.