The 2024 General Election

[Dos Equis]

Kamala Harris could never do this.

Collin Rugg
@CollinRugg
Donald Trump had a fiery interview today with the editor-in-chief of Bloomberg John Micklethwait.

Here are the top 5 moments:

5. Trump roasts the Federal Reserve, says they show up to the office once a month to "flip a coin."

4. Trump calls out Micklethwait to his face along with the Wall Street Journal for being "wrong about everything."

3. Trump rips European car companies for circumventing tariffs by shipping some parts to be assembled in America.

2. Crowd starts cheering after Trump spars with Micklethwait over tariffs, says if companies want to avoid them they just have to build their plants in America.

1. Trump calls Gavin Newsom "Newscum" which prompted Micklethwait to correct him, which then prompted Trump to correct him back.

https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1846295590126162419

[Humble Narcissist]

Rallies in Colorado, California, and New York, states he is not going to win, shows that the internal polls have Trump looking very good.  He is trying to affect the "popular vote."  Smart. 

President Donald J. Trump to Hold a Rally in New York, New York
https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-new-york-new-york

I was thinking that myself. He may also think those states are actually in play.

[Dos Equis]

I was thinking that myself. He may also think those states are actually in play.

He might think that, but I don't see how he makes up the millions of votes in California and New York, especially California.  Those people are nuts.  Keep in mind that Hillary Clinton's entire popular vote spread came from California in 2016 and Biden's entire popular vote spread came from California and New York in 2020.  I think the best Trump can do is cut those numbers down substantially.  If he does, he likely gets more popular votes. 

I've been talking about this since 2016:

Every time I hear a liberal pundit talk about the election they mention the popular vote.  Several problems with this, including:

1.  This was not a popular vote contest.  It was a electoral vote contest.  It's sort of like mentioning who got more yards or had more time of possession rather than looking at the scoreboard. 

2.  Clinton leads the popular vote by about 2.8 million votes.  The context is this: Clinton received 3.4 million more votes than Trump in California and 1.5 million more votes than Trump in New York. That’s a total spread of about 4.9 million votes from only two states. In fact, her entire spread is accounted for California alone.  Trump did not really campaign in either California or New York, because he knew he was going to lose those states and didn’t need them to win the election.

3.  The Electoral College prevents a handful of states from deciding a national election. Keep this in mind when people talk about the popular vote.

I ran these numbers in 2023:

I just took a look at the total vote numbers.  Some interesting observations:

1.  Biden received 81,282,501 votes.

2.  Trump received 74,223,975. 

3.  Both numbers were record turnouts.  I think the reason was largely related to the mass numbers of mail-in votes.  I think the numbers for both parties will drop in 2024. 

4.  Just like 2016, the "popular vote" was dramatically impacted by California and New York.  In 2016, Hillary Clinton's entire popular vote spread came from California.  In 2020, Biden got 11,110,639 votes in California and 5,249,886 votes in New York. 

5.  In 2020, Trump got 6,006,518 votes in California and 3,251,987 votes in New York. 

6.  The Biden spread in California was 5,104,121 and in New York was 1,992,899, for a total of 7,097,020.

7.  Biden's total popular vote spread in 2020 was 7,059,526.  In other words, the California and New York vote totals account for all of Biden's popular vote spread. 

8.  If you subtract California and New York from both Biden and Trump, Biden got 64,922,976 votes and Trump got 64,965,470.  In other words, Trump got more popular votes than Biden outside of California and New York. 

I'm pretty sure Trump never set foot in California during the 2020 election. 

Good context for Biden's 81 million votes.   

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election

[Dos Equis]

Collin Rugg
@CollinRugg
JUST IN: Donald Trump cracks 58% for the first time against Harris on political betting platform Polymarket.
 
The surge comes as the left has launched a coordinated smear campaign to make Trump look "unfit" for office.
 
The betting markets appear to see through the smear campaign as Trump's odds to win surge.

The development also comes after a new NBC poll shows Trump surging five points in the past month.

Harris is trying to counter Trump's improving numbers by appealing to male voters, specifically with a hunting outing by Tim Walz and a potential Rogan interview.

https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1846265576970506621

[B_B_C]

Mr Trump =  a hyper precious, physically decrepit, mentally degenerate huckster

An ideal candidate for the countrys need for a Caudillo

[Coach is Back!]

Up 20 today

[Primemuscle]

You’re really bad at this 😂

Here is your post which is I was responding to about Kalshi. Note ‘Kalshi’ in green. Keep on betting. 

And the only reason why she’s this is because the media is running interference

[deadz]

Up 20 today

[Dos Equis]

She showed up 15 minutes late.  I've only watch a few snippets.  Not impressed.

&t=89s

[Dos Equis]

Trump vows to 'end all sanctuary cities,' restore 'normalcy' at 'Faulkner Focus' town hall with female voters
Harris Faulkner hosts town hall as Trump addresses abortion, migrant crime, economic concerns of women
By Bailee Hill Fox News
Published October 16, 2024
https://www.foxnews.com/media/trump-vows-end-all-sanctuary-cities-restore-normalcy-faulkner-focus-town-hall-female-voters

[Dos Equis]

I have a soft spot in my heart for anyone who played football, but Ted Cruz destroyed Colin Allred here.  Allred is outright lying about supporting men and boys playing women's and girls' sports.  His voting record is pretty clear. 

