Author Topic: Social distancing will save us: Awesome simulation from The Washington Post  (Read 799 times)

el numero uno

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 ;) ;) ;)

I can't copy the simulations here. Please check the link.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/


EDIT: I first used the term "Mobility restriction" which is a literal translation of the term being used in spanish speaking countries. Social distancing is a more appropiate term.

IroNat

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These mathematical models are stupid.


el numero uno

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These mathematical models are stupid.



Do you have any training on Statistics, CS, Mathematics, or you just talking out of your ass?

IroNat

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Do you have any training on Statistics, CS, Mathematics, or you just talking out of your ass?

Yes, I have taken statistics and mathematics.

I know that if you take a penny and double it every day for a month you end up with a million dollars.

However, I've never known anyone to accumulate a million dollars in this fashion.  Have you?

Exponential calculations like this never work in reality. They are good for scaring people though.


el numero uno

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Yes, I have taken statistics and mathematics.

I know that if you take a penny and double it every day for a month you end up with a million dollars.


Wrong. You end up with 10.7 million. It takes 5 seconds to type 0.01 * 2^30. Check it.


However, I've never known anyone to accumulate a million dollars in this fashion.  Have you?


That's not the point.


Exponential calculations like this never work in reality. They are good for scaring people though.



Predictive analytics is successfuly used in most fields.

I myself use a simple linear regression model to predict yields in banana plantations, and I'm only an amateur.

It seems to me that your comment about the models being stupid was uninformed.

IroNat

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I hope your successful in your work with bananas because bananas are one of my favorite fruits.

Double a penny for 28 days (4 weeks x 7 days) = $1,342,177.28

We'll call it a $million dollars for simplicity.

If you do it for 30 days you get $5,368,709.12

If you do it for 31 days you get $10,737,418.24

You only have one penny on the first day.


Methyl m1ke

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I hope your successful in your work with bananas because bananas are one of my favorite fruits.

Double a penny for 28 days (4 weeks x 7 days) = $1,342,177.28

We'll call it a $million dollars for simplicity.

If you do it for 30 days you get $5,368,709.12

If you do it for 31 days you get $10,737,418.24

You only have one penny on the first day.



You also can neither spell nor use the simple spell check button (two spots over from the post button.)