Author Topic: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.  (Read 8253 times)

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« on: September 27, 2010, 09:33:02 AM »
Connecticut Senate: A Slow, Steady Move to Toss Up [Charlie Cook says race tossup]
COok ^ | 9/16/2010 | Cook


Connecticut Senate: A Slow, Steady Move to Toss Up

September 16, 2010

________________________ ________________________ _______



The contest between Democratic Attorney General Richard Blumenthal and former World Wrestling Entertainment CEO Linda McMahon has been gradually closing over the past few months, and is now in single digits, according to some polls.

A Quinnipiac University poll (September 8-12 of 875 likely voters) gave Blumenthal a six-point lead over McMahon, 51 percent to 45 percent. They were statistically tied among independents, with Blumenthal taking 47 percent to 46 percent for McMahon, and among men where McMahon had a one-point advantage, 48 percent to 47 percent. Blumenthal enjoyed a 56-percent to 41-percent lead among women voters. Blumenthal’s job ratings were 70-percent approve to 26-percent disapprove. As impressive as these numbers are, his ratings in January were 84-percent approve to 11-percent disapprove. Blumenthal’s favorable/unfavorable ratings were 55 percent to 39 percent while McMahon’s were 45 percent to 41 percent. This poll looks a lot different than a January Quinnipiac survey that gave Blumenthal a 41-percent advantage over McMahon, 64 percent to 23 percent.

Democrats countered the release of the Quinnipiac numbers with a survey conducted by Hamilton Campaigns for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee at the same time the Quinnipiac poll was in the field (September 8-12 of 800 likely voters). This poll gave Blumenthal a 15-point lead over McMahon, 54 percent to 39 percent. Blumenthal’s job ratings were 70 percent to 27 percent, and his favorable/unfavorable ratings were 61 percent to 34 percent, which were higher than President Obama’s 55-percent to 43 percent ratings. McMahon had a favorable rating of 48 percent and an unfavorable rating of 46 percent. Democratic strategists further argue that they’ve seen no erosion in Blumenthal’s job approval or favorable ratings over the course of the last few months.

We don’t doubt the Hamilton Campaigns’ numbers; it is a respected firm with a solid track record. At the same time, though, we are aware of Republican polling that has the race in the high single digits, though neither the McMahon campaign, nor the National Republican Senatorial Committee has released a survey. And, when all the polling taken in the race is considered, it is clear that McMahon has made slow but steady and consistent progress against Blumenthal. According to the Pollster.com trend line, McMahon now trails the Attorney General by seven points, 43 percent to 51 percent, in all general election ballots tests conducted in the race.

Democrats’ main argument against McMahon centers on professional wrestling, particularly its darker side that includes substance abuse and allegations of illegal steroid use. They believe that their case is bolstered by the premature deaths of three former wrestlers in the past several weeks. Democrats hit McMahon on wrestling almost daily and the media constantly grills her on the topic. They believe that it will be McMahon’s undoing at the end of the day, particularly among women voters who make up a slim majority of the electorate. According to the Quinnipiac poll, Blumenthal’s 15-point lead among women tends to support their argument.

Wrestling will remain a topic for the next seven weeks and eventually either Blumenthal or a Democratic independent expenditure campaign will start airing television ads devoted to wrestling. Still, given how omnipresent wrestling has been in the race for months, we are surprised that it hasn’t done more damage to McMahon. While her favorable/unfavorable ratings are certainly higher than is desirable, she continues to make progress in the race.

Much of McMahon’s progress can be attributed to her constant presence on the air with television ads that have been running for months across the state, including in the expensive New York media market. Not only will she remain on the air for the next seven weeks, but the campaign’s buys are likely to increase. Blumenthal has run ads intermittently, though they’ve been more consistent over the past couple of weeks. The ads generally focus on his accomplishments, particularly when they impact average voters, and work to portray him as a fighter for Connecticut who is not afraid to take on big business. He has yet to take on McMahon, but that will undoubtedly change soon. President Obama is headlining a fundraiser for Blumenthal in the Nutmeg State today, which may signal the start of Blumenthal’s attacks on the Republican.