[chaos]

Mr Trump =  a hyper precious, physically decrepit, mentally degenerate huckster

An ideal candidate for the countrys need for a Caudillo

Kuntmala = cocksucking kackling cunt that was a glory hole for married men.

An ideal candidate for the countrys moral compass.

[Dos Equis]

 

Benny Johnson
@bennyjohnson
Oh man. Black Americans are DONE with Barack Obama. Listen to black voters respond to Obama trying to shame them into voting for Kamala.

These responses are🔥🔥🔥

We can now officially call Obama’s smug speech the greatest political backfire of all time…

https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1845646215452496049?t=24s

[Moontrane]

Benny Johnson
@bennyjohnson
Oh man. Black Americans are DONE with Barack Obama. Listen to black voters respond to Obama trying to shame them into voting for Kamala.

These responses are🔥🔥🔥

We can now officially call Obama’s smug speech the greatest political backfire of all time…

https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1845646215452496049?t=24s

Remember when he came out for a day to stump for Martha Coakley? He said (about Scott Brown), "Anybody can buy a truck."

If you don't know if you're for Harris or Trump... 

[Dos Equis]

Remember when he came out for a day to stump for Martha Coakley? He said (about Scott Brown), "Anybody can buy a truck."

If you don't know if you're for Harris or Trump... 

He was (and is) so arrogant. 

[Dos Equis]

So Trump was right and the "fact check" was wrong.  Shocking. 

Collin Rugg
@CollinRugg
NEW: FBI updates crime statistics showing that violent crime *increased* not decreased.

Trump was fact-checked during the debate after he (correctly) asserted that crime had increased.

New data reveals violent crime increased in 2022 by 4.5%, not decreased like the left claimed.

Violent crimes in 2022: There were 80,029 more violent crimes compared to 2021.

 This included an additional:
- 1,699 m*rders
- 7,780 r*pes
- 33,459 robberies
- 37,091 aggravated assaults

A significant portion of crimes remain unreported.

According to the National Crime Victimization Survey, only about 45% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes are reported to the police.

https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1846554219207348569

[Grape Ape]

So Trump was right and the "fact check" was wrong.  Shocking. 

Collin Rugg
@CollinRugg
NEW: FBI updates crime statistics showing that violent crime *increased* not decreased.

Trump was fact-checked during the debate after he (correctly) asserted that crime had increased.

New data reveals violent crime increased in 2022 by 4.5%, not decreased like the left claimed.

Violent crimes in 2022: There were 80,029 more violent crimes compared to 2021.

 This included an additional:
- 1,699 m*rders
- 7,780 r*pes
- 33,459 robberies
- 37,091 aggravated assaults

A significant portion of crimes remain unreported.

According to the National Crime Victimization Survey, only about 45% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes are reported to the police.

https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1846554219207348569

No matter what the stats say, letting in millions illegally is going to cause problems, in terms of crime, money, and potential terrorist threats.  It's just math and fucking common sense.

[Coach is Back!]

She showed up 15 minutes late.  I've only watch a few snippets.  Not impressed.

&t=89s

Towards the end her handlers were begging Baeir to end the interview

[Dos Equis]

Towards the end her handlers were begging Baeir to end the interview

Yeah I saw him talking about them frantically waving for her to stop.  No different than Biden's handlers trying to prevent him from answering questions.  You never see that kind of thing with Trump. 

[SOMEPARTS]

Yeah I saw him talking about them frantically waving for her to stop.  No different than Biden's handlers trying to prevent him from answering questions.  You never see that kind of thing with Trump.

The more she talks the lower the polls go for her.

[Dos Equis]

No matter what the stats say, letting in millions illegally is going to cause problems, in terms of crime, money, and potential terrorist threats.  It's just math a fucking common sense.

Right?  A no brainer.  What concerns me the most is we probably let entire terrorist cells into the country. 

[Dos Equis]

The more she talks the lower the polls go for her.

Yes.  Same thing happened in 2019. 

[Dos Equis]

 

JD Vance
@JDVance
To my Democratic friends: maybe you should consider swapping Kamala Harris for Joe Biden.
Oct 16, 2024

https://x.com/JDVance/status/1846686774543921559

[Dos Equis]

I like when they ask questions like this.  Good answer.

Collin Rugg
@CollinRugg
NEW: Trump is asked to say three good qualities about Kamala Harris at the Univision town hall.

Question: What are the three virtues that you see in Vice President Kamala Harris?

Here is what he said:

1. "She seems to have an ability to survive. She was out of the race and all of a sudden she's running for president. That's a great ability."

2. "She seems to have some pretty long-time friendships... I call that a good thing."

3. "She seems to have a nice way about her."

"She does seem to be a survivor because remember, she was the first one out and all of a sudden she's running for president and the other 21 people that were running, they're sitting home watching her on television."

"So that's by far the toughest question I've had today."

https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1846753757561860561

[Agnostic007]

The more she talks the lower the polls go for her.

except they don't but this is Getbig and I am sure no one will fact check you except us minorities.  and everyone will ignore our posts that show you are wrong