I started a thread about this, unfortunately one of the mods merged it with another thread, so now no one will see it. I'll repost here:
I believe the covid-19 precautions are being massively overhyped, but I also think the "it's just the flu" brigade is inaccurate as well. I haven't seen a succinct description as to why it shouldn't be treated like the flu (even though it's possibly here, there's a lot of threads. I had to get in on the action.)
1)One of the biggest differences between the flu and covid-19 is the suspected incubation period. The flu incubates for approx 3 days. Covid-19 can incubate for up to 14 days which theoretically means there's an exponentially greater chance to spread the virus to more people. Even h1n1 only had an average incubation period of 4 days (7 on the high end.)
2)Covid-19 was just introduced to humans, so we don't have any natural or assisted immunity. covid and flu are constantly compared, but flu death and hospitalization numbers are pretty bad and would be worse if it weren't for flu vaccines and some people's acquired immunity. The immunity doesn't just keep people from getting sick it also decreases transmission.
No immunity + long incubation period= possible recipe for disaster.
3)This virus could easily mutateCovid-19 appears to disproportionately affect older people. For some people that's a reason to take it less seriously. If that's where you're coming from, then you have to be aware that this virus could easily mutate. H1N1 mutates every flu season and several of the derivative strains are more aggressive and more easily transmitted than the original version. There are reportedly already 2 strains of covid19 (though neither is believed to be a mutation), and it is not unheard of for a viral strain to mutate several times over the course of one season.
I do think a lot of what's going on is over the top, but the real worry of covid-19 is a specific combination of things that could potentially be really bad. It all sounds manageable and maybe even minor on an individual level, but combined, it COULD be castastrophic.