Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?

[funk51]

Perhaps people like my brother and his wife made up the difference for you and many others by paying literally thousands and thousands of dollars a year in penalties because they did not have obamacare or any health insurance.  They thought it better for their son to go to college.  The health care they have now is ridiculously expensive With outrageously high Copays but their son has a degree now and they are retired, although in the case of my sister-in-law it is rather premature because the plannedemic put them out of business at least a decade too soon For her.   she quite young compared to me .

Yes my friend things are different for different people that's the way it goes in the real world. But as I've said before I don't think I owe anyone anything. They should not be allowed To tax the crap out of someone to pay for someone else's healthcare Or babies or laziness and I'm not saying that is you because you know exactly what I'm talking about my friend.

    i know i just stumbled into this great plan, by someone telling me about it. otherwise i still would be paying the 4 k a year or probably more. i started working at age 16 and worked 60 plus hours a week for most of my life. i paid into social security all those years would hate to see it go the way of the dinosaur at this point in life.

[Never1AShow]

https://www.post-gazette.com/opinion/editorials/2020/10/31/editorial-donald-trump-joe-biden-mike-pence-kamala-harris-presidential-candidate-endorsement/stories/202010310021

Pittsburgh biggest paper endorses Trump

[Dave D]

They’re trying to salvage their reputations. Won’t work. ABC WaPo  just came out with one that has Trump up 2 in Florida. They know it’s over.

The crying is already starting on Twitter. They’re trying to rationalize FL by saying  that North Carolina Georgia and even Texas are likely to vote Biden

You've nailed this.

I dont know how  people can trust the prognosticators after this. Their bias should be obvious by now.

[SOMEPARTS]

[Agnostic007]

In all seriousness... with the fan base Trump has voting for him...

If he doesn't win this....

I would bet that never again would any republican ever win an election again in my or anyone else' lifetime.

Oddly, I was just telling someone that if Trump wins another term, there's no chance Democrat's will ever win the Presidency in at least a couple decades.

[Andy Griffin]

Oddly, I was just telling someone that if Trump wins another term, there's no chance Democrat's will ever win the Presidency in at least a couple decades.

While I would like to believe this, I don't think it is true.  History generally favors a switch every 8-12 years.  My cynical nature also leads me to believe that the two major parties do what they can (behind the scenes, of course) to prop each other just enough so that no other party can gain a real foothold.

[Kwon]

Oddly, I was just telling someone that if Trump wins another term, there's no chance Democrat's will ever win the Presidency in at least a couple decades.

That would be a dream-scenario

[Tapeworm]

The Left has overplayed its hand badly. No one believes the propaganda because it's so plainly incredible. The Right is not without sin but people are sick to death of purple haired white chicks' incessant crusading, the baseless vilification of white males, and the uneasy sense that they're next up on the guillotine if they don't parrot the daily virtue-phrase with sufficient gusto.

I say the bozo in chief wins another 4 years by anti-neoliberal protest vote. No one seems to be discussing policies at all, so it's just down to a visceral sense who who you belong most with, and the Left have been driving people into Trump's camp for awhile now.

The Dems are idiots. All they had to do was run Tulsi, be a centrist party of the working class (which was their thing until Trump ran off with it) and ditch all this social justice horseshit. It was a slam dunk and they missed again.

Imo. Guess we'll see.

[tom joad]

Lots of Trump optimism in this thread, with most predicting that Trump will be re-elected.

So, let's see . . .
the ones who are predicting a Biden victory (or are saying it's more likely than not) are:

OneMoreRep
honest
Primemuscle
mphgrave
AbrahamG
OlympiaGym
Agnostic007
tom joad
dearth (... I think)
and maybe TheGrinch (?)

[Kwon]

Lots of Trump optimism in this thread, with most predicting that Trump will be re-elected.

So, let's see . . .
the ones who are predicting a Biden victory (or are saying it's more likely than not) are:

OneMoreRep
honest
Primemuscle
mphgrave
AbrahamG
OlympiaGym
Agnostic007
tom joad
dearth (... I think)
and maybe TheGrinch (?)

You can bet yer ass that these would vote Biden

dearth
Board_Sharif
ialin
RK
StrawMan_Ziruolo
Funk

[TheGrinch]

Lots of Trump optimism in this thread, with most predicting that Trump will be re-elected.