Democrats believe that McMahon’s saturation media effort and the pile of glossy brochures that have landed in voters’ mailboxes will backfire as she suffers from overexposure. They also argue that the normally staid voters of Connecticut will ultimately decide that they can’t support a candidate with roots in a colorful industry like wrestling. They say that ultimately voters’ concerns about McMahon’s record will trump any concerns they have about President Obama’s agenda. This, too, might be true to a degree. The larger point, though, is that with seven weeks left to go, McMahon has made this a race and Democrats’ best efforts to stall her candidacy have not worked. This, of course, could certainly change as they start airing negative ads against her, but for now McMahon is in the hunt, handing Democrats a race in an expensive blue state that they weren’t expecting.

Again, we are not dismissive of the Democratic poll that shows the race at 15 points, but the Quinnipiac poll, coupled with the Pollster.com trend line and the Republican numbers we’ve seen, suggest a competitive race that is now up for grabs. As such, the race moves to the Toss Up column.

View Previous Updates


________________________ ______

I was in stamford CT looking at homes this weekend and saw "Linda" signs everywhere. 

Dos Equis

  • Moderator
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 66495
  • I am. The most interesting man in the world. (Not)
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2010, 11:32:59 AM »
I hope they send that liar home. 

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2010, 11:38:03 AM »
I went to a home yesterday and all the cars were filled with Linda stickers.  I also saw a lot of  linda yard signs around. 

Dos Equis

  • Moderator
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 66495
  • I am. The most interesting man in the world. (Not)
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2010, 11:45:36 AM »
Good. 

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2010, 11:48:16 AM »
Good. 

Granted WWE is HQ'd out of Stamford, but I think most sensible people realize Bulmenthal is a liar, a hack, and at Linda has a record of jobs and accomplishment. 

Maybe BF and Newmom can tell us about this. 

Fury

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 21026
  • All aboard the USS Leverage
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2010, 12:36:26 PM »
Granted WWE is HQ'd out of Stamford, but I think most sensible people realize Bulmenthal is a liar, a hack, and at Linda has a record of jobs and accomplishment. 

Maybe BF and Newmom can tell us about this. 

Well I know the liberal rag in my area is doing everything in their power to get Blumenthal elected. They're expecting Blumenthal to go after the WWE in ads soon. I'd be surprised if she wins just because CT is tried and true Democrat but it'd be nice. Blumenthal is a lying con artist and anyone who would vote for a guy that has been outed as a liar on multiple points is a fool.

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2010, 12:38:04 PM »
Well I know the liberal rag in my area is doing everything in their power to get Blumenthal elected. They're expecting Blumenthal to go after the WWE in ads soon. I'd be surprised if she wins just because CT is tried and true Democrat but it'd be nice. Blumenthal is a lying con artist and anyone who would vote for a guy that has been outed as a liar on multiple points is a fool.

Blumenthal just creeps me out.  I see him on TV and its like -   YYYUUUKKK.   

Dos Equis

  • Moderator
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 66495
  • I am. The most interesting man in the world. (Not)
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2010, 12:38:57 PM »
Well I know the liberal rag in my area is doing everything in their power to get Blumenthal elected. They're expecting Blumenthal to go after the WWE in ads soon. I'd be surprised if she wins just because CT is tried and true Democrat but it'd be nice. Blumenthal is a lying con artist and anyone who would vote for a guy that has been outed as a liar on multiple points is a fool.

We have the same problem here.  Very hard for Republicans to get elected. 

What this guy did is outrageous. 

Fury

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 21026
  • All aboard the USS Leverage
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #8 on: September 27, 2010, 12:40:40 PM »
Blumenthal just creeps me out.  I see him on TV and its like -   YYYUUUKKK.    

McMahon should be elected on the basis that she's completely new to the political scene and seems to have her shit together. Blumenthal has shown himself to be a scumbag many a time. People in CT love him, though.

newmom

  • Guest
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #9 on: September 27, 2010, 01:26:46 PM »
I went to a home yesterday and all the cars were filled with Linda stickers.  I also saw a lot of  linda yard signs around. 

fucking mail box for the last month has mailings from every which way to sunday with Linda McMahons face on her agenda on it

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2010, 05:14:50 AM »
McMahon Pulls to Within Three of Blumenthal
Real Clear Politics ^ | 09/28/10 | Kyle Adams




In the race for retiring Democratic Senator Chris Dodd's seat in Connecticut, Republican Linda McMahon has cut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal's lead to just three points in the latest poll from Quinnipiac University. Blumenthal leads 49-46 in the poll of 1,083 likely Connecticut voters. The Quinnipiac poll comes a day after Rasmussen Reports released a poll showing Blumenthal leading McMahon by five points, 50-45.

