I'm locked on for 64K as the high for a while. It could go down to 30-40K before going back up to 64K or it could go straight there.
Longer term (years) ETF sends the price a lot higher and makes the price swings less volatile.
I think the ETF is a massive development long-term. We will also see some ETF's launch soon in other major financial centers - Watch for Hong Kong soon which will also provide huge long term inflows from China and Asia.
Some of the factors impacting BTC price, other than the funds flowing in over time, I expect will be related to macro-economic data, especially inflation, interest rates, and stimulus and money-printing. And also of course various global incidents and crisis - wars and epidemics, a financial crisis, etc. Wall St really now has an amazing tool as a proxy for these factors, far superior to gold, and far more volatile (in both directions) - which is great provided you understand that the long term trajectory is up, and treat any dips as accumulation opportunities.
As for where I think BTC goes this cycle, I am more bullish that you Flex. I say we get to 120K as a bare minimum on this cycle, and quite possibly well higher. To me, a 300K peak this cycle is certainly feasible. And I say that not just because I own some.