Author Topic: What is going on with the USA?  (Read 8119 times)

OneMoreRep

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #25 on: March 31, 2023, 10:04:43 AM »
This is not the end of the traditional, patriotic way of life in America.

This is Americans believing a crooked and corrupt mainstream media and political complex that tells them they need and must rely on both to survive.

The Internet gives every moron alive a platform to espouse their stupidity and make it seem credible. You know better, I know better, we all know better...stop believing that the country is in dire straights because Joy Behar, Ilman Omar, and Chelsea Handler say so.

America will survive the ineptness of the current political climate, it survived 8 years of Obama, it can survive 4 more years of the same shit. As for future generations, who cares? Piss poor lazy parenting has created a culture of participation trophies, 140 character attention spans, and soft weak snowflakes who will be ruled by the Chinese.

Fuck 'em...they voted for this liberal bullshit, they teach it in schools, and they're too lazy and stupid to foresee the consequences. The pendulum will swing the other way and when it does, the only hope is that it puts these mentally ill fucks back into their place (without remorse) for the next 50 years.

Thank you. I am stealing the phrase in bold.

BTW, did you scare Shizzo away? I haven't seen the young man in a while.

"1"

OneMoreRep

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #26 on: March 31, 2023, 10:09:22 AM »
USA power, influence and goodwill is being sold off by the piece. This whole thing is a slow motion salvage operation...or controlled demolition if you think it's happening quickly. Things are ramping up as the boomers are aging out, but I still think it takes decades for the standard of living to get to world parity/neo-serfdom.

The same thing happened to England, with the transfer of power completed at WWII. I expect something similar, although a monetary reset would be an equal if not greater impact. Of course they never had the standard of living the USA has enjoyed...we have a LONG way to fall and on the other end of that is people making $$$ selling us out.

I'm leaning more towards that train of thought. I think a monetary reset could be very likely. How will it work? I am not sure. But will it lead to devaluation of the dollar, severe inflation and who knows what else? Sure.

Right now, BlackRock and JP Morgan believe we are headed to a recession, while Goldman gives it about a 35% chance.

Where the chips will fall will be anyone's guess.

"1"

Walter Sobchak

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #27 on: March 31, 2023, 10:13:05 AM »
Thank you. I am stealing the phrase in bold.

BTW, did you scare Shizzo away? I haven't seen the young man in a while.

"1"

I am not certain of the whereabouts of Shizzo as I have not spent much time in Florida parking lots as of late.

I do savor the thought of the self-proclaimed king giving out $3 truck stop handjobs to support his booze habit. I would imagine having fat, sweaty truckers pushing down on the top of his head until he gags adds a little humility and perspective to his shitty life.

IroNat

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #28 on: March 31, 2023, 10:47:14 AM »
I'm leaning more towards that train of thought. I think a monetary reset could be very likely. How will it work? I am not sure. But will it lead to devaluation of the dollar, severe inflation and who knows what else? Sure.

Right now, BlackRock and JP Morgan believe we are headed to a recession, while Goldman gives it about a 35% chance.

Where the chips will fall will be anyone's guess.

"1"

Once the Fed starts raising rates, a recession generally follows 9-12 months later.

That's how long it takes for the effects of tightening to hit.

No mystery.  Nothing to panic over.

Same old, same old. 

Has happened many times in the past.

The stock market most likely will eventually drop another 20-25% until the next true bull market starts.

The S&P 500 Ratio would likely get down to 15.  Right now its just under 22.  Over-valued.

Could take another year.

That's how it works and that's the plan if the Fed sticks to the plan.

If the Fed bows to pressure and cuts rates then the result will be different.

Hopefully they stick to the plan.


IroNat

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #29 on: March 31, 2023, 10:56:53 AM »
China is on its last legs. 

They are a walking dead country.

They import over 80% of their food.
They import over 70% of their energy from a continent away.
They have a hopelessly aging population demographic.
The yuan is a failed currency.  Nobody wants the yuan.
China depends on exports to survive.

China is f*cked.

F*ck China.



