Author Topic: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds  (Read 2705 times)

ProudVirgin69

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Retail theft has caught the attention of the masses in recent years, from startling smash-and-grab videos during the depths of the Covid pandemic to corporate earnings calls where retailers like Target
 and Foot Locker
 are discussing losses from organized retail crime more than they ever have.

But the effect of theft on retailers’ bottom lines is about the same as it has been for years, according to the latest data released Tuesday in the widely used industry survey conducted by the National Retail Federation.

Total retail shrink grew to more than $112 billion in 2022, up from $93.9 billion the year before, according to the newest National Retail Security Survey. The metric, which accounts for various types of inventory loss including theft, damage and vendor error, generally rises as retail sales climb.

While retailers and the NRF are increasingly saying crime is cutting into profits, losses from internal and external theft last year were largely on par with historical trends. They made up 65% of total shrink, the survey found.

Retail shrink climbed in absolute dollars, but when reported as a percentage of sales as is commonly done, average annual shrink increased to 1.57%, up from 1.44% in 2021. The share is largely in line with past years. Average annual shrink was 1.62% of sales before the pandemic in 2019, though it was as low as 1.33% in 2017, according to previous surveys.

TL;DR: retail theft is in line with historical averages. It only seems like there’s a massive increase because mainstream and alternative media push these stories to garner clicks.  Retailers are of course happy to use this narrative to justify store closings.


There’s some more here if you’d like to read further:
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/26/organized-retail-crime-and-theft-not-increasing-much-nrf-study-finds.html

IroNat

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2023, 09:52:50 AM »
So, years ago gangs of thieves were filling shopping carts with merch and walking out door?

Who knew?

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2023, 10:03:24 AM »
Businesses have been pulling out of Dindu areas, white flight 2.0

It’s also that most of the robbing is done by a small part of the population so the rate as a whole doesn’t increase dramatically but I’m sure MSNBC has a ridiculous talking point for why Dindus mobs in 2023 is one of the many successes of the Biden administration:

Gym Rat

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2023, 10:08:36 AM »
Bullshit article (as usual)... The crime for this kind of thing has gone up in a big way... They can spin it how they want.
Only dummies buy it...

ProudVirgin69

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2023, 10:11:39 AM »
So, years ago gangs of thieves were filling shopping carts with merch and walking out door?

Who knew?

Organized retail theft wasn’t invented a year ago, you just weren’t hearing about it.  Consider why retailers and news media are interested in having you believe that this problem is bigger than it is.

Businesses have been pulling out of Dindu areas, white flight 2.0 but I’m sure MSNBC has a ridiculous talking point for why Dindus mobs in 2023 is one of the many successes of the Biden administration:

Attributing a store closing to rampant theft is more palatable to shareholders than blaming it on poor performance.

Goliathon

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2023, 10:12:22 AM »
What they leave out is it's going way down in certain business(especially ones that are better at inventory tracking).

And going up in urban hoods.

ProudVirgin69

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2023, 10:13:39 AM »
Bullshit article (as usual)... The crime for this kind of thing has gone up in a big way... They can spin it how they want.
Only dummies buy it...

It’s sourced from an industry survey, which you can read here:
https://cdn.nrf.com/sites/default/files/2023-09/NRF_National_Retail_Security_Survey_2023.pdf

If you have specific issues with their methodology or findings, i would be interesting to hear them.

ProudVirgin69

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2023, 10:18:48 AM »
What they leave out is it's going way down in certain business(especially ones that are better at inventory tracking).

And going up in urban hoods.

That’s a fair point, the survey isn’t sufficiently  granular to provide that type of data. 

That said: The industry as a whole is not experiencing an amount of theft that’s out of line with historical trends

oldtimer1

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #8 on: September 27, 2023, 10:20:09 AM »
Real spin.  In blue areas like LA, San Francisco, NY and Chicago it's out of control. No it's not the whole country.  Go to many pharmacies in LA or San Francisco and everything is locked up. Store are fleeing San Francisco and Chicago.

residue

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #9 on: September 27, 2023, 10:22:01 AM »
So, years ago gangs of thieves were filling shopping carts with merch and walking out door?

Who knew?


