I don't know if that's true. And it's sort of meaningless without context. In terms of numbers, what matters are the number of registered and likely voters in each state.
You don't know if what is true, the number of registered republicans, democrats, and independents? Or, that there are slightly more left leaning registered independents?
Right, if you mean the number or registered democrat, republican, and independent voters by state matters in federal general elections.
I was primarily referring to the 2026 midterm elections. Number of votes by state also applies also to presidential elections because the electoral college electors who ultimately determine the winner.