McMahon, who has spent upwards of $20 million of her own money on the contest thus far, has steadily climbed back into the race, narrowing Blumenthal's lead to 10 points in early August and again to seven in September. The former wrestling executive has capitalized on the wave of anti-establishment anger and frustration with President Obama that has bolstered insurgent candidates across the country this election cycle. Seventy-six percent of voters say they are either dissatisfied or angry with the government. Of the 33 percent who said they are "angry" with the government, 78 percent back McMahon.


(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.blogs. time.com ...

Dos Equis

  • Moderator
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 66495
  • I am. The most interesting man in the world. (Not)
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2010, 11:29:24 AM »
McMahon Pulls Even With Blumenthal, Faces Blistering Attack From National Dems
By Stephen Clark
Published September 30, 2010
FoxNews.com

Connecticut Republican Senate candidate Linda McMahon has pushed her race with Democratic rival, Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, into a dead heat. (AP)

Former WWE CEO Linda McMahon's sudden surge against the once-invincible Dick Blumenthal in the Connecticut Senate race has put Blumenthal, the Democratic state attorney general, on the ropes and bolstered Republican hopes of taking control of the upper chamber.

A new Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday shows Blumenthal leads McMahon by just 3 percentage points, erasing the 41-point lead he held in January. And the reliable Cook Political Report has deemed the race up for grabs.

"She's got him in a headlock," said Scott McLean, a political scientist at Quinnipiac University.

Or to borrow another wrestling metaphor, McMahon thinks she has Blumenthal down on the canvas, ripe for a smackdown. But Blumenthal supporters are hopeful that he'll ultimately deliver the final blow.

"Dick has worked hard and no one believes he's not going to win," said Ellen Camhi, the head of the local Democratic Party in Stamford where WWE is based. "I'd be really surprised and very disappointed in Connecticut if they elect her. It just shouldn't be."

But McMahon has made the race competitive. McLean says McMahon has done a good job of gaining support among independents by attacking Blumenthal's image as a straight talker – an image that has been under assault ever since he was caught earlier this year misrepresenting his military record.

"This is a big problem," he said. "Blumenthal has the advantage with Democrats but independents are giving McMahon another look."

The Blumenthal campaign did not return numerous messages requesting an interview.

The tightening race has apparently sent a jolt through national Democrats who are suddenly pouncing on McMahon at every opportunity.

McMahon came under fire Thursday for suggesting she's open to cutting the minimum wage to help struggling businesses and saying that future increases to both the state and federal rates should be evaluated.

"We've got minimum wages in the state, we've got the minimum wages in the government and I think we ought to look at all of those issues in terms of what mandates are being placed on businesses and can they afford them," McMahon said when asked by a reporter if the current minimum wage rate should be scaled back to help employers.

McMahon later clarified her comments and said she supports keeping the minimum wage in place.

But national Democrats have seized upon McMahon's comments, noting that WWE laid off about 10 percent of its employees in 2009.

"It's not a huge surprise that multi-millionaire ex-CEO Linda McMahon is open to lowering the minimum wage," said Deirde Murphy, national press secretary for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. "After years of laying off employees while pocketing millions of dollars in profits, Linda McMahon has proven herself wrong for Connecticut's middle class families time after time."

McMahon's campaign said it's not surprised by the attacks.

"They're paying a lot more attention to the race now," McMahon campaign spokesman Shawn McCoy told FoxNews.com. "We can expect this for the next month or so – Democrats trying to pounce on any little thing she does."

McCoy said the campaign also expects wrestling to dominate the race in the final weeks.

"I think Democrats have been trying to make this race about wrestling for months now," he said. "But the fact is this race is about jobs and the economy."

