Gonzaga (240lbs) isn't quite as big as Ricco(255) or Barnett (250lbs) when they fought Randy, and Randy's bjj has improved by leaps and bounds since then (as you could see when had that grappling match with Jacare, granted Jacare only weighs about 185-190lbs, he's still a bad mofo). It's a tough call, but, I can see Randy coming into this fight with his head on straight, and a good gameplan, he may have to weather an early storm but I think he can pull it off. Although I do agree, it's a bad match up for Randy.