TLDR:
1) fertiliser prices skyrocketing. Russia/China not exporting fertiliser materials anymore.
2) major food price impact by September on shelf. Expect 50%+ by year end.
3) Middle East, China, India, Pakistan, Africa all facing harsh conditions into 2023
4) forget takeaways, learn to cook and meal prep. Takeaway will be so fucking expensive in 6mths time you guys will likely start a ‘post your hamburger price here’ thread.
5) spending more on food means less spend on consumer goods…… do you see 👀?
6) we bought a chest freezer, holds 150 meals. We have reduced food wastage. We have probably 3 months of pasta and rice with 2 months of meals cook. Goal is for 1yr of pasta/rice on hand and top up as we draw down. During food shortages pasta and rice are the first to go because they are cheap and fill you up. You can’t have enough.
Fertiliser is something I have been watching the past month.
This is key for modern day food production. Fertiliser gives us higher yield and lower price as a result. Russia and China are no longer exporting their fertiliser products which leads the world heading short into food production. The war in Ukraine will lead to no planting season (or reduction) and therefore no food yield to export which is a double whammy on top of fertiliser.
Middle East, China, India (aka Dubai), Pakistan, Africa and Russia are all going to suffer greatly from lack of food production. Shitty land, large populations, less food.
For us we can expect a surge on food prices that you will begin to notice daily around September period or so. It’ll be like fuel where you one day suddenly click when seeing a price and from there you notice it going up each month.
My wife has begun food prepping in our new house since last week. Purchased a chest freezer which will hold 150 meals. I also have a 1,000 custom wine cellar being made up and we have a few hundred bottles at the moment until the cellar setup arrives.
We have zero food wastage in meal prep. My wife is a gun cook so I eat like a king. Plastic takeaway containers for any food not eaten. We have a partarre garden being built on our property which will grow lettuce and certain other veggies and plant stuff. Seeds already purchased. 2,000 plants were purchased 6mths ago for our garden, front ran every fucker on that one for sure lol.
Anyhoo, this is a thread of thoughts but also what actions one might take or at least prepare.