Intrade has Obama at 52.6%

[240 is Back]

He was at 48% about 2 weeks ago when repubs were at 49%... we had a thread about this.

I wonder why he's going up?  Cain's decline?

[240 is Back]

tumbleweeds

[Soul Crusher]

tumbleweeds

BFD!   Are you kidding?  He is the incumbent and if he is only at 52% you think that is good?  LMFAO 

[howardroark]

Perfect chance to SELL SELL SELL.

[240 is Back]

BFD!   Are you kidding?  He is the incumbent and if he is only at 52% you think that is good?  LMFAO 

the point is that at the same time Cain drops in the polls, Obama jumps almost FIVE POINTS in Intrade.

That's a pretty huge jump.  Did the gamblers of the world believe cain was the only one who could beat Obama?  Sounds like 1 in 20 people did...

[Soul Crusher]

the point is that at the same time Cain drops in the polls, Obama jumps almost FIVE POINTS in Intrade.

That's a pretty huge jump.  Did the gamblers of the world believe cain was the only one who could beat Obama?  Sounds like 1 in 20 people did...

Romney is already beating him and Obama is hugely underwater in the swing states. 

Take your fantasies of obama second term to the bathroom w your obama commemrative blow up doll. 

[240 is Back]

Romney is already beating him and Obama is hugely underwater in the swing states. 

Take your fantasies of obama second term to the bathroom w your obama commemrative blow up doll. 

okay.  a 5% jump in world gambling odds means nothing.  mmmmkay.

Methinks if Nominee Palin jumped from 48 to 53% in a week against Obama in any poll, you'd be jerking off in your shoebox.

[240 is Back]

Romney is already beating him

No not in intrade he's not.

I know you assign more value to politically swayed domestic polls.
Personally, I like to trust those outside of the USA, who bet their cold hard CASH on it.  They don't mess around with politics - they use odds and staistics.  FOX won't put out a poll that makes 'their guy' look bad.  But Intrade?  No emotion there - it's about the money.  And 52.6% means Obama is rising very quickly in odds to win in 2012.

But cain's collapse had nothing to do with it, huh? 

[howardroark]

Markets swing all the time... It's still too far out for intrade to be accurate. The market movers are still making their decisions.

I also doubt it has anything to do with Cain. The situation in Europe is looking a little better as is the economy in the US. Many people who have predicted a double-dip have backed off that prediction. Many are worried that the Fed and the ECB will overheat the economy by overshooting with the amount of credit they pump into the economy. THAT is what is making Obama's prospects look significantly better.

[240 is Back]

good points, howard.