They have been one of the most accurate polling services since 2020.
Like I posted the polls and apparently their accuracy are subject to frequent changes. Did you mean to post that Trafalgar polls had been considered one of the most accurate polling services prior to 2020?
According to Google AI Overview:
After 2020:
In 2022, Trafalgar's predictions for the midterms were largely inaccurate, predicting Republican wins or close races in states where the opposite occurred.
FiveThirtyEight adjusted
Trafalgar's rating, and as of September 2024, their current grade is 0.7/3.Trafalgar polls have a statistical bias leaning towards the Republican party, meaning they tend to show more favorable results for Republicans than other polls, even when accounting for a standard margin of error.
Overall, while Trafalgar Group polls had a
notable performance in the 2020 election cycle, their accuracy has been questioned in subsequent years, and their methodology and partisan lean are subjects of scrutiny among polling experts.
