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Getbig Main Boards => Gossip & Opinions => Topic started by: Gym-Rat on June 17, 2022, 11:04:02 AM

Title: 401K's
Post by: Gym-Rat on June 17, 2022, 11:04:02 AM
So when your 401K is crashed, and gas prices are the worst in history, that of course is the sign of a great economy per Sleep-Joe the Shit-King...

Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Gym-Rat on June 17, 2022, 11:05:17 AM


Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: IroNat on June 17, 2022, 11:08:18 AM
Good times are just around the corner.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: R.A.M. on June 17, 2022, 11:26:31 AM
Good times are just around the corner.

Yep... shit is gonna break loose at the end of this year.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Skeletor on June 17, 2022, 11:47:49 AM
But the important thing is that he doesn't write mean tweets.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: epic is back on June 17, 2022, 12:02:17 PM
christmas is going to be a hoot

product shortages

and maybe a driver walk out
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Rambone on June 17, 2022, 12:11:49 PM
(https://i.makeagif.com/media/6-04-2022/Ohq1eG.gif)
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Gym-Rat on June 17, 2022, 12:36:33 PM
Will housing prices crash?  Hoping so, kids want to buy houses, Im telling to hold off for now... Prices are nuts..
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ThisisOverload on June 17, 2022, 12:51:36 PM
Will housing prices crash?  Hoping so, kids want to buy houses, Im telling to hold off for now... Prices are nuts..

I'm all excited for the housing crash.

Going to buy something real nice.

Dirt cheap.

People buying houses recently are about to get screwed hard.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: IroNat on June 17, 2022, 02:25:42 PM


People buying houses recently are about to get screwed hard.


It's going to be ugly. 
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Gym-Rat on June 18, 2022, 12:25:27 AM
I'm all excited for the housing crash.

Going to buy something real nice.

Dirt cheap.

People buying houses recently are about to get screwed hard.

I see these tiny ranches around here going for 600K and selling. Barely worth 350K a year or so back...
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ProudVirgin69 on June 18, 2022, 05:04:42 AM
I'm all excited for the housing crash.

Going to buy something real nice.

Dirt cheap.

People buying houses recently are about to get screwed hard.

 How do you figure, unless you lose your job and need to sell urgently, housing prices will recover w some time

Maybe folks w ARMs will get fucked, but "walk away from your mortgage if you're underwater on it" was bad advice in 2008 and is bad advice now.  IMHO
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Gym-Rat on June 18, 2022, 05:10:58 AM
Last time it crashed it was under another demturd fake-Prez, Ghey Bathhouse Barry the Baboon Banger...

Michella Gorilla
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ProudVirgin69 on June 18, 2022, 06:11:27 AM
Anyways, 401k and other defined-contribution plans are a scam by wallstreet designed to make ordinary Americans vested in their financial chicanery.  Since every Americans retirement and the performance of SP500 are tightly intertwined now, the government is incentivized to make sure that number goes up at all costs
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: GymnJuice on June 18, 2022, 10:52:39 AM
Anyways, 401k and other defined-contribution plans are a scam by wallstreet designed to make ordinary Americans vested in their financial chicanery.  Since every Americans retirement and the performance of SP500 are tightly intertwined now, the government is incentivized to make sure that number goes up at all costs

They should revamp 401k rules. People should be allowed to do what they want with the money in the 401k, not be limited to certain funds.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: epic is back on June 18, 2022, 11:05:24 AM
I'm all excited for the housing crash.

Going to buy something real nice.

Dirt cheap.

People buying houses recently are about to get screwed hard.

housing crash?

maybe in california and oregon  or any lib state

red states   everyone is moving to them

florida   especially south florida coastline
its crazy how much this areas home values have increased

ugly new yorkers trying to buy anything they can

ive told several no to their offers


i get paid to live here its unreal

once i sell in about 4 years ill head to a golf course community up north

and then travel ,

problem is lets say you bought a house for 500k prior to 2021

then only several years later sell it for 1 million

score right?

money is worth half due to inflstionary theft

so the numbers are higher but the dollar is sinking

not houses

the currency in america is going to crash





Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Humble Narcissist on June 18, 2022, 11:49:36 AM
Everything is going to shit.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: funk51 on June 18, 2022, 01:28:15 PM
   
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: deadz on June 18, 2022, 01:54:52 PM
Joe is an imbecile just as those who elected him are. This is a good lesson for the Country to take politics seriously and vote for the right reasons. My hope is that those who voted for dementia Joe are suffering the worst.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Tennisballz on June 18, 2022, 02:24:03 PM
Where I live houses are now starting to sit on the market.  I knew something was wrong when people were paying 750k for 3 bed 2 bath cookie cutter houses in sub divisions.  If you sold in the past 6 months you made out like a bandit though!
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: epic is back on June 18, 2022, 02:25:29 PM
there was a vote

and mailed  in mass and took the longest period of time ever

to get a result

cause of " germs"

all in the up and up

digital voting machines

isnt going to end well
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: IroNat on June 18, 2022, 02:29:04 PM
They should revamp 401k rules. People should be allowed to do what they want with the money in the 401k, not be limited to certain funds.

