If he is clear as to what he stands for he has a chance, but his current method proves very confusing to the undecided. Remember, I do not care what the expert Rand Paul people think and believe, focus on those who are trying to understand his way of thinking, they at this point would be left in a heap of confusion if they research his ideas and goals.
The 18-27 Year old's will vote for what is trendy, whatever name they see the most pop up on fb, twitter maybe even tinder is what they will vote for especially if that candidate is pro sending more money to africa and supports ideas such as forcefully making all straight people try being gay for a day so they know how it feels.
We cannot sit here and play stupid, face the reality people and realize that there is a new crowd in charge and their decision making process is very twisted.
If election were held tomorrow Hillary would win by a land slide, she will get most of the women, black, gay vote regardless of what she did or is doing.