How do they determine who qualifies for next round of debates?
Only 8 Candidates Have Qualified for the Next Democratic DebateWhile 20 presidential candidates debated this past week, far fewer are assured the chance of doing so again in September.
By Maggie Astor
Aug. 1, 2019
[Update: Andrew Yang has qualified for the next Democratic presidential debate, widening the field to nine.]So you made it through the second set of Democratic debates. Congratulations! Ready to talk about the next ones?
The Democratic National Committee has set stricter criteria for the third set of debates, which will be held on Sept. 12 and Sept. 13 in Houston. If 10 or fewer candidates qualify, the debate will take place on only one night.
Candidates will need to have 130,000 unique donors and register at least 2 percent support in four polls. They have until Aug. 28 to reach those benchmarks.
A spotlight on the people reshaping our politics. A conversation with voters across the country. And a guiding hand through the endless news cycle, telling you what you really need to know.
These criteria could easily halve the field: The first two sets of debates included 20 of the 24 candidates, but a New York Times analysis of polls and donor numbers shows that only 10 to 12 candidates are likely to make the third round.
Eight candidates have already met both qualification thresholds and are guaranteed a spot onstage. They are:
Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr.
Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey
Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind.
Senator Kamala Harris of California
Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota
Former Representative Beto O’Rourke of Texas
Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont
Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts
Ms. Klobuchar’s campaign announced on Friday that she had exceeded the required number of donors in the days following the debate. She had already met the polling threshold.
Two other candidates are very close: The former housing secretary Julián Castro and the entrepreneur Andrew Yang have surpassed 130,000 donors and each have three of the four qualifying polls they need. Representative Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii has also crossed the 130,000-donor mark, her campaign said Friday, but she has only one qualifying poll so far.
Beyond them, only two candidates have even a single qualifying poll to their name: the impeachment activist Tom Steyer (two polls) and former Gov. John Hickenlooper of Colorado (one).
We asked their campaigns to provide donor numbers so we could assess where they stood. A spokesman for Mr. Steyer said he was “on track to collect the required number of donors to make the September debate stage” but did not give a number. Mr. Hickenlooper’s campaign did not respond, but Politico reported a month ago that he had only 13,000 donors.
The other 11 candidates in the race have no qualifying polls to their name, and they all went into this week’s debates seeking a viral moment that would attract new donors and lift them, even briefly, in the polls.
The qualification rules do not require enduring support. Even a small post-debate surge could push a 1 percent candidate up to 2 percent in the small handful of polls he or she needs.
But for those who have not qualified, the Aug. 28 deadline is an existential threat. Candidates like Senator Kirsten Gillibrand of New York or Gov. Jay Inslee of Washington could be washed out of the race if they don’t get momentum from this week’s debates. And if you’re wondering whether they’re anxious, the answer is yes.
Ms. Gabbard’s campaign calculated at one point that she needed a new donor every minute to reach 130,000 by the Aug. 28 deadline. Visitors to her website saw a timer next to the donation button that began counting down 60 seconds. Then the text changed.
“🙁 Oh no!” it said. “The time expired and you didn’t donate!”
It must have been effective. Ms. Gabbard now has more than 145,000 donors, her campaign said Friday night.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/01/us/politics/next-democratic-debate.html
