Summary of primaries someone e-mailed to me. Interesting to see the movement over the past several months.
http://americanresearchgroup.com/October 13, 2011
Florida Republican Presidential Primary
Florida
Likely Republican
Primary Voters Oct 2011
Bachmann 3%
Cain 34%
Gingrich 11%
Huntsman 1%
Johnson -
Paul 4%
Perry 5%
Roemer 1%
Romney 28%
Santorum 1%
Other -
Undecided 12%
Herman Cain leads the Florida Republican presidential primary with 34%. Cain is followed by Mitt Romney at 28% and Newt Gingrich at 11%.
In July, Rick Perry was leading in Florida with 16%, followed closely by Michele Bachmann at 15%, Romney at 15%, Sarah Palin at 13%, and Cain at 11%.
Cain leads Romney 34% to 28% among registered Republicans likely to vote in the primary, with Gingrich at 11%.
Among Tea Party supporters, Cain leads Romney 43% to 19%, with 12% for Gingrich. Among likely Republican primary voters saying they are not Tea Party supporters or that they are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads Cain 38% to 23%, with 9% for Gingrich.
Among likely voters saying they will definitely vote, Cain leads Romney 36% to 27%.
Details from the survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters conducted October 7-12 can be found here.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
October 10, 2011
South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary
South Carolina
Likely Republican
Primary Voters Oct 2011
Bachmann 5%
Cain 26%
Gingrich 8%
Huntsman -
Johnson -
Paul 7%
Perry 15%
Roemer -
Romney 25%
Santorum 1%
Other 1%
Undecided 12%
Herman Cain leads the South Carolina Republican presidential primary with 26%. Cain is followed closely by Mitt Romney at 25%. Rick Perry is third at 15%.
In July, Romney was leading with 25%, followed by Sarah Palin at 16%, Michele Bachmann at 13%, and Herman Cain at 10%.
Among likely primary voters considering themselves to be Republicans, Cain and Romney are tied at 27% each, followed by Perry at 15%.
Among Tea Party supporters, Cain leads with 35%, followed by Perry at 16% and Romney at 15%.
Among those saying they are not Tea Party supporters or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 33%, followed by Cain at 19%, Perry at 14%, and Ron Paul at 10%.
Details from the survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters conducted October 5-10 can be found here.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
September 30, 2011
Lynch and Obama Job Approval in New Hampshire
Lynch Job Approval Ratings
9/29/2011 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 56% 23% 21%
Economy 55% 27% 18%
Has John Lynch received the highest quarterly job approval rating since the New Hampshire Poll began in 1976? No.
The highest quarterly job approval rating, 77%, goes to Jeanne Shaheen in March 1998. She is followed closely by Steve Merrill in June 1993 with an approval rating of 76%, and John Sununu in June 1983 with an approval rating of 71%. Lynch's highest approval rating to date was 68% in September 2006. Lynch's quarterly average is 52% approve compared to Shaheen's average of 53% approve while she was governor.
Obama Job Approval Ratings in NH
9/29/2011 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 31% 59% 10%
Economy 27% 65% 8%
A total of 51% of New Hampshire residents say they are financially worse off compared to a year ago, 37% say they are the same, and 12% say they are better off. Of the 31% saying they approve of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president, 29% say they are better off, 50% say they are the same, and 21% say they are worse off. Of the 59% saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, 6% say they are financially better off, 29% say they are the same, and 65% say they are worse off compared to a year ago.
Results from the September 2011 Quarterly New Hampshire Poll are now available. NH residents rate NH business conditions, their personal finances, John Lynch, and Barack Obama.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
September 28, 2011
Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus
Iowa
Likely Republican
Caucus Goers Sep 2011
Bachmann 15%
Cain 6%
Gingrich 8%
Huntsman 1%
Johnson -
Palin 4%
Paul 12%
Perry 14%
Roemer 1%
Romney 21%
Santorum 2%
Other 1%
Undecided 15%
Mitt Romney leads among likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers with 21%. Romney is followed by Michele Bachmann at 15%, Rick Perry at 14%, and Ron Paul at 12%.
In early July, Bachmann was leading with 21%, followed by Romney at 18%, Paul at 14%, Sarah Palin at 11%, and Perry at 2%.
Among Tea Party supporters, Bachmann leads with 19% (down from 30% in July), Perry is at 14% (up from 3% in July), Gingrich and Paul are at 13% each, Herman Cain is at 10%, and Romney is at 6%.
Among those saying they are not Tea Party supporters or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 37% (up from 31% in July), followed by Perry at 15%, Paul at 11%, and Bachmann at 10%.
Among those saying they will definitely attend the Republican caucus, Romney leads with 19% (up from 17% in July), followed by Bachmann and Perry at 15% each, and Paul at 14%. In July, 25% of definite Republican caucus-goers said Bachmann and 2% said Perry.
Details from the survey of 600 likely Republican caucus-goers conducted September 22-27 can be found here.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
September 22, 2011
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary
New Hampshire
Likely Republican
Primary Voters Sep 2011
Bachmann 7%
Cain 4%
Gingrich 4%
Huntsman 10%
Johnson -
Palin 4%
Paul 12%
Perry 13%
Roemer 1%
Romney 30%
Santorum 2%
Other 1%
Undecided 12%
Mitt Romney continues to lead the New Hampshire Republican presidential preference primary. Romney, at 30% among likely Republican primary voters, is followed by Rick Perry at 13%, Ron Paul at 12%, and Jon Huntsman at 10%.
Preference for Romney is virtually unchanged since a similar survey in July, but Perry is up 11 percentage points, Huntsman is up 10 percentage points, and Paul is up 8 percentage points from the July survey. Bachmann has lost 5 percentage points since the July survey.
Romney leads among registered Republicans likely to vote in the presidential primary with 35%, followed by Perry at 13% and Paul at 10%. Among undeclared voters (independents), Romney leads with 19%, followed by Huntsman at 17%, Paul at 15%, and Perry at 14%.
Perry leads among Tea Party supporters with 23%, followed by Romney at 21%, and Paul at 10%. Among likely Republican primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or that they are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 38%, followed by Huntsman at 19%, and Paul at 13%.
Details from the survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters conducted September 16-21 can be found here.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
September 21, 2011
Obama Job Approval Ratings
9/20/11 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 41% 56% 3%
Economy 37% 60% 3%
A total of 41% of Americans say they approve of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president and 56% say they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job. In August, 41% of Americans approved of the job Obama was doing and 53% disapproved. When it comes to Obama's handling of the economy, 37% of Americans approve and 60% disapprove. In August, 40% approved and 55% disapproved of Obama's handling of the economy.
Among Americans registered to vote, 40% approve of the way Obama is handling his job as president and 57% disapprove. On Obama's handling of the economy, 36% of registered voters approve and 60% disapprove.
Details from the nationwide survey conducted September 17-20 are available at The National Economy.