Author Topic: Kracken Released  (Read 22722 times)

Coach is Back!

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #125 on: November 28, 2020, 01:46:18 PM »
What gives you the idea that internal polling isn't biased? In fact they are usually more biased than external polling because the pollsters have an agenda.

Internal Polls Are Usually Bunk

By Nathaniel Rackich

....you should take internal polls with several grains of salt. Specifically, it’s important to remember that by definition, internal polls are shared by people with an agenda, and you need to take that agenda into account when looking at the results.

Usually, the goal in leaking an internal poll is simple: make your candidate look good. In practice, that means that internal polls typically paint a rosier picture for the candidate conducting them than exists in reality.

Overall, the political world is often too quick to trust internal polls without questioning their sourcing and thinking critically about ulterior motives.




In the General, the Biden campaign spent more on advertising than the Trump campaign. However, the Trump campaign outspent Biden by a lot in Digital airings, i.e. Facebook and Google.

In the primary, Trump's people spent the most with Elizabeth Warren next in line, spending 1/4 of the amount Trump spent. Biden spent the least in the primary. In fact his campaign spent so little that it isn't even on the charts and therefore listed as $0.

PRO-TRUMP ADS ATTACK WHILE PRO-BIDEN ADS CONTRAST

By and large, pro-Biden ads are positive or contrast, with only about 10 percent being pure attacks. Pro-Trump ads, on the other hand, have seen a rising percentage of attacks since mid-September. In the past week, over 60 percent of pro-Trump ads were pure attacks, and fewer than 10 percent were positive.

Biden has mentioned health care, jobs, and Social Security at a slightly higher rate in the last two weeks, while Trump has focused on taxes (in just under half of his airings), the economy, jobs, prescription drugs and health care.

...between October 12 and October 25. COVID-19 is not the top issue for either candidate, even with the recent surge in cases across parts of the country. The issue appears in 1 in every 3 Biden ads, and in 1 in every 5 Trump ads.

Money Tracker: How Much Trump And Biden Have Raised In The 2020 Election
October 22, 202011:55 PM ET



Here's a side by side comparison of each campaign's donations

$1.51 billion
raised by Joe Biden (D) and the DNC
$167 million raised in first half of October


$1.57 billion
raised by Donald Trump (R) and the RNC
$82 million raised in first half of October


https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-don-blankenship-really-surging-in-west-virginia/

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1029180/top-spending-presidential-candidates-mueller-facebook-ads-us/

https://mediaproject.wesleyan.edu/releases-102920/#table2

Yeah, thanks for all of the leftist links. I actually knew what the internal polls showed. 🤷‍♂️

jwb

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #126 on: November 28, 2020, 01:48:05 PM »
Petitioners appear to have established a likelihood to succeed on the merits because petitioners have asserted the Constitution does not provide a mechanism for the legislature to allow for expansion of absentee voting without a constitutional amendment,” McCullough wrote.
Petitioners are the ones who actually passed this law over a year ago themselves. The law has been used in not one, but two elections. Petitioners didn’t complain when the law worked out in their favor the first time, so actually have no chance of the second election results being changed either.

Primemuscle

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #127 on: November 28, 2020, 01:50:58 PM »
I guess you didn’t catch my last post to that question. If this was a legit election I would have tripled that bet the day the election should have been called...Nov 3. But I will put up $500 that there is blatant evidence of election fraud in Biden’s favor that you or anyone...ANYONE can’t refute without your proof of it being legit.

How about it?

I guess you don't consider the Supreme Court legit than. Trump and his band of clown lawyers has said they have proof of election fraud in Biden's favor and have yet to show it. Biden doesn't need to show proof of his being elected by the people who cast more than 80 mil votes. Who's he going to challenge and why would he? He won the Presidency. It is the challenger (prosecutor) who must prove their case. That's how the law works in this country. 

I won’t be decided by the 20th either way

You want a bet on that ?
It's been decided. Trump just can't accept it. In his Thanksgiving eve rant/meltdown he said that he will leave White House if electoral college votes for Joe Biden.

Trump's election fight includes over 40 lawsuits. It's not going well.
"Calling an election unfair does not make it so," one ruling said.

President Donald Trump and other Republicans have filed dozens of lawsuits across the country in an attempt to contest the election results.

Most of them have been shot down or withdrawn, and no court has found even a single instance of fraud. Of at least 41 cases to have been filed, including some not directly involving Trump but which could nonetheless affect his standing, at least 26 have been denied, dismissed, settled or withdrawn.



Coach is Back!

