personallly, I think the last few years Ronnie has made a mistake by aiming for a number (bodyweight) for the O. instead of a 'look'.
eg. he was so determined to show up in 04 at 300+ pounds and look what happened? he looked like garbage.
in 05 he looked good because he dropped his weight and easily beat Jay.
if Ronnie is going for a smaller, but more ripped look, his quality will be enough to beat Jay.