Jesus christ what a piece of shit card. I was actually thinking about going because its in NJ, but with the exception of the main event (which might be one sided as hell) I wouldn't watch any of those fights if they were free.
If Rua can move in and out and pepper Jones with his speed (assuming he is healthy) then he might be able to pull it off. Jones hasn't been hit hard once--If Shogun rings his bell, Jones might fold. That said, if Jones puts Shogun on his back and Shogun doesn't stand up right away, the fight is probably over.