Megalodon

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #30 on: March 31, 2023, 11:05:50 AM »
Former assistant treasury secretary Monica Crowley talks about how Biden's weakness, his war on domestic energy production, the Ukraine war, and BRICS are the perfect storm for the US losing economic dominance and superpower status, not to mention the inflation nightmares, and how Saudi Arabia considering other currencies is the lynch pin.

What sounds even more ominous is when she talks about how the government can "come to the rescue with central bank digital currencies resulting in loss of individual economic freedom. The government will have control and access of everything you buy and sell and the ability to turn it off instantly."

start at 1:04

4:10 for what is a scary governmental backup strategy that is worse than the problem


IroNat

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #31 on: March 31, 2023, 11:16:09 AM »
The scariest words in the English language:

"I'm from the government and I want to help." -- Ronald Reagan

illuminati

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #32 on: March 31, 2023, 12:06:39 PM »
Here's a quick view of a few things I am witnessing on a global front and how all of this could mean disaster for the USA and our status as having the world reserve currency. I will start with the matter of security (from warfare) and then discuss the threats to the US dollar as the world reserve currency.

Regarding actual ongoing wars:
  • USA is in a proxy war (through Ukraine) with Russia. This war is causing us to hemorrhage billions of US dollars in the form of military equipment and actual dollars.
  • USA is at war with China over Taiwan (more of a brutal cold war for now, but could involve open warfare soon). China is also aggressively cutting off the USA's ties with many foreign nations.
  • USA is in active war against Iran within Syria. US base in Syria is getting attacked by Iran and vice versa. Hard to say who started it, but it appears the USA might have shot first.
  • USA is heading into war with Mexico. Look to Lindsey Graham's statements about sending troops to raid Mexican Fentanyl Labs and the Mexican President's recent remarks against the USA's hypocrisy and stupidity.
Regarding the threat to the US dollar as the world reserve currency:

History recap - Following WW2 (via Breton Woods) the US dollar was pegged to gold. Nixon in 1971 severed the link of the US dollar to gold and then the dollar became backed by the trade of oil, as all purchases of Saudi oil was performed in US dollars. America in exchange for this right agreed to protect Saudi Arabia from its enemies. Additionally, this backing of the US dollar by oil has also led to most international financial transactions of present day being performed in dollar denominations. Today, the US dollar (our FIAT currency) is under threat of losing its status as the holy Petrodollar. Why? See below.
  • Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa formed an alliance to do trade amongst themselves and move away from the grasp of the USA (Known as the BRICS nations)
  • BRICS has now gotten further support from Mexico, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Iran and have essentially formed an ongoing coalition.
  • South America as a whole doesn't like the USA, so the world's landscape is surely appearing to be turning on the USA.
  • China's National Offshore Oil Corporation and France’s TotalEnergies have reportedly completed China’s first purchase of imported liquefied natural gas to be settled in Chinese yuan.
Moreover, I just read that Japan's foreign minister is going to visit China for the first time in three years. Those who were once enemies are now soon-to-be friends?

Is it just me or are we on the verge of witnessing the very collapse of the US empire? We have simultaneous threats of multiple world superpowers (China + Russia) waging nuclear war on us while other lesser countries (Iran and Mexico) in the periphery can certainly attack us as well. We also have VERY real threats to the US dollar suffering from a massive devaluation.

Anyone else seeing how things are playing out in a similar fashion to me? Maybe in my old age I am becoming too worried with these drastic winds of change, but it seems alarming. Also, when I listen to both Israeli and Aljazeera news, they are starting to paint the US in a very bad light. It's as if everyone is turning on us.

"1"


Very insightful & likely very accurate assessment - It certainly appears this administration
is trying hard on many fronts to destroy America as it was.

There are so many countries now lined up against America - if the petrodollar goes
that's big trouble - No way is America going to get into a war with China as well as Russia
& Mexico let alone all the other countries who would back them.

Perhaps we could get the inside view from Biden administration supporters on here.
 

illuminati

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #33 on: March 31, 2023, 12:13:38 PM »
Democrats, all of 'em, are nothing but supporters of mutilating our children and pedophilia.  They are also supportive of genocide against white people because they are "white".  Anyone, including my relatives that is Democrat is, again, a supporter of pedophilia, the sexual, mental and moral mutilation of our children.  They support Communist China.  Everything that is good about America is in their eyes, wrong.