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #128 on: November 28, 2020, 01:57:38 PM »
I guess you don't consider the Supreme Court legit than. Trump and his band of clown lawyers has said they have proof of election fraud in Biden's favor and have yet to show it. Biden doesn't need to show proof of his being elected by the people who cast more than 80 mil votes. Who's he going to challenge and why would he? He won the Presidency. It is the challenger (prosecutor) who must prove their case. That's how the law works in this country. 
 It's been decided. Trump just can't accept it. In his Thanksgiving eve rant/meltdown he said that he will leave White House if electoral college votes for Joe Biden.

Trump's election fight includes over 40 lawsuits. It's not going well.
"Calling an election unfair does not make it so," one ruling said.

President Donald Trump and other Republicans have filed dozens of lawsuits across the country in an attempt to contest the election results.

Most of them have been shot down or withdrawn, and no court has found even a single instance of fraud. Of at least 41 cases to have been filed, including some not directly involving Trump but which could nonetheless affect his standing, at least 26 have been denied, dismissed, settled or withdrawn.


After November 3 the SCOTUS should have never have been a thought if this was anywhere near legit.

Primemuscle

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #129 on: November 28, 2020, 02:05:42 PM »
Yeah, thanks for all of the leftist links. I actually knew what the internal polls showed. 🤷‍♂️

Right. Well, since logic doesn't seem to be your strong suit or you would know that internal polls are more apt to be bias than external ones, I provided some links. If you can present something concrete that says internal poles are more accurate than external ones, please do. Otherwise, all you have is your opinion. Which of course, you are entitled to. It's abundantly clear that once you decide something, you hang onto it like a bull dog.

Primemuscle

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #130 on: November 28, 2020, 02:20:30 PM »
After November 3 the SCOTUS should have never have been a thought if this was anywhere near legit.

The main reason and probably only one the U.S. Supreme Court is involved is because Trump's team refuses to accept the rulings against them in the lower courts, including the State Court of Appeals.

Article III of the Constitution invests the judicial power of the United States in the federal court system. ... The Constitution and laws of each state establish the state courts. A court of last resort, often known as a Supreme Court, is usually the highest court. Some states also have an intermediate Court of Appeals.

I day ago:

Federal appeals court throws out Trump election lawsuit in Pennsylvania
Trump’s legal team vows to appeal to supreme court after yet another defeat, as judge says claims ‘have no merit’

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #131 on: November 28, 2020, 02:36:04 PM »
The main reason and probably only one the U.S. Supreme Court is involved is because Trump's team refuses to accept the rulings against them in the lower courts, including the State Court of Appeals.

Article III of the Constitution invests the judicial power of the United States in the federal court system. ... The Constitution and laws of each state establish the state courts. A court of last resort, often known as a Supreme Court, is usually the highest court. Some states also have an intermediate Court of Appeals.

I day ago:

Federal appeals court throws out Trump election lawsuit in Pennsylvania
Trump’s legal team vows to appeal to supreme court after yet another defeat, as judge says claims ‘have no merit’



Case in point and I had already said this. 1. It got thrown out without evidence even being heard. This is called an activist court. 2. They had already knew the likelihood of it getting thrown out was great and their path for the most part has always been towards the SCOTUS. This isn’t some new revelation

The Pennsylvania legislators already know of the overwhelming mounting evidence and Pennsylvania will likely get overturned since they have the power to select the electors. Best case (and likely) scenario 20 electoral votes get taken from Biden that will go to Trump

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #132 on: November 28, 2020, 04:18:58 PM »
The Constitution vests in the state legislatures the power to determine the manner in which to choose electors. This is plenary power—i.e. it can neither be taken from them nor abdicated. The Founding Fathers were worried about cabal, intrigue, and corruption infecting the vote for President, so the legislatures have a duty to guard against such abuses. Although they have vested the vote in the people, state legislatures retain their plenary power and the burden of ensuring our President is not raised to that high office by corrupt methods.

TheGrinch

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #133 on: November 28, 2020, 05:35:13 PM »
The Constitution vests in the state legislatures the power to determine the manner in which to choose electors. This is plenary power—i.e. it can neither be taken from them nor abdicated. The Founding Fathers were worried about cabal, intrigue, and corruption infecting the vote for President, so the legislatures have a duty to guard against such abuses. Although they have vested the vote in the people, state legislatures retain their plenary power and the burden of ensuring our President is not raised to that high office by corrupt methods.

unless someone pays them cash under the table, then proceed with the fraud and all bets are off


PEDO for POTUS 2020!!

then Harris/Pelosi 2021!!


avxo

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #134 on: November 28, 2020, 08:22:00 PM »
So still

No bet ?
Xoxo

And agnostic ?

I accepted your timeline oh Jan 20

Your 10 k

For my 1 k

You ready ?