So, let's see . . .
the ones who are predicting a Biden victory (or are saying it's more likely than not) are:

OneMoreRep
honest
Primemuscle
mphgrave
AbrahamG
OlympiaGym
Agnostic007
tom joad
dearth (... I think)
and maybe TheGrinch (?)

For the record I voted for Trump as Biden and his son are both PEDO's who need to be drawn and quartered.

Trump is far and away the best president this country will ever see or has seen.


PROBLEM is that every sign, person I know, contact I speak with says everyone is voting for Biden because "Orange Man Bad"

[Methyl m1ke]

Oddly, I was just telling someone that if Trump wins another term, there's no chance Democrat's will ever win the Presidency in at least a couple decades.

Pence will run depending how the next 4 years go. If things go well he has a good chance.. Overall republicans have great talent. The left has mmm newsom? Omg gavin newsom for potus makes me sick.

[loco]

 

https://www.yahoo.com/elections

[Moontrane]

Pence will run depending how the next 4 years go. If things go well he has a good chance.. Overall republicans have great talent. The left has mmm newsom? Omg gavin newsom for potus makes me sick.

I believe Newsom will run in 2024; Harris isn't done; AOC will be of age; Buttigieg again; maybe Beto; Yang; Booker; and Castro.

[Hulkotron]

Trump is going to win and I do not think it will be close:

The economy was top of mind for voters as they cast ballots for president, according to preliminary results of a nationwide CNN exit poll.

And while they were fairly evenly split on whether the country's economy is doing well, more than half said the coronavirus pandemic has caused them financial hardship. Still, more say they are better off today than four years ago (around 4 in 10) than say they are worse off today (2 in 10).

About one-third of voters called the economy their most critical issue, while roughly 1 in 5 citing racial inequality and about 1 in 6 named the coronavirus pandemic as most important to their vote. Roughly 1 in 10 each cited health care policy and crime and violence as their top issue.

The majority of Trump and Biden supporters said they cast ballots more in support of their candidate than against his opponent, though Trump's base was even more loyal to him. More than 4 in 5 people said they voted for the President, while just under two-thirds of Biden's voters said the same.

The top quality voters were looking for in a president was a strong leader. One third said so, while just under a quarter were wanting someone with good judgment and just over one-fifth thought a candidate who "cares about people like me" was most important. Fewer than one-fifth were looking for someone who can unite the country.

When it comes to the issues, nearly three-quarters of voters said a candidate's position on the issues was most important, while less than quarter named the candidate's personal qualities.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/03/politics/exit-polls-2020/index.html

[ThisisOverload]

Such a shame a shithole state like Cali has 55 votes. 

Prepare for some liberal rage in the next few hours.

[Hulkotron]

Biden up by 9 points in Kentucky of all places, with 8% reporting ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[Mr Anabolic]

Biden up by 9 points in Kentucky of all places, with 8% reporting ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Too early.  You know how many ppl have guns in Kentucky?  Most are not going to vote for Sleepy.

[Andy Griffin]

Too early.  You know how many ppl have guns in Kentucky?  Most are not going to vote for Sleepy.

Most KY votes for Plugs likely come from Louisville and Lexington. 

[OlympiaGym]

It will be an early night. FL is going for Biden.

[Palumboism]

It will be an early night. FL is going for Biden.

 

Trump is leading in 63 out of 67 counties in Florida.

[basil]

I’m not turning on the TV until the streets resemble a scene from Libya or the Congo.  I’m only here for the meatshow.

[OlympiaGym]

 

Trump is leading in 63 out of 67 counties in Florida.

So? He’ll probably win the overwhelming majority of counties but he will lose the urban and suburban areas where the population is centered. No Electoral College in the states to save him.

[Andy Griffin]

So? He’ll probably win the overwhelming majority of counties but he will lose the urban and suburban areas where the population is centered. No Electoral College in the states to save him.

The Electoral College is the measure by which Presidents are chosen.  They do not "save" anyone.

[OlympiaGym]

The Electoral College is the measure by which Presidents are chosen.  They do not "save" anyone.

Yup. That’s where Biden/Harris will be elected.