You are limited to the the funds in the plan your employer sets up.

The employer picks the plan, usually based on cost and options.

If you don't like the allowed funds talk to your employer about it.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ProudVirgin69 on June 18, 2022, 03:46:37 PM
They should revamp 401k rules. People should be allowed to do what they want with the money in the 401k, not be limited to certain funds.

“They” should bring back defined benefit retirement plans.  401k are a lousy substitute. 
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ProudVirgin69 on June 18, 2022, 03:51:32 PM
Where I live houses are now starting to sit on the market.  I knew something was wrong when people were paying 750k for 3 bed 2 bath cookie cutter houses in sub divisions.  If you sold in the past 6 months you made out like a bandit though!

Even people who bought are probably gonna be ok, I don’t think we’ll ever see mortgage rates that low again.  Sellers who are just entering the market now are gonna be fucked, they’ll be unlikely to hit their target sales price
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: IroNat on June 18, 2022, 04:36:58 PM
People who bought high maxxing out their mortgage will be upside down (owe more than the house is worth) when r/e crashes.

People lose their jobs, can't make the mortgage payments.

This leads to foreclosures and the banks sit on these bad loans for years so they don't book the losses.

Lots of time people won't sell for less than they paid because they owe so much and paid so much so the housing market stagnates.

It can take years for the dust to settle.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ProudVirgin69 on June 18, 2022, 04:38:51 PM
People who bought high maxxing out their mortgage will be upside down (owe more than the house is worth) when r/e crashes.

This leads to foreclosures and the banks sit on these bad loans for years so they don't book the losses.

Why would it lead to foreclosures?  Unless they lose their job they could just keep paying the mortgage, knowing that values are highly likely to recover
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: loco on June 18, 2022, 05:10:17 PM
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: IroNat on June 18, 2022, 05:57:28 PM
Why would it lead to foreclosures?  Unless they lose their job they could just keep paying the mortgage, knowing that values are highly likely to recover

See my modified post.

Some people don't like paying on a mortgage that is higher than the value of the house and they walk away.

Happened lots of times in the last crisis.

Have you ever owed more on your house than it's worth? 

Imagine owing $500k on a house that is worth $300.  Why would you want to continue paying?

You can be assured it's a miserable feeling.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: karasan on June 18, 2022, 08:37:41 PM
See my modified post.

Some people don't like paying on a mortgage that is higher than the value of the house and they walk away.

Happened lots of times in the last crisis.

Have you ever owed more on your house than it's worth? 

Imagine owing $500k on a house that is worth $300.  Why would you want to continue paying?

You can be assured it's a miserable feeling.
I guess it can make sense if you bet on devaluation of the currency
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ProudVirgin69 on June 19, 2022, 04:02:44 AM
See my modified post.

Some people don't like paying on a mortgage that is higher than the value of the house and they walk away.

Happened lots of times in the last crisis.

Have you ever owed more on your house than it's worth? 

Imagine owing $500k on a house that is worth $300.  Why would you want to continue paying?

You can be assured it's a miserable feeling.

yeah i know it happened in 2008.  i remember hearing that advice back then, only to watch investors snatch the foreclosures up for pennies on the dollar.  I wouldnt be surprised if it was coordinated between the media and institutional investors.

Im sure it suks to be underwater on a mortgage but its temporary as property values are likely to recover, like they did after 2008.  walking away from your mortgage means you're gonna lose all of your equity and be renting for the foreseeable future, how is that any better?  even if you can afford another down payment, whos gonna lend to you after a foreclosure?

unless you 1) Are forced to move 2) lose your income or 3) have an ARM, staying put and paying the mortgage off is the best thing to do.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ProudVirgin69 on June 19, 2022, 04:10:53 AM
this is a crude graph but still supports my point.  home values in most of the country recovered ~5 years after 2008, and continued to grow.  homeowners who stayed patient were rewarded.  those who were not patient, lost out.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Humble Narcissist on June 19, 2022, 01:07:05 PM
Why would it lead to foreclosures?  Unless they lose their job they could just keep paying the mortgage, knowing that values are highly likely to recover
Don't forget about the inflation of everything else. People are paying way more for gas and groceries and everything else. What they could afford in a house a few years ago may be different now.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: IroNat on June 19, 2022, 02:50:32 PM
yeah i know it happened in 2008.  i remember hearing that advice back then, only to watch investors snatch the foreclosures up for pennies on the dollar.  I wouldnt be surprised if it was coordinated between the media and institutional investors.

Im sure it suks to be underwater on a mortgage but its temporary as property values are likely to recover, like they did after 2008.  walking away from your mortgage means you're gonna lose all of your equity and be renting for the foreseeable future, how is that any better?  even if you can afford another down payment, whos gonna lend to you after a foreclosure?

unless you 1) Are forced to move 2) lose your income or 3) have an ARM, staying put and paying the mortgage off is the best thing to do.


If you mortgaged to the hilt to buy the place you might have very little equity to lose.