Democrats say they're not worried about the race and are still confident that Blumenthal will prevail.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/09/30/mcmahon-pulls-blumenthal-faces-blistering-attack-national-dems/

The Showstoppa

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 26879
  • Call the vet, cause these pythons are sick!
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2010, 11:32:47 AM »
Linda needs to send in the Undertake to give that Blumenthal character a chair-shot.

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2010, 11:36:30 AM »
I was in stamford CT last weekend and her signs were EVERYWHERE. 


Go Linda - take out the left wing trash! 

Fury

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 21026
  • All aboard the USS Leverage
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2010, 11:44:09 AM »
Front page of the CT post today was a story about her having a tax lien or something filed on her back in the 70s. I didn't bother reading it because I couldn't care less about a failed business endeavor in the 70s or some shit.  They're not pulling punches anymore as tricky Dick Blumenthal the chronic liar is on the ropes.

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2010, 11:49:35 AM »
Front page of the CT post today was a story about her having a tax lien or something filed on her back in the 70s. I didn't bother reading it because I couldn't care less about a failed business endeavor in the 70s or some shit.  They're not pulling punches anymore as tricky Dick Blumenthal the chronic liar is on the ropes.

30 years back? 

what is wrong with these people? 

Fury

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 21026
  • All aboard the USS Leverage
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2010, 11:51:26 AM »
30 years back? 

what is wrong with these people? 

It's pretty funny, the entire front page is plastered with wrestling photos and talk of some business deal involving an Evel Knievel stunt going awry. Apparently her having some failed business ventures in the 70s means something? It's not like she's a multi-multi-millionaire now or anything.

The CT Post is the ultimate liberal rag. I'd put it right up there with NY Times in terms of the trash they print. It's funny because people have been taking them to task recently about it in the opinions section.

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2010, 11:53:48 AM »
It's pretty funny, the entire front page is plastered with wrestling photos and talk of some business deal involving an Evel Knievel stunt going awry. Apparently her having some failed business ventures in the 70s means something? It's not like she's a multi-multi-millionaire now or anything.

The CT Post is the ultimate liberal rag. I'd put it right up there with NY Times in terms of the trash they print. It's funny because people have been taking them to task recently about it in the opinions section.

To me - its an easy decision - a new face outside of politics, or the same ole same ole.   

Fury

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 21026
  • All aboard the USS Leverage
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #18 on: October 01, 2010, 11:58:10 AM »
To me - its an easy decision - a new face outside of politics, or the same ole same ole.   

Exactly. She can't be any worse than a deadfish who has been caught out on countless lies. The only reason this is even a race is because CT leans heavily to the left.

Deicide

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 22921
  • Reapers...
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #19 on: October 01, 2010, 12:02:26 PM »
I went to a home yesterday and all the cars were filled with Linda stickers.  I also saw a lot of  linda yard signs around. 

They should have been filled with Schiff stickers...
I hate the State.

Fury

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 21026
  • All aboard the USS Leverage
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #20 on: October 01, 2010, 12:05:33 PM »
They should have been filled with Schiff stickers...

Schiff sunk his own campaign. He never left Fairfield County.

Deicide

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 22921
  • Reapers...
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #21 on: October 01, 2010, 12:09:06 PM »
Schiff sunk his own campaign. He never left Fairfield County.

As far as I know (and I lost track a while ago) he lost simply because he was 'outmonied' by Linda. Is this not true?
I hate the State.

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #22 on: October 01, 2010, 12:09:17 PM »
They should have been filled with Schiff stickers...

I volunteered and sent money to his campaign.  He lost and now its time to try to get behind Linda m., who is a business person, not a pol.    

Soul Crusher

  • Competitors
  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 41760
  • Doesnt lie about lifting.
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2010, 12:10:12 PM »
As far as I know (and I lost track a while ago) he lost simply because he was 'outmonied' by Linda. Is this not true?

He really did not campaign that well beyond his narrow message, which i believe in, but can see why it never really took off. 

Fury

  • Getbig V
  • *****
  • Posts: 21026
  • All aboard the USS Leverage
Re: Linda McMahon closing in on Blumenthal in CT Senate race.
« Reply #24 on: October 01, 2010, 12:13:39 PM »
As far as I know (and I lost track a while ago) he lost simply because he was 'outmonied' by Linda. Is this not true?

No.

And Schiff has plenty of his own money. He just campaigned incredibly poorly.