Here is why NC is a sure bet
1. Romney won NC last time. Romney DID NOT have the support that Trump has in NC. Not even close.
2. Romney HAD ZERO crossover appeal whereas Democrats in large numbers are voting for Trump.
3. The Bernie effect. Bernie did EXTREMELY well in North Carolina. Everyone who supported him was let down and is still let down and many are voting for Trump or going third party. Either way, that is in Trumps favor. Romney did not have any of that extra added to his vote and he still won in 2012.
4. Minorities are not supporting Hillary as they did Obama in 2012. Not even close. A lot are not voting as they are not excited about voting for a white woman who called them Super Predators and is corrupt. It is what it is. Furthermore, Trump is getting MUCH LARGER minority support in NC than Romney ever did and remember, Romney won in 2012.
5. Independents. Trump overwhelmingly gets the Independent vote in all states and ESPECIALLY here in North Carolina. Its a huge number and virtually none are supporting Hillary. Romney also did well with independents in 2012 and still won, despite not even having close the Independent support as Trump has this year.
6. Obama Effect. Lets face it, many Democrats who voted for Obama, many Republicans who voted for Obama want their votes back. Obama's legacy is not great at all. In NC for instance, we now have ONE choice for healthcare when it comes to Obamacare and its a BAD plan. Really bad. This is not going to work. Not only that, he has done virtually nothing on all fronts and the trade deals have KILLED NORTH CAROLINA MANUFACTURING. Textiles, Furniture, Tobacco, Farming----all choked due to bad trade deals and Democratic ideas and plans. Also, the Estate Tax KILLS family farms. Literally shuts them down.
7. Trump. What can I say that hasn't already been said? He is the best candidate to come along when it comes to Draining the Swamp, Trade Deals, REAL Justice reform, problem solving etc... North Carolinian's know this. They also know Hillary offers nothing. Trump is also magnetic with a dynamic personality that is attractive to anyone who listens because he believes what he says and tells the truth. All of us know that.
8. I could go on, but I think that is enough to show you, why North Carolina will be Red on November 8th.