Its Jay's contest to lose.
There are only two people that have a chance to beat him.
Dennis Wolfe and Phil Heath.
But the reasons they wont win are simply. Phils structure holds him back when he stands next to a guy like Jay, Kai, Victor, or Wolfe these really stand out.
And Dennis' lack of conditioning, peaking, or whatever this years excuse will be, will ultimately hold him back.
So in the end, its Jay's show to lose. And he wont.