No, but most loss doesn't happen in the store, it's along the shipping chain. people cant really make a dent like that

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #10 on: September 27, 2023, 10:34:40 AM »
That’s a fair point, the survey isn’t sufficiently  granular to provide that type of data. 

That said: The industry as a whole is not experiencing an amount of theft that’s out of line with historical trends

Because they’re adjusting. The Target that closed in NYC is in Harlem.

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #11 on: September 27, 2023, 10:37:29 AM »
What they leave out is it's going way down in certain business(especially ones that are better at inventory tracking).

And going up in urban hoods.

The reality is that we have failing culture in this country and corporate America is waking up to the reality that it’s hopeless and is cutting their losses.


IroNat

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #12 on: September 27, 2023, 10:49:32 AM »
These companies opened these ghetto stores as a woke statement.

It was a bad idea.  They complied with wokism.

They have come to their senses and are getting the hell out of these areas.

Gym Rat

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #13 on: September 27, 2023, 10:58:33 AM »
i=Q0wJd5QAWIoU8edo

THU AUG 3rd...

BB

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #14 on: September 27, 2023, 11:45:12 AM »
https://www.tiktok.com/@_nishalee/video/7211215383381101870 .

That's Target at Fordham Road in the Bx. Never have hood businesses been this locked down before. Worst than that, most of the city is starting to look like that. Normal people aren't waiting for a clerk to open 10 different display cases to do their shopping. No business wants to torpedo sales like that.   

Every crack head knows to just run in and grab a few $100 worth of stuff at a time because nothing will happen. It used to be pretty small time even with professional boosting crews, it's a totally different level now.                 

Lartinos

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #15 on: September 27, 2023, 11:49:14 AM »
Leftists are the most disgusting apologists of decay within a society.

Truly sick fucks..

Gym Rat

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #16 on: September 27, 2023, 12:04:21 PM »
i=x6lMdPp-XUP2Umy1

Andy Griffin

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #17 on: September 27, 2023, 01:22:23 PM »
Another deluded libtard fa66ot attempting to create an alternate reality.
~

Irongrip400

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #18 on: September 27, 2023, 01:50:38 PM »
i=Q0wJd5QAWIoU8edo

THU AUG 3rd...


They should repurpose those places into apartments and shove the homeless in them. Raise taxes to pay for it.

Thin Lizzy

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #19 on: September 27, 2023, 03:05:18 PM »
What they leave out is it's going way down in certain business(especially ones that are better at inventory tracking).

And going up in urban hoods.

This same argument was used to not give Giuliani credit for cleaning up NYC.

They said crime was going down anyway. This was true among the population as a whole but not among the Dindus that were committing most of the crimes in NYC.

joswift

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #20 on: September 27, 2023, 03:43:33 PM »

No, but most loss doesn't happen in the store, it's along the shipping chain. people cant really make a dent like that

Dave D

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #21 on: September 27, 2023, 07:01:21 PM »

They should repurpose those places into apartments and shove the homeless in them. Raise taxes to pay for it.

These are under performing stores. The shipping and receiving is where the product is lost. Workers literally stealing away their living.

Lartinos

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #22 on: September 27, 2023, 07:05:19 PM »
This same argument was used to not give Giuliani credit for cleaning up NYC.

They said crime was going down anyway. This was true among the population as a whole but not among the Dindus that were committing most of the crimes in NYC.

Giuliani, from I’ve heard, took credit specifically for organized crime reduction.

ProudVirgin69

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #23 on: September 27, 2023, 07:07:13 PM »
https://www.tiktok.com/@_nishalee/video/7211215383381101870 .

That's Target at Fordham Road in the Bx. Never have hood businesses been this locked down before. Worst than that, most of the city is starting to look like that. Normal people aren't waiting for a clerk to open 10 different display cases to do their shopping. No business wants to torpedo sales like that.   

Every crack head knows to just run in and grab a few $100 worth of stuff at a time because nothing will happen. It used to be pretty small time even with professional boosting crews, it's a totally different level now.               

Funny how this stuff hasn’t made an impact in the total numbers of retail shrink though   ???

ProudVirgin69

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Re: Retail theft isn’t actually increasing much, industry study finds
« Reply #24 on: September 27, 2023, 07:08:42 PM »
Another deluded libtard fa66ot attempting to create an alternate reality.

Oh?