There are such creatures here on this forum and we all know them by their words of hatred for Conservatives,  Israel, Christianity and the truth that there are two genders.  And more.  So much more.  These Democrats need to be defeated at the Polls.

 

Certainly something is very wrong with them, Other than Blaming Donald
or calling everyone a Liar they appear unable to confront the many issues & discuss
them in a decent manner.

America & its future is very pivotal to Europe & they way it's looking isnt good.

Bevo

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #34 on: March 31, 2023, 12:16:34 PM »
China is on its last legs. 

They are a walking dead country.

They import over 80% of their food.
They import over 70% of their energy from a continent away.
They have a hopelessly aging population demographic.
The yuan is a failed currency.  Nobody wants the yuan.
China depends on exports to survive.

China is f*cked.

F*ck China.

Not one bit….. that’s what they want you to believe…..

I respect them and Russians more than any western countries, at least they are tough on all these progressive shits, immigrations, etc….

Here in western countries you have trans school shooting, people that use pronouns, confused about their gender identities, BLM, etc…. Should I go on???

The death of America is within, the culture, the values…..

Bevo

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #35 on: March 31, 2023, 12:17:48 PM »
Certainly something is very wrong with them, Other than Blaming Donald
or calling everyone a Liar they appear unable to confront the many issues & discuss
them in a decent manner.

America & its future is very pivotal to Europe & they way it's looking isnt good.

What happened to France, Germany, England, has been/will happen to the US

A lot of people are too blind to see


illuminati

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #36 on: March 31, 2023, 12:20:15 PM »
Not one bit….. that’s what they want you to believe…..

I respect them and Russians more than any western countries, at least they are tough on all these progressive shits, immigrations, etc….

Here in western countries you have trans school shooting, people that use pronouns, confused about their gender identities, BLM, etc…. Should I go on???

Good point's while America is pushing that Evil / Fucked up agenda & destroying
The fabric of family life - other countries are getting stronger & stronger.

Fortress

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #37 on: March 31, 2023, 12:41:33 PM »
Do you guys despise Trudeau (Fidel's son) as much as we do here?

More.

My hatred for the man and his lackeys is at an intensity I have never before felt.

Gym Rat

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #38 on: March 31, 2023, 12:43:47 PM »

“We just found that a majority of [Democrats] are so extreme that they would rather stand with China and Russia than with the American energy worker,” McCarthy told reporters after the vote. “I am not sure what’s controversial in the bill. I am not sure what’s controversial that you can speed the process up so you can make things in America.”


https://www.politico.com/news/2023/03/30/house-republicans-marquee-energy-bill-00089529

"Fossil Fuels" = Bidens shit-filled diaper...

Fortress

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #39 on: March 31, 2023, 12:46:51 PM »
Would love to read more about these storms.

"1"

My head is swimming in so much I first need to sort through some of it.

I’m not as smart as some of you.

Walter Sobchak

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #40 on: March 31, 2023, 12:54:09 PM »
The scariest words in the English language:

"I'm from the government and I want to help." -- Ronald Reagan

"Honey, someone named Primemuscle is at the front door to see you."

Teutonic Knight

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #41 on: March 31, 2023, 01:58:21 PM »
"Honey, someone named Primemuscle is at the front door to see you."

 ;D ;D

deadz

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #42 on: March 31, 2023, 02:35:57 PM »
Once the Fed starts raising rates, a recession generally follows 9-12 months later.

That's how long it takes for the effects of tightening to hit.

No mystery.  Nothing to panic over.

Same old, same old. 

Has happened many times in the past.

The stock market most likely will eventually drop another 20-25% until the next true bull market starts.

The S&P 500 Ratio would likely get down to 15.  Right now its just under 22.  Over-valued.

Could take another year.

That's how it works and that's the plan if the Fed sticks to the plan.

If the Fed bows to pressure and cuts rates then the result will be different.

