Obama takes back his lead in the Polls

[Colossus_500]

Gallup Daily: Obama 48%, McCain 44%
Marks Obama’s first statistically significant lead in two weeks

PRINCETON, NJ -- The Sept. 15-17 Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows Barack Obama with a 48% to 44% lead over John McCain among registered voters, marking the first time that Obama has held a statistically significant lead in two weeks.

The presidential race has essentially devolved back to a structure very similar to what pertained throughout the months of June and July, during which time Obama consistently averaged a three percentage point lead over McCain. There have been fairly significant shifts over the last several weeks, including periods of time in and around the conventions during which both Obama and McCain established leads, and times when the race was essentially tied. But beginning this week, it appears the voters have settled, for the moment, back into the familiar pattern in which the race remains close with a slight tilt towards Obama.

Separate Gallup tracking shows that consumer confidence has become significantly more negative as this week progressed, signifying that Americans are clearly paying attention to the major problems facing Wall Street and the big drops in the stock market on Monday and Wednesday. It is not possible to determine precisely how much of Obama's gain this week may have been directly caused by Americans' reactions to the economic stories dominating news coverage in newspapers, television, and on the Internet, although this is a plausible explanation. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.) -- Frank Newport

Survey Methods

For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general-election results are based on combined data from Sept. 15-17, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,815 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

Interviews are conducted with respondents on land-line telephones (for respondents with a land-line telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell-phone only).

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.


Copyright © 2008 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.

[leland000]

That all changed on Sept 15 with the financial meltdown.
FL is even and NC is within 2 % Ohio went from McCain uo by 4 to now down by 2.
Fair or not McCain was and is the king of deregulation and unrestricted free trade.
Those policies resulted in the unregulated short selling that was the root of the proble

Do you understand what the words has and will mean? I don't care about September 15th, October 15th, or whatever poll you're reading.

Facts:
Republican Party carried FL and CO in 3 of the last 4 elections
Republican Party carried NC and VA in all 4
Republican Party carried OH and WV last election

200 + years and 43 Presidents and they have all shared one common characteristic....they were all white. This country is roughly 80% white and people make a lot of decisions based on race whether they admit it or not. Hate to rain on your parade, but your about forty years too early.

[big L dawg]

Do you understand what the words has and will mean? I don't care about September 15th, October 15th, or whatever poll you're reading.

Facts:
Republican Party carried FL and CO in 3 of the last 4 elections
Republican Party carried NC and VA in all 4
Republican Party carried OH and WV last election

200 + years and 43 Presidents and they have all shared one common characteristic....they were all white. This country is roughly 80% white and people make a lot of decisions based on race whether they admit it or not. Hate to rain on your parade, but your about forty years too early.

so your saying the issues don't matter.the winner is predetermined.

[IFBBwannaB]

Those policies resulted in the unregulated short selling that was the root of the proble

Hmmm NO.

Just look outside of the US, only the US have all of its  banking system collapse while other countries that have unregulated free markets too have a very small direct hit from this.

[Desolate]

Our markets are the measure for the entire world.

When we sneeze, everyone catches a cold.

We're hated because it took us less that 200 years to rule the Earth.

It is better to be hated and feared than it is to be loved.

[Decker]

Our markets are the measure for the entire world.

When we sneeze, everyone catches a cold.

We're hated because it took us less that 200 years to rule the Earth.

It is better to be hated and feared than it is to be loved.

Is that what you tell your kids?

[tu_holmes]

Those policies resulted in the unregulated short selling that was the root of the proble

I disagree Howard... The financial blunder of saying that "Every person should own a home" and then giving loans to those unworthy or at the very least unable to pay, and the banks full well knowing they would eventually not be able to is the root of this problem.

Personally, I believe that any business which can not sustain itself should be held accountable and if that means a fire sale because of bankruptcy, so be it.

[headhuntersix]

I disagree Howard... The financial blunder of saying that "Every person should own a home" and then giving loans to those unworthy or at the very least unable to pay, and the banks full well knowing they would eventually not be able to is the root of this problem.

Personally, I believe that any business which can not sustain itself should be held accountable and if that means a fire sale because of bankruptcy, so be it.

Correct, these banks knew they'd never pay it back and bet that it would work out when they refi'd the loans. They did not bet that the market would fall.

[leland000]

so your saying the issues don't matter.the winner is predetermined.

I never uttered the word predetermined. I made factual statements. It also happens to be my opinion that McCain will win the election, and it will not be as close as people think. Is race not an issue? If you don't think that a large number of people will be casting their vote based on skin color...then you're living in la la land. I don't know what religion you observe nor do I care, but if you happen to be Catholic, and receive Catholic newspapers, or listen to Catholic radio you'll easily see why Obama is f'd. Catholic politics can accurately be characterized as the passing of the Democratic monolith...the winning candidate is the one who wins the Catholic vote and it's going to McCain. Obama is cooked.

[big L dawg]

I never uttered the word predetermined. I made factual statements. It also happens to be my opinion that McCain will win the election, and it will not be as close as people think. Is race not an issue? If you don't think that a large number of people will be casting their vote based on skin color...then you're living in la la land. I don't know what religion you observe nor do I care, but if you happen to be Catholic, and receive Catholic newspapers, or listen to Catholic radio you'll easily see why Obama is f'd. Catholic politics can accurately be characterized as the passing of the Democratic monolith...the winning candidate is the one who wins the Catholic vote and it's going to McCain. Obama is cooked.

I didn't think catholics had time to pay attention...I mean with all the attention they give little boys and all.

[leland000]

I didn't think catholics had time to pay attention...I mean with all the attention they give little boys and all.

Blanket statements...you must be a Rhodes Scholar. Common sense tells us that there are bad apples in every bunch.

3.5% of children in the US are victims of sexual misconduct in our public schools

There are over 400,000 registered sex offenders in the US and Dr. Gene Abel estimates that between 1% and 5% of our population molest children.

There are 55,000 Roman Catholic priests...why don't you tell me how many have been accused or charged with any form of sexual misconduct?

FACTS
The percentage is less than .8%
The percentage and number are both less than the % and number of school teachers, coaches, Protestant ministers, and the general public.

Child molestation is not a Catholic problem it's a disgusting global problem! You must be extremely intelligent to identify 1,100,000,000 people as sexual predators.

African Americans in the US....
have the lowest HS graduation rates
have the lowest college graduation rates
have the lowest personal and median household incomes
have the highest unemployment rate
have the highest rate of absentee fathers
have the highest rate of drug users
have the highest rate of hiv infection
have the highest rate of arrests, convictions, and violent crimes committed

Should I just lump Obama into all of those categories because of his skin color? Do you see how insanely stupid and offensive your blanket statement is?