2026 end of year predictions anyone?
I'll start - BTC at 200K USD.
Eth up from current price, but at a lesser delta than BTC.
Gold up around 20% YOY.
Most global stock markets up. S&P up 10%. China and HK markets up 30%. Europe up 5%.
10 year Treasury yield 75 bps lower.
BTC has had as easy ride from 2023-2025. ETH could end 2025 with nine consecutive monthly red candles, plus another red candle in December 2024. That’s comparable to ETH’s 2018–2019 bear cycle. In that sense, ETH has already been thoroughly tested. The question is whether 2026 becomes BTC’s turn to be tested.
It’s hard to deny that this BTC.D chart looks potentially bearish for Bitcoin. Alts have been in the gutter for nearly four years now, and most weak hands have already exited. The ones still holding don’t see much point in selling at these depressed levels.
I’d like to think ETH could reach $10–20k next year, or even higher. But I’m aware that I’m far more bullish than most, so I won’t make firm predictions — my bias skews them.
But this chart…
