New York is staying blue, but this race will be tighter. 4 of the 5 boros will go Biden, Westchester is firmly Biden, Long Island will be firmly Trump. He could swing some more upstate counties, but the gap will still be too large to bridge.
Hillary won 59% , Trump 36.5% (4,550,000 to 2,820,000). There are no heavy 3rd party candidates, so I figure Trump picks up most of those, they push him into the low 40% range, new voters he picked up will give him an extra few points.
I figure Trump might wind up in the mid - high 40s.
New York's 2016 voting map -
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/new-york .