Hopefully they stick to the plan.
Good stuff, Nat!
T

tommywishbone

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #43 on: March 31, 2023, 02:45:17 PM »
Here’s the deal. It’s pretty simple…

- Three consecutive generations of stupid Americans having kids.
- Those kids have all had stupid kids.
- All the completely uneducated idiots who have come to America from other shit hole countries.
- American politicians, from Mayors to the President stealing anything and everything they want.
- The woke culture.
- Lawlessness in the streets.
- $10,000,000,000,000 (10 trillion) printed and distributed for free.

America is almost done. Almost.
a

deadz

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #44 on: March 31, 2023, 02:47:18 PM »
Here’s the deal. It’s pretty simple…

- Three consecutive generations of stupid Americans having kids.
- Those kids have all had stupid kids.
- All the completely uneducated idiots who have come to America from other shit hole countries.
- American politicians, from Mayors to the President stealing anything and everything they want.
- The woke culture.
- Lawlessness in the streets.
- $10,000,000,000,000 (10 trillion) printed and distributed for free.

America is almost done. Almost.
If the Socialists remain in control, YES!
T

Mayday

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #45 on: March 31, 2023, 03:03:46 PM »
These scenarios playing out are designed to keep people divided and confused. It’s out of history’s playbook with the change this time to reverse globalisation.

1970s had an energy shock, women’s rights, Vietnam war and Watergate

2020s had an energy shock, trans rights, Ukraine war and Trump

Guess what? Everyone was arguing and angry in the 1970s just like today. Total confusion.

As for the USD, avoid the path Mr Anabolic went down. He was certain hyperinflation and a USD collapse by the end of 2020. Now in 2023 and it’s holding value well above its historic average.

As for collapse of the US Empire, yes they are purposefully decreasing their footprint as a choice. Very different vs Empires collapsing as the US are very much in control of their fate right now.

Mayday

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #46 on: March 31, 2023, 04:05:47 PM »
Today, the US dollar (our FIAT currency) is under threat of losing its status as the holy Petrodollar. Why? See below.
  • Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa formed an alliance to do trade amongst themselves and move away from the grasp of the USA (Known as the BRICS nations)
  • BRICS has now gotten further support from Mexico, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Iran and have essentially formed an ongoing coalition.
  • South America as a whole doesn't like the USA, so the world's landscape is surely appearing to be turning on the USA.
  • China's National Offshore Oil Corporation and France’s TotalEnergies have reportedly completed China’s first purchase of imported liquefied natural gas to be settled in Chinese yuan.
Moreover, I just read that Japan's foreign minister is going to visit China for the first time in three years. Those who were once enemies are now soon-to-be friends?

The average lifespan of an Empire is 250yrs. If we take the timing from the 1940s onwards the US is 80yrs into their reign. Statistically the US have a looooong way to go until their reign ends. The Roman empire lasted 1,000yrs.


The plan is reduced consumption globally along with transition towards new tech. This is a transition, not the end of an empire.

I put arguments of 'we can't move away from oil' in the same bucket as 'we can raise interest rates', 'property prices can't go up more' etc.

If we are reducing consumption, movement, banning combustion motors then why would a petro dollar be important? The US has basically everything it requires inside it's borders meanwhile most have to import from elsewhere otherwise they'd be 3rd world countries.

What isn't on your list are the countries who ARE in agreements and continuing to form a strong alliance economically with the US. Australia and the UK are firm partners with the US. We don't just provide trade but also military support to the US machine.

In the last 40yrs when have you ever been worried about being taken over economically or military wise by: Pakistan, Brazil, India, South Africa, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Mexico or South America?

GDP wise:
US 25T / UK 3.2T / AU 1.7T we are education, tech, resource powerhouses of the world and we are the core Allies.

CN 18.3T relies on 85% imports to survive. Russia 2.1T relies on oil which is being phased out, is poor, low tech, low education. Brazil 1.9T has resources but poor, low tech, low education. Iran 2T relies on oil which is being phased out, Saudi Arabia relies on oil which is being phased out, the rest are all very small in their own right and act as individuals rather than a group.

As for Japan, they are in deep shit with debt to GDP of 264% which dwarfs anybody else.

The US is doing exactly what is required to dismantle China and continue their reign. Arguably, the US being all over the world spread them too thin and pulling back makes them considerably stronger than before.

