Unless Trump can pull off a turnaround in the reactions to him (which seems unlikely given his stubborn personality), Biden is definitely coming. The pattern is fairly consistent across all regions of the US (maybe with the exception of the southern states). Trump will get the rural areas, and Biden will get the cities. But the big surprise that will make Trump a one term President is the suburbs. There is no doubt at three months or so before the election that the suburbs are trending to Biden, despite his age and weaknesses.