Zogby Poll: McCain Leads in Fla., Obama Up in West Friday, July 11, 2008 9:45 AM
In key battleground states in the South and West, Democrat Sen. Barack Obama currently enjoys leads in Colorado and New Mexico, traditional Republican "red" states that are clearly in play this election season, the latest Zogby Interactive polling shows.
Meanwhile, Republican Sen. John McCain currently leads in Florida, while two other red states - North Carolina and Virginia - could go either way.
Libertarian candidate and former Republican Congressman Bob Barr is having a negative impact on McCain's efforts, particularly in Missouri and Colorado.
These findings are some of the highlights of an extensive package of national online polls that included a total of 46,274 likely voters. Nationally, the poll found Obama leading McCain 44%-38%, with Barr at 6%. A Zogby calculation of the Electoral College count, based on this and other polling, Obama leads McCain, 273-158. A total of 11 states with 105 electoral votes are too close to call and remain undecided.
The national online survey was conducted from June 11-30, 2008. It carries a margin of error of 0.5 percentage points. After nearly a decade in development, the Zogby Interactive survey on a state level was remarkably accurate in the 2006 midterm elections. In 18 U.S. Senate elections polled two years ago, the Zogby online survey correctly identified the winner of 17 of 18 races, and in the 18th race - in Missouri, it was still within the margin of error, though it had Republican Jim Talent winning (he was defeated narrowly by Democrat Claire McCaskill).
http://www.newsmax.com/insidecover/zogby_poll_mccain_florida/2008/07/11/111959.htmlSee link for state-by-state breakdown.
