bb and mm,
there is a 1 in 50,000 chance that Kerry lost ohio.
there is a 1 in 20,000 chance that kerry lost florida.
If you want to believe that bush won both of those lotteries in 2004, you do that.
The rest of us, with a brain, know that the Diebold CEO's promise to "deliver the election to bush" played into it.