Is The Coach willing to hold the funds in escrow? Are you willing to sent $1,000 to him?

jwb

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #135 on: November 28, 2020, 08:24:36 PM »
Is The Coach willing to hold the funds in escrow? Are you willing to sent $1,000 to him?
Just find an escrow lawyer and put it in their account.

Nancy Pelosi could potentially be the president on Jan 20, btw...

Coach is Back!

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #136 on: November 28, 2020, 08:25:54 PM »
Just find an escrow lawyer and put it in their account.

Nancy Pelosi could potentially be the president on Jan 20, btw...

Serious question. Do you consider yourself a Marxist or a socialist?

jwb

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #137 on: November 28, 2020, 08:26:57 PM »
Serious question. Do you consider yourself a Marxist or a socialist?
Ive only ever voted for center right parties.

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #138 on: November 28, 2020, 08:29:40 PM »
Ive only ever voted for center right parties.

You’re pushing awfully hard for Biden to win. Did you vote for Biden? Just because you hate Trump? If not, what Biden policies do you agree with that would have you vote for him (actually you voted for Harris but that’s another debate)

epic is back

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #139 on: November 28, 2020, 09:47:06 PM »
Is The Coach willing to hold the funds in escrow? Are you willing to sent $1,000 to him?

yes i am

but we all know you dont have 10 k


jwb

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #140 on: November 28, 2020, 10:38:34 PM »
You’re pushing awfully hard for Biden to win. Did you vote for Biden? Just because you hate Trump? If not, what Biden policies do you agree with that would have you vote for him (actually you voted for Harris but that’s another debate)
I didn’t vote for either man

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #141 on: November 28, 2020, 11:30:37 PM »
Then you have no say

So we say get out and leave

jwb

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #142 on: November 28, 2020, 11:56:36 PM »
Then you have no say

So we say get out and leave
My wife and I paid over $150k in US taxes last year so I’m staying right here.

Primemuscle

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #143 on: November 29, 2020, 12:03:22 AM »
Then you have no say

So we say get out and leave

I agree that people who don't vote have no say, unless they voted but just didn't vote for either of the two main candidates.  Even if they wrote in a candidate they had a say....not one of much value, but better than those who cannot be bothered to vote.

Primemuscle

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #144 on: November 29, 2020, 12:13:05 AM »
My wife and I paid over $150k in US taxes last year so I’m staying right here.

Thank you for paying your tax bill. As far as I am concerned you are as welcome as anyone here as a none participating onlooker. But if you could not bother yourself to vote at all, you really have no "skin in the game". A simple fix would be to put yourself out for five minutes or so (assuming you are able to do vote by mail) and iIn the next election register and vote. Otherwise, what you have to say is not worth much because you didn't bother to back it up with a commitment one way or the other.

jwb

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #145 on: November 29, 2020, 12:40:08 AM »
Thank you for paying your tax bill. As far as I am concerned you are as welcome as anyone here as a none participating onlooker. But if you could not bother yourself to vote at all, you really have no "skin in the game". A simple fix would be to put yourself out for five minutes or so (assuming you are able to do vote by mail) and iIn the next election register and vote. Otherwise, what you have to say is not worth much because you didn't bother to back it up with a commitment one way or the other.
I am a US permanent resident not yet able to be a citizen and therefore vote. I get to pay taxes though...

Primemuscle

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #146 on: November 29, 2020, 12:47:56 AM »
I am a US permanent resident not yet able to be a citizen and therefore vote. I get to pay taxes though...

Okay. You have a decent excuse. My apologies. Although, it does seem a little bit like you set this up because if this is the case, you could have stated it from the onset. When will you eligible to become a U.S. citizen? When you do become a citizen, will you exercise your right to have your voice heard and vote? So many citizens don't and yet they also don't hesitate to grouse about how things are going in this great country.

jwb

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #147 on: November 29, 2020, 01:40:10 AM »
Okay. You have a decent excuse. My apologies. Although, it does seem a little bit like you set this up because if this is the case, you could have stated it from the onset. When will you eligible to become a U.S. citizen? When you do become a citizen, will you exercise your right to have your voice heard and vote? So many citizens don't and yet they also don't hesitate to grouse about how things are going in this great country.
If I stay and become a citizen I will vote.

I’d prefer to set sail around the world though to be honest.

epic is back

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #148 on: November 29, 2020, 09:51:30 AM »
Your not a citizen

Figures

Yes please set sail

The he’ll out of the USA

We don’t need your money

Or your laze faire attitude

Kwon

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Re: Kracken Released
« Reply #149 on: November 29, 2020, 12:21:53 PM »

Q