IroNat

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #47 on: March 31, 2023, 05:16:19 PM »
Good post, Mayday.

Walter Sobchak

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #48 on: March 31, 2023, 05:22:45 PM »
You guys are worried about little things like the extinction of the human race when you know Shizzo is MIA?

Priorities gentlemen.

OneMoreRep

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Re: What is going on with the USA?
« Reply #49 on: March 31, 2023, 05:24:57 PM »
The average lifespan of an Empire is 250yrs. If we take the timing from the 1940s onwards the US is 80yrs into their reign. Statistically the US have a looooong way to go until their reign ends. The Roman empire lasted 1,000yrs.

The plan is reduced consumption globally along with transition towards new tech. This is a transition, not the end of an empire.

I put arguments of 'we can't move away from oil' in the same bucket as 'we can raise interest rates', 'property prices can't go up more' etc.

If we are reducing consumption, movement, banning combustion motors then why would a petro dollar be important? The US has basically everything it requires inside it's borders meanwhile most have to import from elsewhere otherwise they'd be 3rd world countries.

What isn't on your list are the countries who ARE in agreements and continuing to form a strong alliance economically with the US. Australia and the UK are firm partners with the US. We don't just provide trade but also military support to the US machine.

In the last 40yrs when have you ever been worried about being taken over economically or military wise by: Pakistan, Brazil, India, South Africa, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Mexico or South America?

GDP wise:
US 25T / UK 3.2T / AU 1.7T we are education, tech, resource powerhouses of the world and we are the core Allies.

CN 18.3T relies on 85% imports to survive. Russia 2.1T relies on oil which is being phased out, is poor, low tech, low education. Brazil 1.9T has resources but poor, low tech, low education. Iran 2T relies on oil which is being phased out, Saudi Arabia relies on oil which is being phased out, the rest are all very small in their own right and act as individuals rather than a group.

As for Japan, they are in deep shit with debt to GDP of 264% which dwarfs anybody else.

The US is doing exactly what is required to dismantle China and continue their reign. Arguably, the US being all over the world spread them too thin and pulling back makes them considerably stronger than before.

You're assuming the US empire started in 1940, that's when they hit their peak. For the US to be able to take control as the world's top superpower following WW2, they needed to have the various advancements as a society that they already had in place. I hear what you're saying about the average lifespan of an empire being 250 years, but you're assuming that the US empire was born from that 1940-1945 starting point and that's not something I go by. That's like saying that an amateur boxer who has never fought a day in his life is going to walk into a championship match with the world heavyweight champion and beat him. Even on the champ's worse day, the amateur won't win. To that end, the US empire was a work-in-progress that just so happened to reach its peak for numerous reasons right after WW2 (possibly because most of our enemies and potential challengers to the throne were highly weakened following WW2 and we took the position of the most powerful nation given that we played a minimal, tail-end role in WW2 and angled ourselves as the world's big brother always there to help). Instead, I am following a different empire timeline (BELOW) as illustrated by Ray Dalio in his latest book "The Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed or Fail". If anyone wants a GREAT recap of the world's macroeconomic direction, take a read and I'm sure you'll enjoy it.



When looking at the typical cycles that world empires follow (below), you can see pretty much where the USA sits:



Moreover, technology also affects the lifespans to these empires and the world has never had technology as advanced as what we have today. Dalio believes the next big war will be a COLD WAR and it will be fought between the USA and China in the realm of artificial intelligence and data. For that reason, Ray Dalio predicts that the US empire is going to collapse within these next 10 years.

Now, you're probably thinking that's nonsense and what the fuck does he know. You and I are likely of very good intelligence, but neither of us (even combined) are at the level of Dalio, nor do we have the access to the leaders of the world's top superpowers as he does. If those accolades weren't enough, he also started and headed one of the world's top hedge funds for decades (Bridgewater Associates - ranked currently as the world's #3 hedge fund). For others wanting to get a quick primer on macroeconomics as it affects the world, take a look at this video below, quite a nice watch and really serves as a great advertisement for Dalio's book, which goes so much more in depth.



Again, maybe I am old school and tend to side with guys like Dalio, but from my vantage point and that of great economists, it's not looking great for us.

"1"