It probably won't happen anyway.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Rambone on June 22, 2022, 03:17:51 PM
I'm all excited for the housing crash.

Going to buy something real nice.

Dirt cheap.

People buying houses recently are about to get screwed hard.



I personally don't see a housing crash. There are some notable facts presented in the vid like way stricter lending practices, higher consumer credit scores, less adjustable rate loans out there, higher home equity for the average family and a better jobs market although pay won't keep up with the rate of inflation. I could see it more as a slowdown scenario like he said. The public will cut their discretionary spending, but they won't be skipping their mortgage payments. The stock market could be a different story though.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: IroNat on June 22, 2022, 03:49:43 PM
The residential real estate market usually stalls out when interest rates rise.

Sellers have to mentally accept lower prices since buyers can afford less which takes awhile.

30 year rate is just over 6%.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ThisisOverload on June 22, 2022, 03:50:38 PM


I personally don't see a housing crash. There are some notable facts presented in the vid like way stricter lending practices, higher consumer credit scores, less adjustable rate loans out there, higher home equity for the average family and a better jobs market although pay won't keep up with the rate of inflation. I could see it more as a slowdown scenario like he said. The public will cut their discretionary spending, but they won't be skipping their mortgage payments. The stock market could be a different story though.

We will see in 2-3 years.

Housing sales already starting to decline.

I work in land development so i see it pretty early.

The biggest developers i deal with are preparing for a long term decrease.

Nobody knows, just speculation.

But when those nice new houses at the top of the hill are sold at a reduced cost, i'll be on them quickly.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Rambone on June 22, 2022, 03:52:59 PM
We will see in 2-3 years.

Housing sales already starting to decline.

I work in land development so i see it pretty early.

The biggest developers i deal with are preparing for a long term decrease.

Nobody knows, just speculation.

But when those nice new houses at the top of the hill are sold at a reduced cost, i'll be on them quickly.

The house at the bottom of the hill is hungrier than the house at the top of the hill
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ThisisOverload on June 22, 2022, 03:59:10 PM
The house at the bottom of the hill is hungrier than the house at the top of the hill

That's true, it's not as hungry.. but when it wants the food...it's there.

Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: IroNat on June 22, 2022, 04:00:26 PM
The house at the bottom of the hill is hungrier than the house at the top of the hill

Awesome.
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Rambone on June 22, 2022, 04:00:33 PM
That's true, it's not as hungry.. but when it wants the food...it's there.

 ;D
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: SGT BARNES on June 23, 2022, 07:44:11 PM
tell the house on the hill i said hi...and im looking forward to seeing it in southafrica
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: POB on June 23, 2022, 08:16:52 PM
That's true, it's not as hungry.. but when it wants the food...it's there.

I see what u did there😎
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Rambone on June 24, 2022, 04:09:03 AM
tell the house on the hill i said hi...and im looking forward to seeing it in southafrica

 :D
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: ThisisOverload on June 24, 2022, 04:43:48 PM
tell the house on the hill i said hi...and im looking forward to seeing it in southafrica

 ;D
Title: Re: 401K's
Post by: Freemason on June 24, 2022, 05:26:43 PM
I owned a construction company 1999 through 2009. Predicted and watched the housing crash in real time. Luckily was completely prepared and didn’t lose my ass.

Some big differences between then and now. Then a huge number of people owned multiple homes. I mean people that had no business owning multiple houses and they all believed they could flip out of them for a profit at any time. Now most homes here are owner occupied primary residences. Second is the qualifying for a mortgage was a joke then. Now it is relatively strict and takes much longer to close. 30-60 days is norm in 2006 you could close in 3-5 days.

Third, and a big one here, is the cost to build. As home values climbed in 2003 through 2007 the cost to build stayed basically the same. Materials were steady and labor only cost a bit more if you were in a hurry and wanted to swipe some trades off of other jobs.

This time home values are climbing concurrently with cost to build. The home values today are actually quite realistic if you consider a self build hiring your own subs will cost close to a purchase of a similar home off the market.

Also don’t think your going to be able to scalp some good deals if the market drops unless you are a cash buyer. Lenders predicting about 10% mortgages rates by Dec

Of course I could be wrong but like I said some significant differences between 2008 and what’s happening now.

So if the market is primed to tank why are all the multi billion dollar fund buying up single family homes? Well they used to invest in your mortgages. Mortgages were considered safe investments and used to be profitable. Well now (well actually up to the beginning of this year) mortgages only earn about 3% for the billionaires while you peasants enjoy 5 to 20% appreciation on a real asset that only gets more valuable with inflation. Meanwhile the note holders investments plummet with dollar devaluation.

My personal prediction is we will see more homes slip into corporate ownership for rentals and people squeezed out of the ability to own their home. Renting will become the normal way to live in a house and the corporations will enjoy the asset appreciation of the real estate. Peasants will pay rents that go up every time the dollar value goes down. If you own your home and have a mortgage under 4% never sell it or refinance it. In a pinch do a HELOC but right now a 3% mortgage they are actually PAYING YOU TO USE THEIR MONEY. And trust me they hate you for it.